1、?1?3?(?)?0080902223242526272831?1?1?2021?10?12?2?2?3?1992?IPCC?20?1.5?G20?1.5?26?COP26?COP26?3?2016?Trilemma?127?4?21?2017?2020?4?1 2010?2020?2020?/kW?%?2020?/kWh?20102020?20102020?20102020?2,6192,543-3%7270-2%0.0760.0760%?2,6204,46871%8783-5%0.0490.07145%?1,2691,87047%44464%0.

2、0380.04418%?4,731883-81%141617%0.3810.057-85%CSP9,0954,581-50%304240%0.3400.108-68%?1,9711,355-31%273631%0.0890.039-56%?4,7063,185-32%38406%0.1620.084-48%?IRENA?9?IEA?2025?33%10?2020?238?2019?9.7%?11?BP?2021?2030?14%?18%?12?2035?11.6?2050?14.1?13?2016?5?2015?100%?173?48?CVF?2050?100%?146?110?/?Feed-

3、in Tariffs?FIT?6?IRENA?2010?2020?LCOE?85%?7?2010?644?IRENA?800?2021?0.005?/?323?CO2?30?8?5?1?GW?IEA?2009-2026?IEA?Net Zero by 2050:A Roadmap for the Global Energy Sector.2009-14?-26?2021-26?2021-26GW2050?60050040030020004500300015000?ICT?14?6?2?2017-2020?18?2 2020?19.6%8.2%56.6

4、%5.4%?37.1%34.1%10.5%7.0%?33.8%25.2%12.2%11.6%?The BP?Statistical Review of World Energy 2021.001920202020?,00010,0008,0006,0004,0002,0000?The BP?Statistical Review of World Energy 2021.18?,?15?BP?2017?2020?2018?16?2020?2019?2020?7?3 2017-2020?0

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6、020?3?10?A New Industrial Strategy for Europe?2021?4?21?European Council?European Parliament?2050?21?5.?22?6.?EUETS?-?/?10,000?40%?107.?2013-2020?2021-2030?The Effort Sharing Regulation?ESR?2005?2020?10%?2030?30%?23?8.?2030?2600?24?2018?GDP?1.5%25?2019?25?2019?31?+?GCCA+?26?9.?EUs Taxonomy Regulatio

7、n?2020?7?12?27?2012?4?21?EU Taxonomy Climate Delegated Act?2050?2050?2030?2005?50-52%?2035?2050?28?2021?1?29?DOE?30?31?32?111.?33?B3W?34?35?2.?2030?2035?3270?1740?460?520?550?/?36?2035?50%?2030?50?2035?100%?37?3.?-?2021?4?The Energy Transitions Initiative-Global?ETI-G?38?3?-?G7?2021?39?2035?2021?4?T

8、he Global Power System Transformation Consortium?G-PST?4.?5.?2021?5?12?1100?40?12?1.?41?2.?2050?50%?42?IEA?2019?5.1?45%?2020?36%?43?IEA?2021?2020?12?2021?50%?2021?600?44?2030?1000?COP26?2030?2030?133.?Rafael Leal Arcas?45?46?47?IEA?OPEC?IEF?JODI?14?15?40?30%?48?49?2020?10?2?2022?2030?10?1?50?2060?1.

9、?2030?2060?2030?16%?20%?51?2030?2005?65%?25%?12?2020?15.9%?2005?72.4%?2020?56.8%?4500?16?2.?2015?52?2021?7?2000?40?53?3.?GDP?13.5%?18%?2021?8?2021?9?13?54?2021?10?2011?2020?28.7%?4.?2020?2020?1.39?1.2?2.2?30%?97%?97%?98%55?6.8?10?17.9?86.4?79.8?56?70%?40%57?2020?76%?96.2%?82.5%?76.1%?58?6?2021?200?5

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