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1、Talent Gap:Ten-Year Employment Trends,Costs,and Global ImplicationsJune 20212021 Talent Gap Report2Introduction This PMI report is a ten-year outlook of project management-oriented employment(PMOE).To understand the growth of project management as a profession and skill,we analyzed industries that r
2、ely heavily on project management skills.In the report,these industries are referred to as“projectized industries”and include manufacturing and construction;finance and insurance;information and publishing;management and professional services;oil and gas;and utilities.Using available data,we project
3、ed the need for talent and the size of the talent shortage for PMOE.A methodology was also developed to estimate the global economic impact of such a talent gap.2021 Talent Gap Report3PMOE:Trends and Costs of a Skills GapGlobally,a gap between the demand for project management skills and the availab
4、ility of talent continues to persist.This opens up a host of new job opportunities in PMOE for project professionals and all changemakersthose who,regardless of their role,are inspired and equipped to drive change and turn ideas into reality.PMI research reveals three reasons for the persistence of
5、the talent gap since we first began analyzing the data in 2008:n An increase in the number of jobs requiring project management-oriented skills n Higher demand for project professionals in emerging and developing countries due to economic growth n The rate of retirement from the workforceUpskilling
6、the workforce,and empowering a new generation of talent with the necessary project management skills,will be critical in narrowing the talent gap.2021 Talent Gap Report4The global economy needs 25 million new project professionals by 2030.To close the talent gap,2.3 million people will need to enter
7、 PMOE every year just to keep up with demandthis includes project managers and all changemakers.While COVID-19 has caused a contraction in PMOE,better-than-average growth relative to many job categories is expected after the pandemic.The urgent need for workers with project management skills was fur
8、ther reinforced by a recent PMI study1 that cited project management as one of the top-five areas business leaders would like to prioritize in 2021.As more and more industries become project-oriented,organizations will need to ensure their employees can acquire the project management skills they nee
9、d to succeed.New project managementemployees needed to meet global talent demands by 203025M2.3 million annual job openings90MProject management-oriented employees currently in projectized industries across the world20192030102M90MNew employees driven byexpansion and 13 million driven by retirements
10、12MBy 2030,just 77 million project management employees out of the current workforce will be left due to retirement.2021 Talent Gap Report5The talent shortage is a considerable risk to organizations that rely on professionals to implement strategic initiatives on time,and within budget.This talent g
11、ap is likely to impact every region,resulting in a potential loss of up to US$345.5 billion in global GDP by 2030.148.5China83.1Europe3.0MENA-0.4Sub-SaharanAfrica28.1South Asia24.1Asia Pacific53.7North America5.4LatinAmericaGDP at Risk in US$Billions 20192030In Sub-Saharan Africa,increases in the to
12、tal workforce of projectized industries will compensate for any GDP risk due to a talent shortage.2021 Talent Gap Report6Leading SectorsMany industries,such as publishing and professional services,are becoming increasingly project-oriented.Growth in all these sectors is leading to greater demand for
13、 project management skills,creating even more job openings in PMOE over the next ten years.The growth rate of PMOE within projectized industries is expected to be higher than for overall employment in these industries.This indicates a higher demand for positions and qualified people to fill them.Glo
14、bal PMOE in Projectized Industries20192030%ChangeManufacturing&Construction54,237,83461,414,11013.2%Information&Publishing17,110,25419,706,01615.2%Finance&Insurance9,657,12511,091,51714.9%Management&Professional Services8,481,7579,436,70411.3%Utilities925,1231,042,74612.7%Oil&Gas159,551159,348-0.1%T
15、otal90,571,644102,850,44213.6%2021 Talent Gap Report7PMOE Occupation GrowthAccording to an analysis of U.S.Bureau of Labor Statistics data,the largest and fastest PMOE growth will be in software developmenta projected increase of 14%between 2019 and 2030.Much of this growth will come from the develo
16、pment of mobile applications,IT security,and a rise in healthcare technology.Occupations in project management and business operations will also see a steady increase over the next ten years,despite a pandemic-related dip.Growth of Top PMOE Occupations in the United States in Thousands1,469.2 1,678.
17、4Software Developers,Software QA Analysts,Testers+209.2(+14%)1,361.8 1,355.3Project Management/Business Operations Specialists-6.5(0%)1,182.2 1,097.6Personal Services,Entertainment,Recreation Managers-91.6(-8%)20192030876.3 912.1Management Analysts+35.9(+4%)813.9 795.7Lawyers-18.2(-2%)738.1 816.4Mar
18、ket Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists+78.3(+11%)697.9 757.8Financial Managers+59.9(+9%)+6.0(+1%)632.4 638.4Computer Systems Analysts476.7 486.2Construction Managers+9.5(+2%)461.0 478.7Computer and Information Systems Managers+17.7(+4%)2021 Talent Gap Report8Regional TrendsProject talent is
19、 at the forefront of a substantial opportunity in every region.An increase in the number of jobs requiring project management skills is particularly prevalent in developing and emerging countries.Annual PMOE Job Openings by Region 2019-20301,022,256China131,715Europe76,068MENA86,924Sub-SaharanAfrica
20、504,363South Asia193,047Asia Pacific128,088North America119,412Latin AmericaProjected Annual Job Openings by RegionPMOE is estimated to grow from 3.0%of global employment in 2019 to 3.2%in 2030.2021 Talent Gap Report9In sheer numbers,the annual demand for PMOE is highest in China,followed by South A
21、sia.In fact,four-fifths of PMOE growth will occur in China and South Asia alone.These two regions will have the two largest PMOE workforces by 2030,with South Asia moving past Asia Pacific and Europe.Regional PMOE in Projectized Industries in Millions38.8M16.4M14.2M12.8M9.3M5.9M2.8M2.6M33.4M12.1M13.
22、5M13.8M8.7M5.2M2.0M1.9M0M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45MChinaSouth AsiaAsia PacificEuropeNorth AmericaLatin AmericaSub-SaharanAfricaMENA201920302021 Talent Gap Report10Sub-Saharan Africa and MENA are the smallest regions of growth for PMOE.But the potential for economic expansion in the long term is enco
23、uraging as these economies transform.The projected rate of PMOE growth also indicates the development of these regions is ramping up.Percentage Growth of PMOE in Projectized Industries 2019203040%13%7%-7%5%36%13%37%Sub-SaharanAfricaLatin AmericaNorth AmericaEuropeAsia PacificSouth AsiaChinaMENAEurop
24、e will see a decline in the PMOE workforce.However,this region provides an opportunity for new entrants into the profession.2021 Talent Gap Report11Youth AdvantageThe rate of workforce expansion in PMOE due to economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa,MENA,and South Asia,opens up a number of opportuniti
25、es for the next generation of talent.With two-thirds of the population in MENA under the age of 35,and with high youth unemployment,2 the demand for project talent also presents a significant career path for new entrants in the region.In developed regions such as Europe and China,the impending retir
26、ement of large populations aged 5564 will create a greater need for youth to fill the talent gap.Source of Annual Projectized Job Openings 2019203036%39%48%51%78%81%83%100%64%61%52%49%22%19%17%EuropeAsiaPacificNorthAmericaChinaLatinAmericaSouthAsiaMENASub-SaharanAfricaWorkforce ExpansionRetirement87
27、K119K1,022K76KAverage Annual Projectized Job Openings504K128K193K132KRetirement rates are a larger source of job openings for more developed economies.2021 Talent Gap Report12Where Productivity Meets GrowthProjects,and their successful management,are essential to industry and economic growth.The tot
28、al GDP of projectized industries is estimated to increase from US$24.7 trillion in 2019 to US$34.5 trillion in 2030.Interestingly,our findings also show that the benefits of increased productivity correlate with a higher GDP.The share of GDP increase due to productivity improvement in projectized in
29、dustries is projected to be greatest in Europe,China,and North America.In order for regions with a lower GDP to sustain growth,higher levels of productivity held up by PMOE will be vital to their future.Percent of Projectized Industry GDP Increase Due to Productivity Improvement 20192030-22%30%53%66
30、%73%94%106%123%Sub-SaharanAfricaMENALatin AmericaAsia PacificSouth AsiaNorth AmericaChinaEuropeSub-Saharan Africa shows a negative GDP share for productivity due to workforce growth outpacing productivity.2021 Talent Gap Report13Upskill Your PeopleThe global demand for project management talent is u
31、nlikely to be filled by 2030 unless organizations promote a culture of continual learning.Reimagined employee capability-building will be a core focus for the most resilient organizations.In a recent McKinsey study,nearly 80%of business leaders cited capability building as“very”or“extremely”importan
32、t to their organizations growth,compared with 59%before the pandemic.3To foster their own talent,organizations will need to champion new learning initiatives and explore partnerships to equip employees with the necessary project management skills.These capabilities include power skills such as colla
33、boration and leadership;business acumen to create well-rounded employees;and mastering new ways of working,like increased usage of tech-enhanced problem-solving tools.2021 Talent Gap Report14Career OpportunityThere are many paths to becoming a project professional.In a post-pandemic future,project l
34、eaders and all changemakers have the chance to drive real change.It is also a financially rewarding profession.In 2019,salaries in the United States for PMOE in projectized industries were far higher on average than the wages of non-PMOEa premium of 78%.On a global level,the Project Management Profe
35、ssional(PMP)certification has been shown to bolster salary levels.In the 11th edition of PMIs Earning Power:Project Management Salary Survey,respondents with a PMP certification reported higher median salaries than project professionals without a PMP certification 22%higher on average across the 42
36、countries surveyed.US$111,399Average salary for PMOE occupations in projectized industries in the U.S.US$62,572Average salary for non-PMOE occupations in projectized industries in the U.S.2021 Talent Gap Report15About PMIProject Management Institute(PMI)is the worlds leading professional association
37、 for a growing community of millions of project professionals and changemakers worldwide.As the worlds leading authority on project management,PMI empowers people to make ideas a reality.Through global advocacy,networking,collaboration,research,and education,PMI prepares organizations and individual
38、s to work smarter so they can drive success in a world of change.Building on a proud legacy dating to 1969,PMI is a“for-purpose”organization working in nearly every country around the world to advance careers,strengthen organizational success,and enable changemakers with new skills and ways of worki
39、ng to maximize their impact.PMI offerings include globally recognized standards,certifications,online courses,thought leadership,tools,digital publications,and communities.Visit us at PMI.org,ProjectM, on Twitter PMInstitute.About the ReportTalent Gap:Ten-Year Employment Trends,Costs,and Global Impl
40、ications 2021 is the fourth assessment of project management employment and industry activity conducted for PMI by the Anderson Economic Group.The regional data in this report is modeled on selected countries,factoring data from other countries in the regions.Asia Pacific(Indonesia,Japan),China(Main
41、land China),Europe(Germany,United Kingdom),Latin America(Brazil,Colombia),MENA(Egypt,Saudi Arabia),North America(Canada,United States),Sub-Saharan Africa(Nigeria,South Africa),and South Asia(India).Sources1 Make Reality Global Survey 2020-2021 consisted of two surveys and 8,750 respondents,PMI.2 Bje
42、rde,Anna.January 13,2020.Fulfilling the aspirations of MENAs Youth,World Bank.3 McKinsey Accelerate.November 23,2020.Rethink Capabilities to Emerge Stronger from COVID-19.2021 Project Management Institute.All rights reserved.“PMI,”the PMI logo and the slogan“Powering the Project Economy”are marks of
43、 Project Management Institute,Inc.For a comprehensive list of PMI trademarks,contact the PMI Legal Department.All other trademarks,service marks,trade names,trade dress,product names and logos appearing herein are the property of their respective owners.Any rights not expressly granted herein are reserved.CNT-21-026-TL(04/2021)Powering The Project EconomyPMI.orgProject Management Institute|Global Headquarters|14 Campus BlvdNewtown Square,PA 19073-3299 USA|Tel:+1 610 356 4600