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GP Bullhound:2019年第四季度全球SaaS市场报告(英文版)(46页).pdf

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GP Bullhound:2019年第四季度全球SaaS市场报告(英文版)(46页).pdf

1、1 Q4 2019 Sector Update Software Important disclosures appear at the back of this report GP Bullhound LLP is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority GP Bullhound Inc is a member of FINRA 2 GP Bullhound is a leading technology advisory and investment firm, providing transaction ad

2、vice and capital to category leaders with an emphatic focus on software globally We publish a quarterly SaaS market report to provide quantitative insights into public and private market valuations across the transaction spectrum and qualitative insights into company business models, technology and

3、trends We feature many of the leading SaaS companies and CEOs across interesting sub-sectors Based in our San Francisco office, Jonathan Cantwell is the head of our software practice with over 15 years of experience Completed over 50 transactions with public and private tech companies globally Raise

4、d $400m of capital for our clients over the last 12 months Several of our recent software advisory transactions and investments are showcased below: Software perspectives EXECUTIVE SUMMARY UNDISCLOSED$177MUNDISCLOSED$50M ValiditySignaviodeltaDNAPartnerizeEcoVadis ACQUIRED BYINVESTMENT BYACQUIRED BYI

5、NVESTMENT BYINVESTMENT BY AppBuddyApax DigitalUnityAccel - KKRCVC $200M 3 Key sector takeaways Recent software transaction trends 1 Agenda 2 Public market SaaS analysis SaaS CEO commentary Key SaaS metrics Appendix A: GP Bullhound SaaS index 3 4 5 6 Appendix B: software public comparables by categor

6、y7 Appendix C: GP Bullhound credentials eliminating the need for traditional coding language. This allows businesses to hire less expensive talent, scale their applications quicker with new consumer trends and reduce the length and complexity of the project lifecycle all of which lead to a quicker a

7、nd easier deployment As 2020 progresses, expect more businesses to implement low-code / no-code platforms and the amount of developers with non- traditional IT or software developer backgrounds to increase significantly Low-code / no-code platforms are driving innovation at all levels of a business

8、2 Computer vision is going to drive new developments across several industry verticals Developments in the functionality and application of artificial intelligence (AI) are driving advancements across all sectors of technology. One area that is gaining major traction, and will continue to do so thro

9、ugh 2020, is computer vision. It utilizes a deep learning algorithm that powers a neural network to decipher images and derive contextual meaning The applications of computer vision are incredibly diverse and can be incorporated across all industries, such as healthcare, retail and transportation. I

10、t can be used to analyze medical reports and images to provide more accurate diagnoses, track customer movement and purchases in-store and guide autonomous vehicles, respectively Throughout the upcoming year, advancements in AI and deep learning are going to push the boundaries of computer vision, a

11、utomating routine processes to make them quicker, simpler and more precise 7 Current trends in software KEY TRENDS 3 The edge computing market is set to grow 10 x from $1.7Bn in 2018 to $16.6Bn by 2025, making it one of the fastest growing segments in the software space1 Edge computing is particular

12、ly useful in time sensitive situations (think oil well sensors, where milliseconds can be the difference between a major disaster and fixing an issue), Gartner predicts that by 2023 there could be more than 20 times as many smart devices at the edge of the network as in conventional IT roles Edge co

13、mputing alone has limited storage capability and still requires its centralized counterpart to maximize its full computing capabilities. Going forward, edge computing will present a third option to the traditional private versus public cloud structures, utilizing a combination of both centralized an

14、d decentralized data processing. Businesses can utilize the benefits of each architecture and implement a hybrid cloud and edge computing solution to optimize their networks for efficiency and greater scalability Edge computing begins its exponential growth as technology enables devices to process d

15、ata in real time without the latency 4 Automated ML modeling in enterprise solutions Machine learnings rapid adoption across all industry segments made it one of the most important areas of technological innovation. However, building successful data models that can deliver actionable insights in any

16、 field requires significant technical knowledge and talent that many companies cant afford to hire. Companies like Google, IBM and Amazon understand this pain point and are kicking off the next wave of innovation in machine learning automated machine learning (AutoML) AutoML is essentially the proce

17、ss of algorithm selection, hyperparameter tuning, and modeling assessment which optimizes data models with little to no human interaction. This increases productivity by automating repetitive tasks / processes and allows users to deploy complex data models without having to hire expensive talent In

18、2020, expect more companies to leverage automated machine learning platforms to deploy dynamic and consistently optimized models. This will expand user capabilities beyond the traditional data scientist role, making this technology available to all levels of an enterprise (1) Allied Market Research

19、8 Current trends in software KEY TRENDS (1) Crunchbase 5 Scale premium and greater access to sources of financing insulates public markets from increasing focus on profitability in the private markets 6 Late stage financing is trending down in 2H19 and will continue to do so in 1H20 Late stage VC fu

20、nding is down 13%1in Q4 year over year and demand is lower than expected for traditional equity as companies seek to avoid down rounds by raising through traditional debt vehicles instead. Demand is also lower than expected for convertible debt because often a return is tied to an IPO price, yet liq

21、uidity comes much later after the IPO lockup period and thus face an increased risk A significant driver behind the decline in funding arose from a series of high-profile misses in Softbanks Vision fund, and other mega funds like it; which was primarily enabled by their ability to write larger check

22、s, command higher valuations and make long term investments that other investors find too risky. Mega fund-backed companies are separating themselves very quickly, leaving less capital for the rest of the market; forcing other VCs to assess their next investment carefully in order to catch the next

23、unicorn Going into 2020 expect a similar trend in total funding amount and volume as the market corrects for the mega fund missteps, which will in turn force companies toward alternative sources of financing We have experienced a change in attitudes on behalf of investors and buyers in the software

24、transactions we work on. Increasingly, profitability or a clear path to profitability are being valued much more highly than the old growth at all costs approach. The anecdotal evidence we are receiving is that unless revenue growth is in the 70%+ category, multiples are negatively impacted if there

25、 is no path to profitability Public market data does not reflect the same pattern though, with unprofitable companies valued more highly than profitable companies on an EV/Revenue basis 6.4x EV/Rev for profitable vs 8.7x EV/Rev for unprofitable. This is likely because there is a scale premium applie

26、d to these much larger businesses, whereby access to financing decreases the risk of investing in an unprofitable business, and growth implies market share advantage/gain and leadership position in the space 9 Section 2 Recent software transaction trends 10 Announce dateTargetBuyerTarget description

27、 Value ($m) Implied EV/LTM Rev Dec-18 Digital advertising solution that helps advertisers create, launch and iterate 1,8177.9x Dec-17 Unified communication however, they have not been independently verified and are not guaranteed as being accurate. The information contained in this research report i

28、s not intended to be a complete statement or summary of any securities, markets, reports or developments referred to herein. No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is made or accepted by GP Bullhound LLP, its members, directors, officers, employees, agents or associated undertakin

29、gs in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information in this research report nor should it be relied upon as such. This research report may contain forward-looking statements, which involve risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking information is provided for illustrative pu

30、rposes only and is not intended to serve as, and must not be relied upon as a guarantee, an assurance, a prediction or a definitive statement of fact or probability. Actual events and circumstances are difficult or impossible to predict and may differ from assumptions. Any and all opinions expressed

31、 are current opinions as of the date appearing on the documents included in this research report. Any and all opinions expressed are subject to change without notice and GP Bullhound LLP is under no obligation to update the information contained in this research report. The information contained in

32、this research report should not be relied upon as being an independent or impartial view of the subject matter and for the purposes of the rules and guidance of the Financial Conduct Authority (“the FCA”) this re- search report is a marketing communication and a financial promotion. Accordingly, its

33、 contents have not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. The individuals who prepared the information contained in this res

34、earch report may be involved in providing other financial services to the company or companies referenced in this research report or to other companies who might be said to be competitors of the company or companies referenced in this research report. As a result, both GP Bullhound LLP and the indiv

35、idual members, directors, officers and/ or employees who prepared the in- formation contained in this research report may have responsibilities that conflict with the interests of the persons who access this research report. GP Bullhound LLP and/or connected persons may, from time-to-time, have posi

36、tions in, make a market in and/or effect transactions in any investment or related investment mentioned in this research report and may provide financial services to the issuers of such investments. The information contained in this research report or any copy of part thereof should not be accessed

37、by a person in any jurisdictions where its access may be restricted by law and persons into whose possession the information in this research report comes should inform themselves about, and observe, any such restrictions. Access of the information contained in this research report in any such juris

38、dictions may constitute a violation of UK or US securities law, or the law of any such other jurisdictions. Neither the whole nor any part of the information contained in this research report may be duplicated in any form or by any means. Neither should the information contained in this research rep

39、ort, or any part thereof, be redistributed or disclosed to anyone without the prior consent of GP Bullhound LLP. GP Bullhound LLP and/or its associated undertakings may from time-to-time provide investment advice or other services to, or solicit such business from, any of the companies referred to i

40、n the information contained in this research report. Accordingly, information may be available to GP Bullhound LLP that is not reflected in this material and GP Bullhound LLP may have acted upon or used the information prior to or immediately following its publication. In addition, GP Bullhound LLP,

41、 the members, directors, officers and/or employees thereof and/or any connected persons may have an interest in the securities, warrants, futures, options, derivatives or other financial instrument of any of the companies referred to in this research report and may from time-to-time add or dispose o

42、f such interests. GP Bullhound LLP is a limited liability partner- ship registered in England and Wales, registered number OC352636, and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Any reference to a partner in relation to GP Bullhound LLP is to a member of GP Bullhound LLP or an

43、 employee with equivalent standing and qualifications. A list of the members of GP Bullhound LLP is available for inspection at its registered office, 52 Jermyn Street, London SW1Y 6LX. For US Persons: This research report is distributed to U.S. persons by GP Bullhound Inc. a broker- dealer register

44、ed with the SEC and a member of the FINRA. GP Bullhound Inc. is an affiliate of GP Bullhound LLP. This research report does not provide personalized advice or recommendations of any kind. All investments bear certain material risks that should be considered in consultation with an investors financia

45、l, legal and tax advisors. GP Bullhound Inc. engages in private placement and mergers and acquisitions advisory activities with clients and counterparties in the Technology sectors. In the last twelve months, GP Bullhound LLP and its affiliates have not 1) been engaged as an advisor to, or 2) received compensation from the companies mentioned in this report, except for Harri and Mambu. LONDONSAN FRANCISCOSTOCKHOLMBERLIN PARISMANCHESTERHONG KONGMADRIDNEW YORK

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