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中规智库:“一带一路”倡议下的全球城市报告(2021)(16页).pdf

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中规智库:“一带一路”倡议下的全球城市报告(2021)(16页).pdf

1、? ?全球城市?全球?全球城市的?的?全球?的?全球?的全球?的?全球?全球?的?的全球城市?全球?一?全球?城市?“一带一路”?城市?全球城市?的?全球城市?的?全球城市?全球?城市?城市?全球?下的?的?的?的?的?全球城市? ?PREFACEIn 2021, the continuous spread of COVID-19, more frequent extreme weather events and intensifying great-power rivalry have exacerbated the uncertainties and medium to long-term

2、 challenges for the recovery of global cities. In the global supply chain, the recovery on the supply side and demand side fails to match with each other. The pace of recovery varies across economies. The rebound in existing development capacity is imbalanced. In the post-pandemic era, the recovery

3、of global cities is increasingly divergent and divided.Faced with the challenges around globalization, it is more necessary for the world to adhere to the idea of inclusive globalization, build a more equitable and balanced global development partnership, create a new global cooperation framework th

4、at is open, inclusive, balanced, win-win and beneficial to all and share the fruits of globalization, so as to give new life to the global cities in the post-pandemic world.In response to the new realities and trends in globalization, we have further improved the index system and algorithm for globa

5、l dynamic cities and Belt and Road potential cities, with new observation on the features of global cities recovery and revelation of the disruptive change in the landscape of global cities after the pandemic.Weve discovered that the level of recovery of global cities is differentiated by the access

6、 to vaccines and the ability to obtain and use information and data. The global value chain is visibly regionalized as the cities in North America, Europe and Asia closely bind with each other within their own region. Asian cities continue to witness improving dynamism in innovation, robust momentum

7、 for facility connectivity and increasingly close ties in policy, economy, trade and livelihood, mapping out a scenario of resilient recovery in Asia against the backdrop of the global pandemic.Thanks to its successful control of the pandemic, resilient supply system and extensive international coop

8、eration, China serves as a stabilizer that provides a strong impetus for regional and even global cities to rise above the adversity.“一带一路”倡议下的全球城市 GLOBAL CITIES IN THE VISION OF THE BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE0203全球城市的新挑战NEW CHALLENGES FOR GLOBAL CITIES0 1ALGORITHM OPTIMIZATION AND DATA PLATFORM DEVEL

9、OPMENT算法优化与数据平台搭建02 GLOBAL DYNAMIC CITIES INDEX全球价值活力城市指数03page 04page 05page 08page 15page 20“一带一路”潜力城市指数04INDEX FOR BELT AND ROAD POTENTIAL CITIES2021 年全球价值活力城市指数排名2021 RANKING OF GLOBAL DYNAMIC CITIES INDEX2021 年“一带一路”潜力城市指数排名2021 RANKING OF INDEX FOR BELT AND ROAD POTENTIAL CITIES城市列表LIST OF CIT

10、IES NEW OBSERVATION ON GLOBAL CITIES全球城市格局新观察05page 24page 26page 28?CONTENT“一带一路”倡议下的全球城市 GLOBAL CITIES IN THE VISION OF THE BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE0405(1)全球价值活力城市指数优化? ?的?全球?全球?的?全球?城市? ? ? ? ?的全球?城市?城市?全球?的?全?的?下?一?(1) Optimization of the Index for Global Dynamic CitiesIn the 2019 report, we hav

11、e build upon the concept of inclusive globalization to deconstruct the three networks of global value chain: innovation, production and service, and facility connectivity. We have then constructed an evaluation model of the three synergistic networks of global dynamic cities, eventually creating the

12、 index for global dynamic cities with three dimensions and 15 indicators to measure the dynamism of cities in the global value chain network.This year, amidst multiple challenges from COVID-19, climate change and geopolitical security, we further optimized the index system. The global innovation net

13、work is characterized by three dimensions: innovator, ?ALGORITHM OPTIMIZATION算法优化MISMATCHED, OUT-OF-SYNC AND IMBALANCED RECOVERY OF GLOBAL CITIES全球城市复苏的不匹配、不同步、不均衡全球? ?的? ?In the global supply chain, the recovery on the supply side and demand side does not match. With the economic restart, the suppr

14、essed demand has been released, whereas the supply has been constrained by the ever-changing pandemic. As a result, the recovery on the demand side outstrips ?全球?的? 全球? ? ? ? 的?全? ? ?全球城市?的? ? ? ? ?的?全球城市?带?全球?的? ?一?的?“?”?全? ? 全球? ?全球城市?COVID-19 continues to spread. With the global prevalence of Del

15、ta variant, the number of daily new cases worldwide has been fluctuating. By the end of September, 58% of the population in high-income countries have been vaccinated, compared to 36% in emerging economies and 4% in low-income countries. Due to unequal access to vaccines, the recovery of global citi

16、es will become more polarized over time.Extreme weather events become more frequent. From the severe cold wave sweeping through North America at the beginning of the year, to the flooding in Australia in March, the extreme drought gripping the western United States and Mexico in May, the extreme hea

17、t wave that swept across North America in June, and the torrential rain and flooding in Henan Province of China, climate change continues to put the sustainable development of global cities to the test. With global warming, ASEAN, the Middle East and Africa will be hit the hardest, with agriculture,

18、 husbandry and fisheries facing shocks , which will result in a more unbalanced world.Geopolitical risks continue to intensify. The United States is pursuing the Indo-Pacific strategy. The United Kingdom, United States and Australia have announced a new trilateral security alliance. The European Uni

19、on has launched “Global Gateway”. The great-power rivalry continues to intensify with recurrent geopolitical conflicts. There will be more uncertainties for the future development of cities around the world.TRIPLE CHALLENGE FOR THE RECOVERY OF GLOBALIZATION全球化复苏的三重挑战ALGORITHM OPTIMIZATION AND DATA P

20、LATFORM DEVELOPMENT全球城市的?NEW CHALLENGES FOR GLOBAL CITIES?全球?“?”?的?全球?的?的?的一?城市?的?the supply side. The mismatch between supply and demand, combined with the recurrent pandemic, has caused supply chain disruptions, manifested in port gridlock and overstock.The pace of recovery varies across economies

21、. While the developed countries are gradually relaxing social distancing or reopening economic activity, the developing counties continue to struggle - many of them have no sufficient access to vaccines. As vaccines are not allocated equally, the growth trends of economies continue to diverge.The re

22、covery of the existing development capacity is imbalanced. As the global digital economy speeds up, the differences in the information and communication equipment, capability for technological application and access to resources will result in exponential differences in the pace of development in di

23、fferent countries and regions. The ability to access and use information and data has become a major handicap for developing countries to enhance their independent development capacity. Many cities and places may be left behind, caught in a rougher road to recovery. “一带一路”倡议下的全球城市 GLOBAL CITIES IN T

24、HE VISION OF THE BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE0607全球?全球?的?全球?全球?全球?全球?的?全球?一?全球城市 ? ?的?(2)“一带一路”潜力城市指数优化? ?的?“一带一路”?“?”?“一带一路”?城市?“一带一路”?的?的?全球城市?“一带一路”倡议?的?城市?的? ? ?的城市?城市?的城市?全球?城市?城市?的 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?全球?下的全球城市?“一带一路”城市? ? ?的?全球? ? ? ?城市的全球城市?全?全球?城市?“一带一路”?城市?城市?的?的全球城市?innovative knowledg

25、e and innovative service. On the dimension of innovator, we added indicators that reflect the connection between cloud storage and computer industry. The global production and service network includes two dimensions: global production network and global service network. On the dimension of productio

26、n, we added indicators reflecting the connection between medical device and equipment manufacturing. The global facility connectivity network includes three dimensions: air service, maritime service and information connectivity. On the dimension of information connectivity, we strengthened the compe

27、titiveness evaluation of global cities in term of new infrastructure, such as 5G.(2)Optimization of the Index for Belt and Road Potential CitiesIn the 2019 report, from the perspective of the five major goals of the Belt and Road Initiative, namely policy coordination, facility connectivity, unimped

28、ed trade, financial integration and people-to-people bond, we constructed the Index for Belt and Road Potential Cities. This year, as the scope of cooperation under the Belt and Road Initiative continues to expand, we added indicators to reflect economic and trade ties, people-to-people exchanges an

29、d social media interactions to the dimensions of unimpeded trade and people-to-people bond, in order to evaluate the development potential of cities around the world under the Belt and Road Initiative in the new era.We use population size and international interaction as the criteria to take stock o

30、f cities, sorting out cities or national capitals with a population over 1 million, as well as cities with active international interactions in the fields of politics, transportation, businesses and people-to-people exchanges. The cities included in the evaluation should meet both criteria. On that

31、basis, we added a new category this year: global innovative cities. The number of cities included in the evaluation has increased from 505 last year to 513 this year, of which 227 are in Asia, 105 in Europe, 91 in America, 71 in Africa and 19 in Oceania.In 2021, we developed the Global Cities and Be

32、lt and Road Cities Research Platform 1.0 under the concept of inclusive globalization, which provides more abundant, diversified and intelligent technological support for research, including data collection, model algorithm and visualization. The platform has tentatively integrated the research data

33、 of China Academy of Urban Planning and Design and global open data to create an all-inclusive database of global cities, covering five continents and 500-plus major cities, which comprehensively, incisively and dynamically represents the landscape of global dynamic cities and Belt and Road potentia

34、l cities. It allows for multi-dimensional and multi-indicator dynamic retrieval and comparison of cities and historical trajectory analysis. By constructing a dynamic collection and intelligent indicator calculation framework, the platform makes it possible to monitor global cities dynamically in th

35、e long term.SCOPE OF EVALUATION EXPANDED对象扩展PLATFORM DEVELOPMENT平台搭建图 1 指数构成示意图 Figure 1 COMPOSITION OF THE INDEXES图 2 评价对象分布 Figure 2 DISTRIBUTION OF EVALUATED CITIES全球创新网络全球联通设施网络三大网络协同视角Perspective of Three Synergistic Networks五通视角Perspective of Five Major Goals全球价值活力城市指数Index for Global Dynamic

36、Cities“一带一路”潜力城市指数IIndex for Belt and Road Potential CitiesGlobal Innovation Network设施联通Facility Connectivity政策沟通Policy Coordination全球生产和服务网络Global Production and Service Network贸易畅通Unimpeded TradeGlobal Connectivity Facility Network资金融通Financial Integration民心相通People-to-people Bond“一带一路”倡议下的全球城市 GL

37、OBAL CITIES IN THE VISION OF THE BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE0809?的全球?城市?全球? ? ?城市的?全球?全球?城市?的?的 ? ?的 ? ? ? ? ?城市?的?城市?的?城市?的?全球?的城市?的?一?城市?的?城市?全球?全球?城市? ? ? ? ?全球?城市?According to the evaluation of global dynamic cities based on the three synergistic networks-innovation, production and service, and fac

38、ility connectivity, half of the top 100 global dynamic cities are located in Asia and North America, boasting the largest number of global dynamic cities, and the numbers are still on the rise. Among them, the number of global dynamic cities in Asia has increased from 23 last year to 25 in 2021, whi

39、le in North America from 21 to 23.Asian cities have shown extraordinary resilience and dynamism. Their rapid recovery is mainly driven by close collaboration and continuous innovation. In terms of innovation, Asia cities take seriously the role of innovative technology in stimulating economic growth

40、, and hence continue to increase investment in innovation to increase the quality of innovations. As a result, an increasing number of Asian cities have garnered top rankings on the global innovation network. In term of production and service, the impact of COVID-19 has deepened economic and trade i

41、ntegration in Asia, giving prominence to the comprehensive manufacturing strengths of cities in East Asia and Southeast Asia. In terms of facility connectivity, the connectivity of Chinese cities recovers rapidly. For instance, Chengdu has improved its ranking to the global top 20 due to its impress

42、ive facility connectivity.The innovative force in North America is diversified. Austin is included in this years evaluation due to outstanding innovative dynamism. Pittsburgh has improved its ranking to the top 100, becoming a new force in the global dynamic cities.GENERAL LANDSCAPE: EAST ASIA AND N

43、ORTH AMERICA AS THE GROWTH FORCE OF GLOBAL DYNAMISM总体格局:东亚、北美成为全球价值活力增长极图 3 全球价值活力城市指数排名及得分(前 20 位)Figure 3 RANK AND SCORE OF GLOBAL DYNAMIC CITIES INDEX (TOP 20)图 4 全球价值活力城市格局 Figure 4 LANDSCAPE OF GLOBAL DYNAMIC CITIES东京Tokyo上海Shanghai北京Beijing伦敦London旧金山San Francisco纽约New York新加坡Singapore首尔Seoul洛

44、杉矶Los Angeles香港Hong Kong深圳Shenzhen广州Guangzhou迪拜Dubai巴黎Paris芝加哥Chicago 哥本哈根Copenhagen墨尔本Melbourne 成都Chengdu华盛顿Washington斯德哥尔摩Stockholm 全球创新网络X 0.33 Global Innovation Network x0.33全球生产服务网络X 0.33 Global Production and Service Network x0.33全球联通设备网络X 0.33 Global Infrastructure Connection Network x0.33123

45、45678951617181920全球?城市?GLOBAL DYNAMIC CITIES INDEX“一带一路”倡议下的全球城市 GLOBAL CITIES IN THE VISION OF THE BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE1011东京 上海 北京 伦敦 旧金山 纽约 新加坡首尔 洛杉矶 香港 深圳 广州 迪拜 巴黎 芝加哥 哥本哈根 墨尔本 成都 华盛顿 斯德哥尔摩Tokyo, Shanghai, Beijing, London, San Francisco, New York, Singapore, Seoul, Los Angeles,Hon

46、g Kong, Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Dubai, Paris, Chicago, Copenhagen, Melbourne, Chengdu, Washington, Stockholm Hamburg,Tianjin, Amsterdam, Hangzhou, San Diego(USA), Qingdao, Boston, Moscow, Munich, Sydney, Busan, Taipei,Toronto, Mumbai, VancouverFrankfurt, Vienna, Oslo, Madrid, Berlin, Xian, Zurich, Dali

47、an, Atlanta,Osaka, Xiamen, Nanjing, Rotterdam, So Paulo, SeattleMiami, Athens, Bangkok, Helsinki, Wuhan, Montreal, Prague, Rome, Milan, Brussels, Denver, Nagoya, Warsaw, Dublin, Philadelphia, Istanbul, Houston, Abu Dhabi, Austin, Luxembourg, Bogot, Chongqing, Ningbo, Edinburgh, Lisbon, Rio de Janeir

48、o, Mexico City, Dallas, Yokohama, Kuala Lumpur, Stuttgart,Vilnius, Buenos Aires, Baltimore,Tel Aviv, Saint Petersburg, Suzhou, Calgary,Tallinn, Budapest, Hefei, Riga, Jakarta, Glasgow, Santiago (Chile), Bratislava, Minneapolis, Bangalore, St. Louis, Pittsburgh汉堡 天津 阿姆斯特丹 杭州 圣迭戈(美国)青岛 波士顿 莫斯科 慕尼黑 悉尼

49、釜山 台北 多伦多 孟买 温哥华法兰克福 维也纳 奥斯陆 马德里 柏林 西安 苏黎世 大连 亚特兰大 大阪 厦门 南京 鹿特丹 圣保罗 西雅图迈阿密 雅典 曼谷 赫尔辛基 武汉 蒙特利尔 布拉格 罗马 米兰 布鲁塞尔 丹佛 名古屋 华沙 都柏林 费城 伊斯坦布尔 休斯敦 阿布扎比 奥斯汀 卢森堡 波哥大 重庆 宁波 爱丁堡 里斯本 里约热内卢 墨西哥城 达拉斯 横滨 吉隆坡 斯图加特 维尔纽斯 布宜诺斯艾利斯 巴尔的摩 特拉维夫 圣彼得堡 苏州 卡尔加里 塔林 布达佩斯 合肥 里加 雅加达 格拉斯哥 圣地亚哥(智利) 布拉迪斯拉发 明尼阿波利斯 班加罗尔 圣路易斯 匹兹堡灯塔城市TOP CIT

50、IESHUB CITIESGATEWAY CITIESNODE CITIES枢纽城市门户城市节点城市? ?全球?城市? ?城市?城市?的 ? ? ?城市? ? ? ? ?The number of the top-ranking cities in global innovation network in North America is similar to that in East Asia, and the numbers continue to increase, widening the gap with the rest of the world. Among the top 10

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