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1、29 June 2023浮式风电商业化预测&DNV浮式风电认证邱荷珍,DNV能源系统-可再生能源认证Hezhen Qiu,Renewables Certification,Energy Systems,DNV DNV 29 JUNE 2023Agenda 议程2DNV简介01浮式风电:将雄心壮志付诸行动02浮式风电的设计挑战03DNV海上风电新动态04DNV 29 JUNE 2023An independent assurance and risk management company船舶及海工船舶及海工入级和咨询入级和咨询Ship and offshore classification an
2、d advisory能源能源咨询、认证、验证、检验和监测咨询、认证、验证、检验和监测Energy advisory,certification,verification,inspection and monitoring管理体系管理体系认证认证,供应链及产品供应链及产品认证认证Management system certification,supply chain and product assurance软件、平台和软件、平台和数字化数字化解决方案解决方案Software,platforms and digital solutions 5%年营收投入研发/of annual revenue
3、for R&D158年/years100+国家/countries100,000客户/customers12,000员工/employees海事海事能源系统能源系统供应链供应链3DNV 29 JUNE 2023Extensive relevant experience 丰富的相关经验4150 YRS船舶船舶40 YRS陆上风电陆上风电50 YRS计算分析计算分析35 YRS海上风电海上风电85 YRS电气工程电气工程45 YRS海工及油气海工及油气15 YRS浮式风电浮式风电DNV 29 JUNE 2023The standards and recommended practices gove
4、rning floating wind design will need a continuous update as technology and know how developMain Documents are:SE-0422 CertificationST-0119 FOWT structureRP-0286 Coupled analysis OS-E301 Station keepingST-0126 StructuresST-0145 SubstationsRP-0360 CablesDNV Standards developmentDNVGL-SE-0422 DNVGL-ST-
5、0119 DNVGL-RP-0286 DNVGL-RP-0286 DNV-OS-J103 -201920182020/2021DNV-RU-OU-0512DNV-ST-0119Hywind DemoDNV Guideline2009Pelastar FEEDVolturnUS aerodyn SCD nezzyACSWindFloat AtlanticHywind ScotlandNautilus Stiesdal FEEDHywind Tampen2023DNV-SE-0422 202420252026DNV-ST-0126DNV-ST-0119DNV-ST-014
6、5 DNV-RP-0286 DNV-OS-E301DNV-ST-0119 Integration of ClassInclusion of basic designIntroducing JIP Mooring reliability resultsIntroducing JIP concrete resultsIntroducing JIP substation resultsLoad case definitionsDynamic stability JIPBoat impactTurret designDynamic cable Integrated analysis experienc
7、eDirectly coupled systemsContour method5DNV 29 JUNE 2023DNV的最新调研616%8%2%19%5%5%8%3%7%13%10%4%AdvisorTurbine manufacturerFloating structure manufacturer Project developerProject operator Bank/investment company Insurance companyPublic institution Service provider EPCIComponent manufacturer/supplier O
8、ther8%North America30%Northern Europe31%APAC18%SouthernEurope10%UK&I3%Other60%of wind industry professionals believe floating offshore wind will reach full commercialization without subsidies by 2035.DNV 29 JUNE 2023投资标准及降低风险7Which criteria do you consider when choosing a market to invest in?Other c
9、hoices included:Environmental co-existence issues,Local content requirements(LRCs),My organizations current position in that market and whether it would enable my organization to be a first mover in that market.21%Potential market size16%Regulatory/political stability12%Power grid stability10%Local
10、supply chains9%Subsidy attractivenessSo how can investors mitigate their risk in such a fast growing and dynamic industry?22%Technology standardization18%Regulatory certainty15%By reducing uncertainty in O&M12%Government subsidies8%Short term ramp-up of projectsDelivering good solutions at scale tod
11、ay is more important than delivering a few perfect solutions tomorrowDNV 29 JUNE 2023技术概念的选择8What are your criteria for choosing a technology concept?Other options chosen included:Sustainability,mode of installation and local content requirements.20%Manufacturing costs17%Environmental conditions14%O
12、&M costs12%Size/power rating11%Experience of designerDNV 29 JUNE 2023浮式风电度电成本将下降80%9Where will the LCOE reduction come from?StandardizationBigger turbinesIndustrializationLarger wind farms21%17%17%16%12%3%Construction&operational experienceOptimized mooringsolutionsOther14%DNV expects wind farm and
13、turbine size increase to be the biggest driver of LCOE reduction as we move from pilot to commercial sized wind farms this decade,with standardization becoming a key enabler for industrialization,which will drive cost reduction post 2030.DNV 29 JUNE 2023DNVs floating wind certification approach cove
14、rs all phases of a projectDesign BasisDesignManufacturingTestingTransport and InstallationCommissioningHigh Risks:Loading and coupled load analysis,Tank testing,Stability,Structural design,Mooring and anchors,Dynamic cable,Tow-out,Operation&maintenanceConceptBasic DesignPrototypeProjectIn-Service10D
15、NV 29 JUNE 2023Turbine design Normally pre-designed to type class Frequency constraints Active controllerPlatform design Normally pre-designed according to naval experience Often self-called“turbine agnostic”浮式风电设计的挑战(一)一体化分析11Turbine changes typically needed:-Re-design controller-Re-design tower an
16、d perhaps other componentsStrong coupling between the two!Close interaction is needed between two parts from early startDNV 29 JUNE 202312Independent Load Analysis 独立载荷计算 To assess the site-specific loads for the turbines Full dynamic load model of integrated system of RNA,support structure and stat
17、ion keeping system DNV is performing an own coupled analysis(using a single program)for Project Certification To mitigate project risks by certificationDNV 29 JUNE 2023浮式风电设计的挑战(二)浮体结构分析与校核Coupled analysisHydrodynamic loads on floaterStress on floater13Dynamic analysis Vs static analysis?Direct time
18、 series method Vs unit pressure method?FLS checkULS checkMore correctsimplifiedDNV 29 JUNE 2023求解浮体载荷分布的流程14Aeroelastic simulationCoupled analysis Structural kinematics Wave conditions Tower interface loads Mooring line loadsData transferredPotentialflowsolverloadtransferTime domain hydrodynamic sim
19、ulationDNV 29 JUNE 2023EMULF项目:超大型浮式风机的高效数值方法15Supported by:Objectives:Validate effect of floater flexibility on global response against tank test data.Develop methodology to close the gap between global response analysis and structural stress assessment for detailed structural design check.Develop
20、a more efficient methodology for conceptual design with focus on simplified frequency-domain and uncoupled approach.DNV 29 JUNE 2023浮式风电设计的挑战(三)动态电缆和系泊系统16 Dynamic Cables:Array cables between turbines,Base case 66kV,3-core AC Compliant configurations with flexibility to absorb floater motions Expose
21、d to direct wave and current loads and marine growth HVAC Mooring System:Limit excursions to accommodate power cable 3-9 lines with high mean loading Traditional components exposed to fatigue and peak loads Shared anchors and mooring(farm effects)DNV 29 JUNE 2023FWR项目:浮式风电可靠性联合工业项目17Assess cost-opti
22、mal target safety level for floating wind farmsCalibrate safety factors for mooring and cable designEstablish design recipesProvide qualitative requirements relevant for future mooring and cable solutionsDNV 29 JUNE 2023FWR项目参与方 Aker Offshore Wind Mainstream Renewable Power BayWa r.e.Offshore Wind C
23、orio Generation EDF Re EnBW Equinor Hafslund OMV RWE Offshore Wind Shell Statkraft TotalEnergies rsted Wind Power HSE PSA ActeonBruce Anchor Aker Solutions Cathie Cowi Delmar Systems18 DOF Subsea Fred Olsen 1848 Kongsberg Maritime Ming Yang Mooreast Nexans NKT HV Cables Noble Drilling NOV-APL Ore Ca
24、tapult OSI Renewables Ryder Geotechnical Saipem SBM Sofec Stiesdal Offshore Subsea7 Sumitomo Electric Swift Anchors TechnipFMC Vicinay MarineDNV 29 JUNE 2023项目认证DNV-SE-0190 新模块-能源岛19Purpose:-Foundation/“Substructure”for converter platform,substations,grid interconnectors-Incl.port-H2 production/storage/transport-Staff accommodation DNV 29 JUNE 2023DNV-SE-0190-Annex E for Energy IslandsStatus and timeline20Published in March 2023Figure E-1:Energy Islands Overview and assets DNV 29 JUNE 2023DNV 29 JUNE Thank you 谢谢21邱荷珍 +86 152 1663 7585