1、?-?-?(RCIL)?2018-10-25?110/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)2?10/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)?3?10/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)/?410/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)?:?:?:?5?-?(PIHM)10/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)?+?:?:

2、?-6?-?Neumann type:flux based boundary conditionDirichlet type:head based boundary conditionZero-depth gradient:Critical depth:vanGenuchten relationships:?SurfaceSubsurface10/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)?7?(PDE)10/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)ssQUt+G+=)()(yyy?(ODE)

3、+G+=iiiiVssVVVdVQdVdVUdVt)()(yyy?+G+=ijiijiVssAAVdVQdAndAUndVt)()(yyy!issjijjijiVQADnACndtdA+=!y?8?N?-?(PIHM)10/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)?oK?o-?o?:?910/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)241?(m2)?(%)?8,351,008.7329.45%?-?1,684,029.935.94%?-?6,857,605.0024.18%?3,911,84

4、1.8713.79%?-?161,824.390.57%?-?156,573.290.55%?-?1,023,023.573.61%?-?502,399.291.77%?-?45,859.250.16%?5,576,310.8919.66%?86,715.720.31%1.89 km26.66%?-?10?-?10/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)1110/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)1?1?3?1?2023.042?1?2169.27?1?2079.8920162017

5、2018?0?mm?0?mm?0?mm?647.248.0398.627.4518.61.4612.7117.3582.76.7597.50.40.0366.0437.4163.7550.91.3?-?12?10/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)2007200820092001320142015?(?0.6971.040.6850.6310.6140.520.4650.4820.593?)?(?0.3850.2170.3390.4960.3650.7050.6160.6230.511?(?0.0390.0890.

6、050.0350.0370.0240.0190.020.029?(?0.590.8580.8730.6240.7160.6310.5110.5390.501?(?0.0830.1210.0730.10.090.0950.1150.080.083/?(?0.3370.4350.4870.3360.3970.3630.2740.310.276?(?0.170.3020.3140.1880.2280.1730.1220.1490.142?0.0530.0840.070.0530.0580.0420.0380.0390.047?.?7?820?43?.?156?13?10/29/18Rays Comp

7、utational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)20102011(2010-2011)/2011?(?0.6310.6142.8%?)?(?0.4960.36535.9%?(?0.0350.037-5.4%?(?0.6240.716-12.8%?(?0.10.0911.1%/?(?0.3360.397-15.4%?(?0.1880.228-17.5%?0.0530.058-8.6%?14?10/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)9?11?0?&?3?&?30-day moving average30-day moving

8、 average15?10/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)?201020112011 with initial condition from 2010?3?(?0.6310.6140.614?4?3?(?0.4960.3650.383?)?7?3?%?)?51)?9?.?)?16?10/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)20102010 with precipitation shift 2 months earlier?7?(?0.6310.6169?7?(?0.4960.4

9、48?)?17?%?)?4?.?)53?)?17?10/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)?30-day moving average?18?10/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)9?7?.1?%?3?7?.1?2?%?.1?2?7?0?819?10/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)Pthresh?2010/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)?Diffusive

10、 wave approximationSurfaceSubsurface10/29/18Saint Venant Eqn:Momentum/Energy Conservation()fSSgxygxVVtV-=+0fSSxy-=0Air21Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)?:?:?/?/?:?-?10/29/1822Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)?10/29/1823Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)?3?6?6?8?4?7?6?.02?1?0.

11、40.450.50.550.60.650.70.750.002.004.006.008.0010.00?31-/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)?*?6?+?*?MH?P?I?,5?,52?*?87?5?35?352?=52MH?,41?.0?I?87?,-?,87?5?,?+?-,+?,+4?I?9?,+?,+-?87?*+?27?:?+?:?+?10/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)?28?xing.chenalumni.duke.edu?!?RCIL?10/29/18Rays Computational Intelligence Lab(RCIL)