1、White Paper The Impact of 5G: Creating New Value across Industries and Society January 2020 In collaboration with PwC World Economic Forum 91-93 route de la Capite CH-1223 Cologny/Geneva Switzerland Tel.: +41 (0)22 869 1212 Fax: +41 (0)22 786 2744 Email: contactweforum.org www.weforum.org 2020 World

2、 Economic Forum. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, including photocopying and recording, or by any information storage and retrieval system. This white paper has been published by the World Economic Forum as a contribution

3、to a project, insight area or interaction. The findings, interpretations and conclusions expressed herein are a re- sult of a collaborative process facilitated and endorsed by the World Economic Forum, but whose results do not necessarily represent the views of the World Economic Forum, nor the enti

4、rety of its Members, Partners or other stakeholders. 3The Impact of 5G: Creating New Value across Industries and Society Foreword Executive summary Introduction Background of 5G Functional drivers of 5G 5G Ecosystem Cycle Economic and social value 5G sectors and use cases 5G use case analysis 5G pot

5、ential for economic and social value across industry sectors Overview of actions required by stakeholders Conclusion Contributors References Endnotes 4 5 6 7 7 8 9 11 11 16 19 20 21 22 23 Contents 4The Impact of 5G: Creating New Value across Industries and Society Foreword The Fourth Industrial Revo

6、lution offers an opportunity for diverse sectors to enhance their competitiveness and contribution to regional economies, while supporting the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. This industrial revolution is powered by both established and emerging technologies, including the internet of

7、things, artificial intelligence, advanced data analytics, robotic process automation, robotics, cloud computing, virtual and augmented reality, 3D printing and drones. One key enabler that allows these technologies to realize their full potential is connectivity. Industrial revolutions have been cha

8、racterized by the transformation of physical infrastructure networks. Electricity powered the Second and Third Industrial Revolutions, as networks achieved economies of scale by connecting large plants over high-voltage transmission grids to local distribution networks reaching many users. The Fourt

9、h Industrial Revolutions full potential will be fully realized through the wide-scale deployment of 5G communication networks. 5G will be critical because it will enable unprecedented levels of connectivity, upgrading 4G networks with five key functional drivers: superfast broadband, ultra-reliable

10、low latency communication, massive machine-type communications, high reliability/availability and efficient energy usage. Together, these defining features will transform many sectors, such as manufacturing, transportation, public services and health. To ensure the widespread deployment of 5G networ

11、ks, key stakeholders must address important questions. Government regulators and city managers must decide whether and when to invest in 5G infrastructure; mobile and telecommunications operators must evaluate suitable business models; and citizens must find ways to realize the full benefits this te

12、chnology can bring while ensuring the preservation of the communitys rights. The transition to 5G networks can only be achieved when all stakeholders citizens, the private sector and government collaborate to effectively address these questions. The insights and recommendations in this White Paper a

13、im to pave the way towards accelerating a sustainable and inclusive transition to 5G networks globally, creating significant economic and social value. Hazem Galal Global Leader, Cities and Local Government Network, PwC, United Arab Emirates Derek OHalloran Head of Digital Economy and New Value Crea

14、tion Platform, World Economic Forum 5The Impact of 5G: Creating New Value across Industries and Society Executive summary The positive impact of the Fourth Industrial Revolution and its related emerging technologies will be fully realized through the wide-scale deployment of 5G communication network

15、s in combination with other connectivity solutions. The key functional drivers of 5G will unlock a broad range of opportunities, including the optimization of service delivery, decision-making and end-user experience. Significant economic and social value can be generated by enabling use cases activ

16、ated by 5G. An IHS Markit study1 estimates that $13.2 trillion in global economic value will be made possible by 2035, generating 22.3 million jobs in the 5G global value chain alone. To better understand it, the 5G ecosystem was mapped out to identify its components, its stakeholders and interdepen

17、dencies, and the actions needed to accelerate 5G deployment and fully realize the potential. A set of challenges was identified for each component (spectrum, infrastructure, devices, services, impact and security). To ensure that all the actions to accelerate 5G deployment are coordinated and the in

18、terdependencies are understood, strong collaboration between stakeholders is needed. One key area for collaboration that requires multistakeholder input is a strengthening of the business case for 5G through the quantification of the potential social value that can be created. Many of the current us

19、e cases are technically enabled by the functional drivers of 5G and activated through multistakeholder cooperation and collaboration. An analysis of 40 use cases was conducted as part of the development of this White Paper, which identified key industrial advances and social impact areas in addition

20、 to the main functional drivers of 5G and the required maturity levels of these features. The results of this analysis, complemented by insights from stakeholder interviews and several cross-industry workshops, generated the following key findings: Significant economic and social value can be gained

21、 from the widespread deployment of 5G networks. Technological applications, enabled by a set of key functional features, will both facilitate industrial advances, improving their bottom line, and enhance city and citizen experiences. To accelerate the adoption of 5G, new collaboration models among s

22、takeholders are needed, along with clear methodologies to estimate the social value creation, which will enhance the business case of 5G. For additional information on the use cases, their industrial advances and social value creation potential, as well as their enabling functional drivers, see the

23、accompanying use case repository http:/www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_The_ Impact_of_5G.pdf. Industrial advances 5G will contribute to industrial advances in three significant ways: by 1) enabling faster and effective inspections through predictive intelligence; 2) improving workplace and worker safety;

24、and 3) enhancing operational effectiveness. 5G also has the potential to impact industry by managing the carbon footprint and bridging the digital divide, which together apply to 63% of the use cases identified. Social impact 5G can deliver social value across 11 key areas that correspond to 11 of t

25、he United Nations 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). This value derives mainly from contributing to good health and well-being, enhancing infrastructure, promoting sustainable industrialization and fostering innovation. Other key areas in which social value is created through 5G include contri

26、buting to responsible consumption, enabling sustainable cities and communities, and promoting decent work and economic growth. Functional drivers Five key functional drivers of 5G support certain technological applications. They are: 1) enhanced mobile broadband; 2) ultra-reliable low latency commun

27、ication; 3) security; 4) massive machine-type communications; and 5) power efficiency. Most (93%) of the use cases analysed would be enhanced by ultra-reliable low latency communication and 78% by enhanced mobile broadband. Massive machine-type communications and security are also important, with ea

28、ch driver contributing to 45% of the use cases analysed. It is important to note that 5G could be the ideal technology for certain solutions, but others might be sufficiently served with WiFi, 4G or even earlier generations of networks. 5G maturity 5G deployment will occur in phases with certain fun

29、ctional drivers improving over time. However, not all the use cases identified require these functional drivers at full maturity. The key drivers in their current state and in the short term that have the highest potential to disrupt are low latency communication and enhanced mobile broadband. 6The

30、Impact of 5G: Creating New Value across Industries and Society Introduction Fast, intelligent internet connectivity enabled by 5G technology is expected to create approximately $3.6 trillion in economic output and 22.3 million jobs by 2035 in the global 5G value chain alone.2 This will translate int

31、o global economic value across industries of $13.2 trillion, with manufacturing representing over a third of that output; information and communications, wholesale and retail, public services and construction will account for another third combined.3 To make that happen, however, trillions will firs

32、t have to be invested to introduce global 5G networks. 5G presents an opportunity for companies to be first movers, but greater cooperation is needed to accelerate deployment. While several countries have initiated roadmaps for the 5G rollout, others are falling behind due to a diverse set of challe

33、nges that will require an unprecedented level of collaboration between business, the public sector and broader stakeholders in society. These have repercussions across several areas of the ecosystem, including in creating new business models, fostering innovation, defining investment models for digi

34、tal infrastructure, preparing for cybersecurity scenarios and, more broadly, ensuring sustainability and positive societal impact. To understand these systemic challenges, the World Economic Forum has initiated a 5G-Next Generation Networks Programme to help enterprises across industries transform w

35、hile shaping an inclusive and sustainable transition to the next generation of networks. This programme is part of the Digital Economy and New Value Creation Platform, whose objective is to develop new economic and business models that are digitally driven, creating sustainable value for an inclusiv

36、e economy. The objective of this White Paper is to shed light on ways to realize the large estimated economic output potential by taking a bottom-up approach through a use-case-driven analysis. The analysis of 40 sample use cases in various industries establishes linkages between commercial and soci

37、etal impact, and explores how the functional drivers of 5G could enhance the output of these use cases as 5G networks evolve. Additionally, this paper summarizes key challenges based on insights from several stakeholders, and presents a set of stakeholder actions to accelerate 5G deployment in order

38、 to realize its full potential. Over the past decade, as 5G was first imagined, then developed, and then launched, those of us in the tech and telecommunications industries became increasingly excited by its potential. We knew from an early stage that 5G would make digitalization more accessible, al

39、lowing small businesses, public services and even individual households to reap the benefits of smart products and services. But what we didnt know was exactly what those products and services would look like. Now we know. This paper, which we have actively contributed to, shows that 5Gs speed, reli

40、ability and scale are already unlocking huge social and economic gains. This is the future and Nokia is delighted to play its part. Rajeev Suri, President and Chief Executive Officer, Nokia 7The Impact of 5G: Creating New Value across Industries and Society Functional driverDescriptionAdded valueUse

41、 cases Enhanced mobile broadband (eMBB) Faster connections, higher throughput and greater capacity (up to 10 Gbps) Allows for an extension in cellular coverage into diverse structures (large venues) and the ability to handle a larger number of devices using high amounts of data Fixed wireless access

42、 service, enhanced in-building broadband service, real-time augmented reality service, real-time virtual and mixed reality service, crowded or dense area service, enhanced digital signage, high- definition cloud gaming, public protection and disaster response services, massive content streaming serv

43、ices, remote surgery and examination Ultra-reliable low latency communication (uRLLC) Reduced time for data from device to be uploaded and reach its target (1 ms compared to 50 ms for 4G) Enables time-sensitive connections wirelessly Autonomous vehicles, drones and robotic applications, health monit

44、oring systems/telehealth, smart grid and metering, intelligent transportation, factory automation, remote operation, self-driving cars, mission-critical services (security and safety), high-definition real-time gaming Security Robust security properties, leading to high reliability and availability

45、Creates an ultra- reliable connection to support applications where failure is not an option Massive machine- type communications (mMTC) Increased spectral efficiency plus small cell deployment Allows for a large number of connections to support data-intensive applications Asset tracking and predict

46、ive maintenance, smart cities/buildings/agriculture, internet of energy/utility management, industrial automation, smart logistics (advanced telematics), smart grid and metering, smart consumer wearables, environmental management, intelligent surveillance and video analytics, smart retail Power effi

47、ciencyEfficient power requirements for massive multiple- input, multiple-output (MIMO), small cell implementation Leads to lower costs and enables massive internet of things By definition, 5G refers to fifth-generation cellular network technology, which has been evolving since 1980. 5G is expected t

48、o significantly enhance the mobile network, enabling more connections and interactions. This connectivity enhancement across networks will unlock significant potential for various industries to improve their bottom line. Functional drivers of 5G The transition to 5G involves a new, end-to-end networ

49、k architecture and presents several defining features that make it unique. The five key functional drivers4 of 5G and possible use cases can be summarized as follows: Background of 5G Source: ITU, 2018.5 8The Impact of 5G: Creating New Value across Industries and Society I n f r a s t r u c t u r e I m p a c t D e v i c e s S e r v i c e s Security Spectrum Source: World Economic Forum and PwC project team. Realizing the economic and social value of 5G calls for an effective approach to 5G deployment. To achieve this goal, specific existing challenges in the vari