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气候变化适应.pdf

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气候变化适应.pdf

1、11.Climate Change Adaptation地球温暖化対策資気候予測HP抜粋全球実験領域実験地球温暖化対策資気候予測HP抜粋全世界対象(60km)日本付近対象(20km)20km5kmJAMSTEC EARTH SIMULATORAreaRCP2.6(2 Rise)RCP8.5(4 Rise)Hokkaido,northwestern Kyusyu1.151.4Other regions1.11.2Average1.11.3Change rate of future rainfallClimate change prediction modelRainfall simulation

2、 by high resolution modelExtreme rainfall by meta-data simulationRiver basin management planRoad development planUrban development planPlanPlanDoDo【Repair/reinforcement】CheckCheck【Implementationof inspection】ActionAction【Countermeasure method/Review of implementation plan】Longevity MaintenanceplanBr

3、idge Bridge systemsystemData inputBridge inspection carRope access methodTechniques for shooting damageNon-destructive inspectionStrategic preventive maintenance2.Operation and maintenanceSustainable infrastructure maintenanceCutting edge technologies20182048Post-maintenancePreventivePost-maintenanc

4、ePreventiveBil JPY3.Dam Upgrading under OperationExamples of dam upgradingRemake existing dams effective.Solve emerging problems like water shortage and flooding.DamDam sluiceCheck damDam body heighteningNew tunnel spillway is installedSedimentation is controlled by installing sediment bypass tunnel

5、Capacity EnlargementCapacity TransferSpillway ExpansionDam Life ExtensionNew outlet drilling under dam operationDead water capacityFlood control capacitySedimentation capacityWater utilization capacityTransfer capacities by purposeAdding new outletSedimentation capacityFlood control capacityWater ut

6、ilization capacityNew large cross section water channel tunnelSediment bypass channelIncrease water storage capacityIncrease discharge capacityPermanent sedimentation measuresFlood control capacitySedimentation capacityRaise dam bodyExisting dam44.Comprehensive basin managementRiver basin integrated

7、 managementRiver basin integrated managementBasin measuresRiver worksSewage with rainwater storageRainfall detentionRiver improvementMulti-purpose retardingPondsFiltration facilitiesSewagehazard map and landuse planningExternal canal55.Knowledge-base Data and Statistic/Policy evaluationThe policy ch

8、eckup(performance measurement)is the method to provide information on the achievement of targets,used by setting the performance indicators and target values for each policy target specified by the Ministry of Land,Infrastructure,Transport and Tourism and measuring the values of indicators regularly

9、(annually).Policy checkup Establish the achievement-oriented method for proceeding with the duties.Fulfill the accountability to the public by regularly disclosing the information on the achievement of targets.Attempts are made to achieve the following 2 objectives by implementing the policy checkup

10、.Plan:Setting the performance indicators and target valuesDo Setting the policy targetsBy focusing on the outcomes for the public,select the policy targets cross-sectionally covering the major administrative areas.Setting the performance indicators and target valuesSelect the performance indicators

11、enabling the achievement of policy targets to be properly indicated and quantitatively measured,and set the target values to be achieved within future 5 years.Setting the program targetsSet the program targets to clarify the relationships between policy targets and performance indicators as specific

12、 methods and measures used for implementing the policies.Implementation of programs:Implement the programs in accordance with the targets specified etc.Check:Measuring and evaluating the performance indicators and target values【Annual evaluation】Measure each performance indicatorEvaluate the achieve

13、ment of target values.If the targets are not sufficiently achieved,analyze the cause and identify the issues.Action:Defining the policy orientation and the remedial measuresDefine the policy orientation and the remedial measures in order to solve the identified issues and clearly indicate the future

14、 measures.(Example)-The number of households vulnerable to the inundation above floor level in the areas with central and core functions-The proportion of water systems with the sophisticated disaster prevention information systems.Query and view the survey dataAggregate,organize,and screen the surv

15、ey dataFlood Damage Statistics SurveyNational Government(MLIT)PrefecturesOccurrence of water-related disasterGeneral assetsPublic infrastructuresPublic ServicesMunicipalitiesMunicipalitiesPrefecturesPrefecturesPublic Services OfficesSubmit-Aggregate the survey data-Calculate the damage-Compile and p

16、ublish Flood Damage Statistics-Upload the data to the DB server of Flood Damage StatisticsDevelop the guideline of flood damage statistics survey(coverage and procedure of the survey,survey format,fill-in guideline,etc.)Submit within 45 days of disaster occurrenceAccess to Flood Damage Statistics DB

17、National Government(Regional Offices,etc.)SubmitSubmit6Damages to Public Services,infrastructure Adequate bidding&contract system,early contractors involvement,design build,construction management/partnering Comprehensive evaluation in bidding process76.Quality-based contract for project and procure

18、mentEg.Paranaque Sewage Treatment Facility in the PhilippinesDistinctionAvoid excessive investment.Cost-cutting by additional equipment installationDecrease construction site.BenefitsLess expensive life-cycle costbased on the plan by the contractorBid Price(p)Technical Score(t)BACDEMaximum Acceptable Price by EmployerDumpingBidsPrice&Technical proposal assessedComprehensive score=f(t,p)Valuable procurementEnsuring quality of construction and allowable priceSkills for quality infrastructure

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