《欧盟空间计划局：欧盟空间计划局：2023安全卫星通信市场和用户技术报告（英文版）（115页）.pdf》由会员分享，可在线阅读，更多相关《欧盟空间计划局：欧盟空间计划局：2023安全卫星通信市场和用户技术报告（英文版）（115页）.pdf（115页珍藏版）》请在三个皮匠报告上搜索。

1、2023/ISSUE 1#EUSpaceMore information on the European Union is available on the Internet(http:/europa.eu).Luxembourg:Publications Office of the European Union,2023Catalogue number:TS-03-23-438-EN-NISSN:978-92-9206-076-3doi:0.2878/961897Copyright European Union Agency for the Space Programme,2023.This

2、 document and the information contained in it is subject to applicable copyright and other intellectual property rights under the laws of the Czech Republic and other states.This document and information contained in this document may be excerpted,copied,printed,republished,made available to the pub

3、lic by wire or wireless means and/or otherwise provided to third parties only under the condition that the source and copyright owner is clearly stated as follows:“Source:EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report,Issue 1,copyright European Union Agency for the Space Programme,2023”.If yo

4、u do republish we would be grateful if you link back to the EUSPA website www.euspa.europa.eu.No part of this document,including any part of the information contained therein,in whichever format,whether digital or otherwise,may be altered,edited or changed without prior express and written permissio

5、n of the European Union Agency for the Space Programme,to be requested via https:/www.euspa.europa.eu/about/contact,clearly stating the element(document and/or information)and term of use requested.For reproduction or use of photos and any other artistic material,permission may have to be directly o

6、btained from the copyright holder.The designations employed,the representation of the materials and the views expressed by authors,editors,or expert groups,other EU agencies and/or their staff members or other third parties,do not necessarily represent the opinions or the stated policy of either EUS

7、PA or the European Union.The mention of specific companies or of certain manufacturers products does not imply that they are endorsed or recommended by the EUSPA in preference to others of a similar nature that are not mentioned.Errors and omissions excepted,the names of proprietary products and cop

8、yright holders are distinguished by initial capital letters.The present document is being distributed without warranty of any kind,either express or implied in relation to its content and/or use.To the extent permitted by the applicable law,the EUSPA shall not be liable for any damages arising from

9、the content and use of the present document.Should you become aware of any breach of the above terms of use,please notify the European Union Agency for the Space Programme immediately,through the above-mentioned contact site.Any breach of these terms of use may be subject to legal proceedings,seekin

10、g monetary damages and/or an injunction to stop the unlawful use of the document and/or any information contained therein.The above terms of use shall be governed by the EU law and the national substantive law of Belgium.The courts of Brussels shall have jurisdiction to give judgement for any claims

11、 arising out of these terms of use.By downloading,forwarding,and/or copying this document or any parts thereof,in whichever format,whether digital or otherwise,the user acknowledges and accepts the above terms of use as applicable to him/her.2023/ISSUE 1#EUSpace4EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User T

12、echnology Report|ISSUE 1,2023FOREWORD(1)EUR-Lex 32021R0696 EN EUR-Lex(europa.eu)Dear Reader,The space industry is rapidly evolving as we enter a new era also in satellite communications.New frequency bands,the demand for High-Throughput Satellite(HTS)Systems,and the rise of optical communications an

13、d quantum encryption techniques,have spurred the development of novel products,software and applications.Agile New Space players are embracing these trends to develop services benefiting diverse users in both public and private sectors.Secure satellite communications(henceforth secure SATCOM)are ess

14、ential for the resilience and strategic autonomy of the European Union and its Member States,both in space and on the ground.Secure SATCOM provide the basis for security-and safety-critical missions and operations,including crisis management,land and border surveillance and protection of the key inf

15、rastructure.The European Union is working on the deployment of GOVSATCOM,a component already part of the EU Space Regulation(20211),while preparing the ground for the ambitious IRIS2,the new EU Secure Connectivity Programme.Those systems will complement the EU Space Programme and its components for

16、Navigation(Galileo and EGNOS),Earth Observation(Copernicus)and Space Situational Awareness.In this context,EUSPA produced the first-ever Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report.The report addresses the market component of the Secure SATCOM,both in terms of industrial and governmental landsca

17、pe and its forecasted use in the period 20252040,as well as its technology component.The market part offers a comprehensive review of various Secure SATCOM use cases across its three macro-families:Crisis Management,Surveillance and Key Infrastructure.We forecast that the demand for Secure SATCOM se

18、rvices should grow by a factor of 14 over the 20252040 period,to reach almost 190 Gbps in 2040.While Crisis Management accounts for almost half of the total capacity demand of secure SATCOM in 2025,we estimate that the Key Infrastructures should generate a higher level of demand during the period 20

19、302040.This is driven by increased demand for institutional/diplomatic communications as well as the need for reliable,secure and guaranteed communications for a variety of other infrastructures,including energy and finance,governmental digital platforms and the overall increase of strategic data ce

20、ntres.The technology part provides an overview of the technologies currently shaping the industry.It identifies key trends such as the introduction of software-defined satellites,the deployment of new satellite constellation systems in low Earth orbits,the increased capacity offered by High-Throughp

21、ut Satellite(HTS)Systems and higher frequency bands,optical communications,the deployment of multi-orbit and multi-band terminals and 5G interoperability.Recent geopolitical tensions at the borders of our continent have spurred demand for secured,robust and uninterrupted SATCOM.Therefore,this report

22、 underscores the added value of space-based secure connectivity for authorized governmental users in their relevant fields.It aims at assisting stakeholders in identifying business opportunities,laying the groundwork for market development,and realizing the benefits of secure communications initiati

23、ves,both in the EU and globally.Happy reading!Rodrigo da Costa,EUSPA Executive Director5EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023HOW TO READ THIS REPORTHow to read this reportThe European Union Agency for the Space Programme(EUSPA)welcomes all readers to this first issue of

24、the Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report.As the first edition,this report marks EUSPAs entry into the realm of secure SATCOM.With its diverse array of reports,EUSPA comprehensively covers all components of the EU Space Programme(GNSS,Earth Observation and now also Secure Satellite Communi

25、cations),therefore providing valuable insights into the dynamic landscape of space technologies and services.Secure SATCOM provides one or two-way reliable,accessible and guaranteed satellite capacity/service for communications(cf.definition in Annex 2).This specialized facet operates within the bro

26、ader SATCOM domain,sharing similar space-based systems and involving equivalent actors along the value chain.As such,technological and economic trends that affect SATCOM also exert influence on secure SATCOM,establishing a logical correlation.The secure SATCOM market is structured in 13 use cases,so

27、rted into 4 categories,as follows:Surveillance(Land,Border and Maritime),Crisis Management(Maritime Emergency,Humanitarian Aid,Civil Protection,Law Enforcement Interventions,EU(European Union)External Actions and Forces Deployment),Key Infrastructure(Transport Infrastructures,Space Infrastructures,I

28、nstitutional Communications and Other Critical infrastructures)and secure communications in Polar regions.Users of the EU secure SATCOM services are the governmental entities from European Union Member States,European Union agencies&organisations and are located in the European Union or deployed wor

29、ldwide.The Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology report is structured as follows:A general overview presents the EU Space Programme,addressing its components:Galileo,EGNOS(European Geostationary Navigation Overlay Service),Copernicus,GOVSATCOM(GOVernmental SATellite COMmunications)and SSA(Space S

30、ituational Awareness),as well as the IRIS2(Infrastructure for Resilience,Interconnectivity and Security by Satellite).A specific focus in this report is put on GOVSATCOM IRIS2 and their synergies with the other components.This report specifically highlights how GOVSATCOM today and IRIS2 tomorrow,wil

31、l position themselves for the provision of secure SATCOM services to eligible governmental users.Delving further into the characterisation of secure SATCOM,the core of the report lies within the Secure SATCOM Market Demand section,which includes:An overview of the SATCOM market value.Given that secu

32、re SATCOM is an integral component of the broader SATCOM domain,the aim is to underscore the primary trends shaping the value of the secure SATCOM market.An estimate of the secure SATCOM capacity demand,by eligible EU governmental users,with a forecast covering the 20252040 period for the three use

33、case categories.A specific analysis to assess a set of Key Performances Parameters(KPP).A presentation and characterisation of several pertinent use cases,encompassing:Key stakeholders,Interconnected units and Secure SATCOM utilization,Demand dynamics and motivators,Trends and Geographic scope.Follo

34、wing the examination of the demand aspect,the report proceeds to analyse the Secure SATCOM Market Supply,from both governmental and commercial entities providing insights into potential developments spanning the period 2025 to 2040.Finally,a detailed end-to-end secure SATCOM system containing ground

35、,space and user segments is presented in the Secure SATCOM Technology section.The aim is to help the potential users to grasp and establish a connection between the technical characteristics of the SATCOM services and their significance.Key technological factors,as well as drivers and inhibitors and

36、 Cybersecurity elements are addressed to present the technology evolution in the near and upcoming future.Its important noting that,as the satellite communication market is in constant evolution(e.g.new entrants,evolution and consolidation of existing players,etc.)the information contained in this r

37、eport is provided as-is and might not fully capture recent developments.6EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023TABLE OF CONTENTFOREWORD 4EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 7THE EU SPACE PROGRAMME 8SECURE SATCOM MARKET:DEMAND 20USE CASES PRESENTATION 21OVERVIEW OF THE SECURE SATCOM DEMAND

38、23SECURE SATCOM DEMAND PER KPP 37USE CASES PRESENTATION 41SECURE SATCOM MARKET:SUPPLY 57OVERVIEW OF THE SECURE SATCOM SUPPLY 58SECURE SATCOM GOVERNMENTAL SUPPLY 63SECURE SATCOM COMMERCIAL SUPPLY 69SECURE SATCOM TECHNOLOGY 75DEFINITION OF SPACE-BASED SYSTEMS FOR SECURE SATCOM 76SPACE SEGMENT 77GROUND

39、 SEGMENT 84USER SEGMENT 87KEY TECHNOLOGICAL FACTORS ENABLING FUTURE SECURE SATCOM 94CYBERSECURITY 104ANNEXES 109 ANNEX 1:LIST OF ACRONYMS 109ANNEX 2:KEY TERMS 1127EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023Executive summaryThe European Union needs independent,secure,resilient

40、and high-speed space-based connectivity to satisfy the needs of European Union institutions,bodies,agencies and Member States.Secure SATCOM provides one or two-way reliable,accessible and guaranteed satellite capacity/service for communications.The first edition of the Secure SATCOM Market and User

41、Technology Report provides insights into the varied contributions of secure SATCOM across a range of governmental applications.These applications are categorized into three distinct use case categories:Surveillance,Crisis Management,and Key Infrastructure.Collectively,the report explores a total of

42、13 comprehensive individual use cases.Unless specified,the report addresses aspects related to the secure SATCOM market and user technology in the European Union(EU),though some considerations(e.g.economic and technological trends)also applyied at a global level.Relying on those 13 use cases,the dem

43、and for secure SATCOM for EU and its Members States is estimated to significantly increase over the 20252040 period,moving from 19 Gbps in 2025 to 186 Gbps in 2040(CAGR of 16%Compound Annual Growth Rate).The demand will come from a variety of assets and organisations who are estimated to benefit fro

44、m the provision of services and capacities from GOVSATCOM and in a later stage,the EU Secure Connectivity Programme IRIS2.Two types of satellite communication services are typically provided:MSS(Mobile Satellite Services)and FSS(Fixed Satellite Services),which use of different frequency-bands.FSS we

45、re initially designed for fixed users,while MSS were designed for mobile users.However,due to technological advancements,FSS serves effectively to cater the mobile users,resulting in blurring the boundaries between FSS and MSS.FSS satellite capacity demand is estimated to represent the largest part

46、of the anticipated traffic,most likely addressed via Ku-band,Ka-band and X-band.Traffic for the Crisis Management use case category is estimated to represent almost 50%of the total demand over the 2025 2040 period,primarily driven by the demand expected to support Forces Deployment.From a geographic

47、al perspective,about two-thirds of the FSS capacity demand comes from the EU continent&waters,followed by Middle East&Africa.The future use of secure SATCOM solutions will also be contingent upon the future supply.In particular,the level of demand,and in practice consumption of secure SATCOM will de

48、pend on the capacity and solutions being offered to end users in the observed period.Factors such as service type,volume,cost,and the availability of suitable user terminals with appropriate interoperability,affordability and easily deployable,are pivotal in shaping consumption.The supply of secure

49、SATCOM capacity/services can rely on the expertise and world-renowned excellence of the European space industryin the satellite communications sector,integrating the know-how of leading industrial players,such as manufacturers,launch service providers,satellite distribution partners,satellite operat

50、ors/service providers with the dynamism of an emerging New Space ecosystem.Secure SATCOM capacity can be provided to end-users via both EU governmental systems and EU commercial companies.Capacity from geostationary satellites is available and forecast to remain available in all major frequency-band

51、s being used to support voice and data streams,enabling various applications.Such capacity is limited in certain locations(especially outside European Union)and might be not sufficient to cover the whole aggregated expected demand.Capacity from assets located in NGSO(Non-GeoStationary Orbit)is curre

52、ntly available from an EU company through a single constellation of satellites operating in MEO(Medium Earth Orbit),in Ka-band,whose services are planned to be enhanced in 2023.While third countries have unveiled government-backed initiatives,the multi-orbit constellation IRIS2 shall complement and

53、integrate the existing and future capacities of the GOVSATCOM component of the European Union Space programme for the provision of secure satellite communications.The secure SATCOM market is impacted by the global SATCOM technology trends.The deployment of HTS/VHTS(Very High Throughput Satellites/Sy

54、stems)and the deployment of NGSO constellations contribute to significantly increasing the volume of capacity available.This additional capacity will lead to more cost-effective solutions for end-users.Among key technical factors,the development of multi-orbit/multi-band terminals could facilitate f

55、urther the adoption of secure SATCOM by end-users.Secure SATCOM systems need also to be protected against different types of threats(such as cyberattacks)to guarantee a reliable service.EXECUTIVE SUMMARY8EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023THE EU SPACE PROGRAMMETHE EU S

56、PACE PROGRAMME OVERVIEW OF THE EU SPACE PROGRAMME 9GOVSATCOM 11IRIS2 13SYNERGIES WITH EU SPACE PROGRAMME 17Chapter SummaryThis chapter introduces the EU Space Programme and its various components in the four major domains:Navigation,Earth Observation,Satellite Communications and Space Situational Aw

57、areness.It shows how these components aim to meet the European needs and challenges in different areas,such as the economy,climate,and security.This chapter helps to understand the current and future prospects of EU Space Programme and its impact on Europe and its economy.The chapter covers the foll

58、owing topics:Three operational pillars of the EU Space Programme:Galileo&EGNOS(European Geostationary Navigation Overlay Service),Copernicus and SSA(Space Situational Awareness).It describes their benefits,challenges,and importance for monitoring and protecting the space environment.The GOVSATCOM pr

59、ogramme component,which is dedicated to providing secure and cost-effective satellite communication services for governmental users,via pooling and sharing of existing space assets.It outlines its objective,scope,governance,users,and system elements.IRIS2 system will boostEU satellite-basedconnectiv

60、ity,establishing the Union Secure Connectivity programme.It will ensure reliable,secure and cost-effective global satellitecommunication servicesto governmentauthorisedusers as well enable services to commercial users with the aim to remove communication dead zonesandfosterEuropean competitiveness a

61、nd societalprogress.The synergies between the different components of the EU Space Programme and how they can enable innovative and integrated solutions for various applications.EUSPA9EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023THE EU SPACE PROGRAMMEOverview of the European Uni

62、on Space ProgrammeThe European Union Space Programme aligns with Europes core priorities.It contributes to achieving the European Green Deals climate neutrality goals,advances renewable energy,and promotes a circular economy.The EUs commitment to innovation,resource efficiency,and resilience support

63、s the digital transition,enhances competitiveness,and reinforces Europes global standing(1).(1)European Commission,2022.EU Legislative Priorities for 2023 and 2024:Joint Declaration of the European Parliament,the Council of the European Union and the European Commission.(2)European Commission,2022.E

64、u Space Programme Overview.OVERVIEW OF THE EU SPACE PROGRAMMEEU Space Programme Overview(2)The EU Space Programme embodies a multi-dimensional approach with three pivotal missions:Earth Observation,Navigation,and Protection and Secure Communication.It is composed of five integral components:Through

65、Copernicus,it empowers comprehensive Earth Observation,and monitoring based on satellite and non-space data for environmental and societal benefits,making it the worlds foremost provider of space data and information.Galileo is the European Global Satellite Navigation and Positioning System(GNSS),en

66、hancing satellite positioning and navigation accuracy.EGNOS enhances satellite positioning and navigation accuracy by enabling GNSS signals for safety-of-life applications in aviation.Protection and Secure Communication are bolstered by the GOVSATCOM component delivering secure satellite communicati

67、on services to EU authorised actors and delivers rapid support over crisis areas.The Space Situational Awareness initiative strides the European Union forward in comprehending and navigating the complex celestial environment,bolstering the EUs ability to monitor and ensure the safety and sustainabil

68、ity of space activities.In addition to those five components,the IRIS initiative has been recently added to complement the secured SATCOM component of the EU Space Programme.It aims to offer secure,reliable and cost-effective satellite communication services for authorized government users,and comme

69、rcial services3 missionsEarth ObservationNavigationProtection and Secure Communication5 programme components+IRIS2CopernicusEarth Observation(EO)and monitoring based on satellite and non-space dataGalileoGlobal satellite navigation and positioning system(GNSS)GOVSATCOMSecure satellite communications

70、 for EU security actorsEGNOSEnables the use of GNSS signals for safety of life applications in aviationSSASpace situational awareness monitoring and protecting space assets10EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023THE EU SPACE PROGRAMMESATCOM types and definitions(1)SECURE

71、SATCOM(Secure Satellite Communications)Secure SATCOM is defined as satellite-based,one or two-way communication capacity/service that is able to provide reliable,accessible and guaranteed satellite capacity/service for communications.It can be provided with any type of frequency band,by GOVSATCOM,CO

72、MSATCOM,MILSATCOM players.GOVSATCOMGOVSATCOM(Government Satellite Communications)MILSATCOM(Military Satellite Communications)COMSATCOM(Commercial Satellite Communications)GOVSATCOM are highly assured SATCOM offering a certain robust security level with some resilience.GOVSATCOM systems are generally

73、 considered less protected than MILSATCOM systems,but offer a higher degree of protection with respect to COMSATCOM systems.GOVSATCOM encompasses the communication services specifically tailored to meet the needs of governmental entities,as defined in the working document of the European External Ac

74、tion Service of 15/03/2017(2).This involves the deployment of satellite communication systems to ensure reliable,secure,and resilient communication for government operations,including defence emergency response,public safety,and diplomatic communication.MILSATCOM is a highly protected and guaranteed

75、 SATCOM,offer,generally provided by military systems,offering highly assured and protected satellite communication capacity,both in terms of nuclear hardening,anti-jamming/dazzle capacity and highly secure Telemetry,Tracking,and Command(TT&C),supplemented by an equally robust and resilient ground se

76、gment.The security and technology are highly specific and largely sovereign in nature.Those MILSATCOM systems are primarily designed for military purposes and are under national control.COMSATCOM refers to SATCOM capacity and service provided on the global open market,generally with a degree of on-d

77、emand access.These services encompass a wide range of sectors,including telecommunications,broadcasting,internet access,maritime communication,aviation,and more.COMSATCOM systems contribute to global connectivity and information dissemination.These diverse categories of SATCOM collectively form a ho

78、listic satellite communication ecosystem,where secure,governmental,military,and commercial functionalities synergistically meet to address communication requirements across various domains.Public authorities,including military forces,have harnessed satellite communications from both publicly owned s

79、atellites and market-procured services.The concept of furnishing satellite communication services for governmental purposes is commonly categorized into three tiers,each representing distinct levels of information assurance,although the precise definitions of these tiers may slightly differ.Progress

80、ing from commercial SATCOM to MILSATCOM signifies an elevated security threshold for the provided SATCOM service.This transition embodies an enhancement in security provisions.(1)SATCOM categories definitions are,together with other notions,provided in Annex 2.(2)Council of the European Union.2017.C

81、over Note:High Level Civil Military User Needs for Governmental Satellite Communications,March 22nd.11EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023THE EU SPACE PROGRAMMEGOVSATCOMTowards the EU GOVSATCOM initiativeIn 2013,following the Treaty of Lisbons establishment of the EU Sp

82、ace Policy,as a shared competence between the EU and Member States,the European Council endorsed the preparation for the next generation of GOVSATCOM through collaboration among Member States,the Commission,the European Space Agency(ESA),and the European External Action Service(EEAS).Addressing the

83、need for secure European space capabilities,the 2016 EU Global Strategy emphasized integrated conflict and crisis approaches,recognizing the critical role of satellite communications in defence,security,humanitarian aid,and emergencies.The GOVSATCOM programme component aims to support the establishm

84、ent of cutting-edge,secure satellite communication capabilities for governmental and security-related applications.This includes tailoring cost-effective solutions,enhancing market communication,and driving the growth of a competitive,innovative downstream industry.In particular,it will nurture inno

85、vation,entrepreneurship,and start-ups in line with its mission to boost technological autonomy,reinforce security,and foster a vibrant EU space ecosystem.Objective of the EU GOVSATCOM programmeThe GOVSATCOM program aims to achieve three primary objectives(1):Consolidate capacities,services,and users

86、 for better geographical coverage and efficiency,capitalizing on civil-military synergies,and minimizing duplication.Enhance the European Unions strategic capacity for civil protection and humanitarian actions both within Europe and globally.Establish cost-effective solutions that ensure secure and

87、readily available communication tools for EU governmental security and defence entities.Secure SATCOM builds upon the groundwork set by the GOVSATCOM initiative by utilising its established framework,infrastructure,and principles to offer enhanced and reliable secure communication solutions.EU GOVSA

88、TCOM programmeGOVSATCOM users GOVSATCOM users include Union or Member State public authorities as well as authorized individuals which are entrusted with tasks relating to the supervision and management of emergency and security-critical missions,operations and infrastructures(Art.65 of the EU Space

89、 Regulation(1).They require reliable,remote communication for emergencies or disrupted situations.GOVSATCOM will provide both military and civilian responders with the following usage(2):Crisis Management:Guaranteed communication services facilitating audio/video interaction.Data exchange between te

90、ams in the field,with their rear bases and with their command&control centres.Border and Maritime Surveillance:Near real-time distribution of sensitive information from surveillance platforms and sensors to border and maritime surveillance agencies.Connectivity between EU authorities,national author

91、ities and mobile patrols.Key Infrastructure Management:EU Member States diplomatic networks with an access to reliable and secure SATCOM independent from the hosting state,anywhere in the world.Key infrastructure managers with appropriate communication services when these are critical to their activ

92、ities.GOVSATCOM is also expected to be a key enabler for the implementation of security-related services in the Polar regions,the operation of Remotely Piloted Aircraft Systems(RPAS)/communication with their onboard sensors and Machine-to-Machine communications for applications where security is at

93、stake.(1)Regulation(EU)2021/696 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 28 April 2021 establishing the Union Space Programme and the European Union Agency for the Space Programme(2)European Commission,DG DEFIS.2021.GOVSATCOM Overview.12EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|I

94、SSUE 1,2023THE EU SPACE PROGRAMMEGOVSATCOMGOVSATCOM Hub and EUSPASecurity constitutes a significant facet within the GOVSATCOM Hub.The proposed long-term solution for the GOVSATCOM infrastructure prioritises robustness and relevant technology to meet stringent security requirements.This infrastructu

95、re acts as the operational interface,seamlessly connecting GOVSATCOM users with providers of secured satellite communication capacity and services.This Hub not only manages resource planning but also supports vigilant security monitoring.Its crucial role encompasses accessing resources from diverse

96、national and commercial SATCOM sources,each possessing unique proprietary interfaces and varying security levels.This approach ensures that security considerations are integral to resource procurement and compliance with applicable provisions.Focus on GOVSATCOM Hub(1)GOVSATCOM services will be acces

97、sible through a Hub,which will connect users with providers,optimizing the available resources and guaranteeing access,even in unpredictable situations.The recent Implementing Act issued in May 2023 outlines the GOVSATCOM Hubs functionalities and operational aspects(2).This EU-owned Hub will incorpo

98、rate all central functions to organise and manage demand and supply,and implement standardisation,security and governance.While aggregating the users demands,it will combine and link different satellite and ground infrastructure capacities into a system-of-systems approach.Based on redundant systems

99、 located in secured and protected sites,the GOVSATCOM Hub will be in charge of monitoring and ensuring the overall capacity and service planning as well as the security of the overall system.The GOVSATCOM Hub(1)EUSPA is preparing the design and the development of the infrastructure for the GOVSATCOM

100、 Hub through a multi-stage procurement process,and,depending on the availability of a hosting facility will proceed with its operational deployment and with an upgrade for scalability and connectivity purposes.EUSPA is also in charge of the coordination of the GOVSATCOM network of users,with the aim

101、 to voice the user perspective and regularly assess the market trends and associated demand.EUSPA has been leading the ENTRUSTED initiative,which aimed to:Set-up a network of governmental users of secure satellite communication services.Foster exchange of experience,developing know-how and creating

102、training and awareness content material.Establish a consolidated and prioritized set of user requirements across the addressed use cases.Create a long-term roadmap and coordination plan for Research&Innovation activities in the domain of user technologies.Prepare for the uptake of secure GOVSATCOM s

103、ervices.(1)European Commission,DG DEFIS.2021.Factsheet“How it works”,April 27th.(2)Commission Implementing Decision(EU)2023/1053 of 30 May 2023 laying down rules for the application of Regulation(EU)2023/588 of the European Parliament and of the Council as regards operational requirements for govern

104、mental services provided under Union Secure Connectivity Programme and its service portfolio.TransmissionOperationalMS-public/privateOperatorUSERMonitor&ensuresecurityServiceplanninginterfacesCapacityplanninginterfacesSecure GOVSATCOM Hub in operation13EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology

105、Report|ISSUE 1,2023THE EU SPACE PROGRAMMEIRIS2IRIS2 system will boost EU satellite-based connectivityIRIS2 backgroundThe EU socio-economic standards are adapting to digital transformation amidst rising geopolitical and cybersecurity challenges.Global satellite communication coverage represents a str

106、ategic infrastructure with dual-use implications.In the EUs satellite communication sector,a landscape characterised by robust competition prevails,as global operators deploy expansive satellite constellations to cater to consumer connectivity demands.Additionally,both Russia and China have unveiled

107、 government-backed initiatives for worldwide space infrastructure,aligned with a diverse range of strategic connectivity goals.Within this context:The President of the European Commission(EC)emphasized secure connectivity in her 2020 State of the Union.The October 2020 European Council conclusions u

108、rged digital sovereignty and industrial alliances,including for secure networks(1).In 2021,a study by a consortium of prominent European space and connectivity players assessed investment options for a new secure,sovereign satellite connectivity system.This system aims also to bolster the EUs existi

109、ng GNSS and Earth observation capacity.Following the Proposal for a regulation released by the European Commission in 2018,the formal initiative to establish an EU governmental satellite communications capability was approved through Regulation 2021/696(2)and funded under the 2021 2027 Multiannual F

110、inancial Framework(MFF).This legal framework sets common rules to all the components of the Space programme,including Galileo,EGNOS,Copernicus,GOVSATCOM and SST,setting out certain rules that are specific to each of these components.A Call for Tender was issued by the EC in 2021,entitled New Space s

111、olutions for long-term availability of reliable,secure,cost-effective,and space-based connectivity(3).The objective was to support the definition of the system architecture of an innovative EU space-based global secure connectivity system.On the 15th of February 2022,the European Commission proposed

112、 a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing the Union Secure Connectivity programme for the period 2023 2027(4),with the objective to develop a sovereign secure space-based connectivity system for the provision of satellite communication services to governmentalandcommer

113、cial users.On the 20th of March 2023,the Regulation(EU)2023/588 entered into force,establishing the Union Secure Connectivity programme for the period.As described in the regulation,the general objectives of the Secure Connectivity Programme are to:Ensure secure,autonomous,high-quality,reliable&cost

114、-effective satellite governmental communication services to government authorised users.Enable commercial services,or services offered to government-authorised users based on commercial infrastructure at market conditions.(1)European Commission,2021.Inception Impact Assessment for the Establishment

115、of an EU Space-based Global Secure Connectivity System.(2)Regulation(EU)2021/696 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 28 April 2021 establishing the Union Space Programme and the European Union Agency for the Space Programme.(3)European Commission,2021.New Space Solutions for Long-term A

116、vailability of Reliable,Secure,Cost Effective Space Based Connectivity 2021/S Contract notice Services.(4)European Commission,2022.Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing the Union Secure Connectivity programme for the period 20232027.14EUSPA S

117、ecure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023THE EU SPACE PROGRAMMEIRIS2 and GOVSATCOMThe release of the Regulation(EU)2023/588,establishing the Union Secure Connectivity programme for the period 20232027(1),describes the relationship between GOVSATCOM programme and IRIS2:The provision

118、 of the IRIS2 governmental services shall complement and integrate the GOVSATCOM component into the secure connectivity system.IRIS2 shall complement and integrate the existing and future capacities used in the framework of the GOVSATCOM component including the GOVSATCOM ground segment infrastructur

119、e,which is to be scaled up,in particular the GOVSATCOM Hub.IRIS and GOVSATCOM capacities and services listed in the service portfolio,would be jointly pooled and shared through the GOVSATCOM Hub.GOVSATCOM servicesThe GOVSATCOM service portfolio shall consist of the following categories of communicat

120、ion services(2):end-to-end services,allowing the user to connect to a network capable to provide services.anchored capacity services,allowing the user to use satellite capacity and associated anchoring station facility.raw capacity services,allowing the user to use satellite capacity(bandwidth).The

121、GOVSATCOM services shall be provided through the GOVSATCOM hub infrastructure.Definition of GOVSATCOM services is complemented by the Sharing and Prioritisation Implementation Act(3).IRIS2 servicesThe system implementing the Union Secure Connectivity Programme shall be designed to provide or enable

122、the following satellite communications services:The following services offered to governmental users based on the governmental infrastructure:Service#1:Robust Worldwide Low-latency Service.Service#2:Space Data Relay.The following services offered to governmental users based on the commercial infrast

123、ructure:Service#3:Assured Worldwide Low-latency Service.Service#4:Assured Worldwide Narrowband Service.(1)Regulation(EU)2023/588 of the European Parliament and of the Council of the 15th of March 2023,establishing the Union Secure Connectivity programme for the period 2023-2027.(2)Commission Impleme

124、nting Decision(EU)2023/1054 of 30 May 2023 laying down rules for the application of Regulation(EU)2021/696 of the European Parliament and of the Council as regards the service portfolio for the Governmental Satellite Communications services offered by the system established under the Union Space Pro

125、gramme.(3)Commission Implementing Decision(EU)2023/1055 of 30 May 2023 setting out the rules on the sharing and prioritisation of satellite communication capacities,services,and user equipment to fulfil the function referred to in Article 66(2)of Regulation(EU)2021/696 of the European Parliament and

126、 of the CouncilIRIS2IRIS2 will complement and expand the GOVSATCOM service portfolio15EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023THE EU SPACE PROGRAMMEIRIS2IRIS2 missions&use cases:guarantee provision of secure SATCOM servi-cesA reliable,secure and cost-effective governmental

127、communication serviceSurveillanceEncryption CapabilityAllow Mass-Market ServiceMobile BroadbandFixed BroadbandSatellite Trunking for B2B(Business to Business)servicesSatellite access for transportation for ships,airplanes,drones,connectedcarsReinforcement of terrestrial networks(resilience)asanalter

128、native incases of disruptive eventsCloudbased servicesGovernment and institutional usersData centresSatellite communication networksTerrestrial communication networksBanking industriesOther industriesConnecting key infrastructuresCrisis Management and external actionsIRIS is designed to enhance gove

129、rnmental communication services,ensuring reliability,security,and cost-effectiveness through a comprehensive set of use cases.Among these,this report primarily focuses on three pivotal categories:connecting key infrastructures,crisis management and external actions,as well as surveillance.Additional

130、ly,the program addresses commercialization aspects,including a mass-market service,and gradually integrate EuroQCI(Quantum Communication Infrastructure)for encryption capabilities.This innovative initiative bridges critical infrastructures,facilitates strategic crisis responses,extends connectivity

131、to key regions,and empowers secure communication,heralding an era of comprehensive and adaptable governmental communication solutions(1).IRIS2 InfrastructureThe IRIS2 infrastructure shall comprise a multi-orbit constellation system.The IRIS2 infrastructure will be composed of two components to serve

132、 both governmental and commercial services(2):Governmental infrastructure,called“hard gov”,(whose assets would be owned by European Union)dedicated to deliver strengthened governmental services.Commercial infrastructure,called“light gov”,(not owned by the European Union)able to provide services to g

133、overnmental users and commercial services.(1)European Union,2023.Factsheet:Iris:Infrastructure for Resilience,Interconnectivity and Security by Satellite,March.(2)European Commission,2023.IRIS Industry Information Day,March 30th.Unsplash Unsplash Unsplash Unsplash Unsplash16EUSPA Secure SATCOM Marke

134、t and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023THE EU SPACE PROGRAMMEIRIS2 SATCOM market analysisThe table below presents the positioning between IRIS2 with respect to a selection of GEO/NGSO constellation systems.The list of GEO/NGSO constellation systems is not exhaustive and mainly focus on NGSO high-t

135、hroughput for FSS systems.It is also worth mentioning that the position of the GEO/NGSO systems in each box does not illustrate a potential ranking.IRIS2 is a multi-orbit constellation(LEO,MEO,GEO)able to serve COMSATCOM,GOVSATCOM and MILSATCOM market segments.IRIS2 will be able to fill the gap that

136、 space powers are pursuing.GEOLimited latitudes/Restricted longitudeHigh latencyMEOLimited latitudes(for Equatorial)Full longitude coverageMedium latencyLEOGlobal coverageLow latencyGEO+MEO+LEOMILSATCOMGOVSATCOMComSATCOMSATCOMbwSicralWGSSyracuseGovsatAthena-FidusSpainsatSES(2)OneWebSpace XSpace XOne

137、WebStarlinkStarshieldSferaSESHispasat(2)O3b mPOWER+others non EU players(2)(Inmarsat,Telenor,Intelsat.)Eutelsat(2)The European Commission will consider military needs and requirements when defining the service portfolio of IRIS(1)Hardgov servicesLightgov servicesCommercial servicesTelesatAmazonLight

138、speedKuiperIridiumHellasSat(2)Iridium NEXTGuowangSDAs Transport LayerGreeComXTAR-EUR(1)European Commission,2023.European Union Space Strategy for Security and Defence,March 10th(2)For those satellite operators,we mean that satellite fleet can be used to provide satellite communications services.Whit

139、e box:satellite operator Purple box:GEO/NGSO systemDark blue box:IRIS2IRIS217EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023THE EU SPACE PROGRAMMESynergies between the different components of the EU Space Programme The establishment of EU Space Programme not only enhances the syne

140、rgies combining various EU space components data and services,the potential for governmental users becomes even more significant,as it amplifies their diverse components of the EU Space Programme but also reinforces the collective impact at both system and user level capability to revolu-tionize dai

141、ly operations and processes.This convergence of Secure Satellite Communications with Navigation and Earth Observation services and data empowers applications,making them more contextually relevant and profoundly transformative.The upcoming pages demonstrate a selected array of applications that prov

142、ide a glimpse into how the constituent parts of the EU Space Programme,coupled with their corresponding data and services,can collaboratively empower these endeavours.Smart emergency response vehicles serve as a critical asset for first responders,such as civil protection,ambulance servi-ces,and fir

143、e&rescue teams.The application integrates SATCOM to establish seamless connectivity for emergency response vehicles.Additionally,SAT-COM becomes imperative when terrestrial networks are unavailable.SATCOM technology enables real-time monitoring of emergency operations,fostering effective communicati

144、on among response teams and coordination centres.Earth Observation plays a crucial role in updating maps of affected areas.When incidents cause infrastructure damage,such as collapsed bridges or inaccessible roadways,EO data provides accurate and up-to-date information for informed decision-making a

145、nd navigation.Advanced GNSS technology equips these vehicles with precise positioning and navigation capabilities.This dual-purpose feature enhances emergency response efficiency by ensuring accurate route guidance.GNSS facilitates fleet tracking and management functionalities,optimizing resource al

146、location and coordination efforts.Management of refugee camps focuses on the efficient administration of refugee camps,providing essential humanitarian support to displaced populations.SATCOM technology empowers refugee camps with resilient broadband connectivity.This robust connectivity facilitates

147、 access to substantial data volumes,enabling camp administrators to efficiently share information.Earth Observation data is harnessed to optimise camp management.It assists in planning camp layouts and distributing essential resources like wells and medicine.By displaying settlement concentrations a

148、nd estimating population density across different areas of a camp,EO supports informed decision-making for resource allocation.SYNERGIES WITH EU SPACE PROGRAMME Pixabay Pixabay18EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023THE EU SPACE PROGRAMMESynergies between the different co

149、mponents of the EU Space Programme(continued)Coordination of Health,Medicine Response,and WASH(Water,Sanitation and Hygiene)Actions addresses the coordi-nation of health,medical responses,and Water,Sanitation and Hygiene initiatives during disasters.SATCOM ensures consistent and reliable communicati

150、on for telemedicine and telehealth services.By utilising two-way telecommunications technology,healthcare expertise can be shared remotely through multimedia and computer networks.Earth Observation contributes by providing detailed maps of affected areas,including post-event effects.It also allows p

151、opulation counting.Law Enforcement Assets Monitoring focuses on the management of fleets of ships,vehicles and aircrafts utilised by law enforcement and emergency services to enhance reactivity.SATCOM is integrated with terrestrial networks and gap filler technologies.This combination establishes co

152、mmunication links between transports and central information centres.Earth Observation data offers general weather information(especially when ships and aircraft are used)and infrastructure status,helping to mitigate risks of accidents and minimize impact,especially in emergency management scenarios

153、.GNSS is utilised for outdoor location services.These systems,combined with indoor technologies,expand location services into tunnels and ensure continuous and available positioning.Maritime Surveillance and Ship Detection centres:creation of a comprehensive situational overview for maritime surveil

154、lance.It involves the integration of data from diverse sources,including coastal stations,satellite imagery,speciali-zed aircraft,and patrol vessels.SATCOM technology addresses challenges in joint operations that arise from non-interoperable communication systems.Secure SATCOM specially allows to ex

155、change images and videos among different types of assets(surveillance aircraft,pa-trolling vessels,and command centres),providing a solution to communication issues with standardised and inter-operable communications means.Maritime surveillance utilises both EO components,radar and optical imagery f

156、or monitoring activities and ship detection.Spaceborne Synthetic Aperture Radar(SAR)is particularly valuable due to its ability to image day and night,and through cloud cover;and to identify ships(including those not utilising the AIS,Automatic Identification System).GNSS plays a vital role in preci

157、se tracking and monitoring of maritime activities,aiding in the effective management of shipping lanes and maritime borders.SYNERGIES WITH EU SPACE PROGRAMME AdobeStock AdobeStock Pixabay19EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023THE EU SPACE PROGRAMMESynergies between the d

158、ifferent components of the EU Space Programme(continued)Reduction of Illegal Poaching of Protected Wildlife Species targets the mitigation of wildlife trafficking,encompassing the illicit trade,poaching,and collection of endangered species.SATCOM enables the collection of data collected from distrib

159、uted sensors,and networks,allowing to identify suspicious activities in sensitive areas.AI-enhanced camera networks(AI Artificial Intelligence),connected via SATCOM to operations centres,facilitate real-time monitoring of parks and reserves.This enables rapid detection of potential illegal activitie

160、s,allowing law enforcement to initiate countermeasure swiftly.Earth Observation data,coupled with AI tools,has proven an invaluable tool for authorities combatting wildlife trafficking.Satellite imaging with AI enhancements serves as an effective method for tracking protected species,aiding in law e

161、nforcement efforts.GNSS-enabled telemetry from animal collars contributes to species preservation.These collars,equipped with GNSS receivers,data communication radio-modems and VHF(Very High Frequency)transmitters,allow authorities to monitor and protect wildlife populations.RECOMMENDED READ:EUSPAs

162、EO and GNSS Market ReportEUSPA offers a collection of informative reports,available for download through the following link.The most recent addition to this series is the EO/GNSS report.The present secure SATCOM report marks a significant milestone as the first comprehensive exploration of this them

163、atic area.With this addition,EUSPA comprehensively covers several components of the EU space programme(GNSS,Earth Observation and now also Secure Satellite Communications).The EUSPA EO and GNSS market report is a comprehensive source of knowledge and information on the dynamic,global EO&GNSS markets

164、.The report is published every two years,with the latest edition released in 2022.The report maintains a consistent structure while evolving from previous editions.Through the merger of EO and GNSS,the report offers insights into 15+distinct market segments.The report begins with an overview of the

165、EO and GNSS market,touching on trends,size,and revenues.It delves into Copernicus and EGNSS,their global role,and policy trends.The core of the report consists of market segments,each following a uniform structure.This issues Editors Special highlights Innovative Solutions for Health,showcasing EO a

166、nd GNSSs potential in mitigating global health challenges.The next issue of the EO and GNSS Market report,will be published in 2024.Visit https:/www.euspa.europa.eu/european-space/euspace-market/gnss-market/eo-gnss-market-report to download the most-up-to-date issue of the Report.SYNERGIES WITH EU S

167、PACE PROGRAMME60.921904N 20.712817E60.990011N 20.680237E60.993253N 20.453340E2022/ISSUE 1EUSPA EO and GNSS Market ReportInnovative Solutions for HealthEDITORS SPECIAL Pixabay20EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023THE EU SPACE PROGRAMME UnsplashSECURE SATCOM MARKET:DEMAND

168、Chapter SummaryAfter presenting the different components of the EU Space Programme,paying particular attention to GOVSATCOM and IRIS2,this chapter elaborates on the forecasted demand for secure SATCOM services and their drivers.With this aim,the chapter describes how secure SATCOM networks are desig

169、ned and operated,as well as the main providers and business models associated to these services.The current and future needs of the concerned users and use cases for secure SATCOM are described,as well as the key performance parameters and requirements for the envisaged secure SATCOM capacity demand

170、.The chapter covers the following topics:A brief overview of the overall SATCOM market value and the drivers that are shaping the industry,creating opportunities and challenges for different services and applications.Such trends for SATCOM market value are also applicable to secure SATCOM market.A d

171、eep dive into the secure SATCOM market,in terms of main service provision stakeholders,value chain,business model options and factor influencing the market dynamics.The secure SATCOM use cases in the European Union alongside the driving elements and barriers/inhibitors that affect the demand amongst

172、 the user groups.The forecasted secure SATCOM capacity demand over the 2025 2040 period.USE CASES PRESENTATION 21OVERVIEW OF THE SECURE SATCOM DEMAND 23SECURE SATCOM DEMAND PER KPP 37USE CASES PRESENTATION 4121EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023SECURE SATCOM MARKET DEM

173、ANDUSE CASES PRESENTATIONKey SATCOM market trendsSatellite Communications are widely used in a variety of applications,ranging from consumer TV broadcasting,maritime and plane communications,to governmental and even military use cases.The sum of all those uses represents the overall SATCOM market.Wi

174、thin this envelope,the secure SATCOM market is intended as the market related to three distinct use case categories(i.e.Surveillance,Crisis Management and Key Infrastructure,cf.page 30).The secure SATCOM market is quite strategic even though it represents just a fraction of the overall SATCOM market

175、.It is expected to be influenced by similar trends.Furthermore,the overall SATCOM market is conventionally split into two distinct categories:video and data.Video encompasses distribution of TV channels by satellites and professional exchanges of video content.The Data category comprises several ser

176、vice types,including Consumer Broadband,Enterprise Networks,Maritime,Aero,Cellular Backhaul&Trunking and MILSATCOM.The QoS(Quality of Service)would among other parameters-be different from one service to another.The present report will first offer an overview of the overall SATCOM market,along with

177、its economic quantification in terms of revenues(projected up to 2031).Subsequently,its secure portion is characterised in terms of capacity demand(Mbps),spanning the period 2025 2040,as illustrated on page 35.The SATCOM industry has continued and accelerated its deep transformation in the 2022s inc

178、reasingly competitive environment.The revenue from video capacity has been decreasing,while data revenue is on an upward trend(see next page).The move from video to data is highlighted by the decline of GEO Regular satellite(mainly used for video)and increase of GEO-HTS/NGSO-HTS(mainly used for data

179、)(cf.definition of regular and HTS in Annex 2).The pie chart on the right presents the revenues per capacity type(GEO-Regular,GEO-HTS and NGSO-HTS)in 2021 and a projection in 2031.The rapidly growing importance of NGSO in connectivity markets is impacting the overall SATCOM industry with an in-creas

180、ing number of players looking at a multi-orbit strategy to expand their business.Over the last two years,significant developments have unfolded in the NGSO sector,encompassing new constellation orders,the commencement of Starlink services,the Eutelsats combination of activities with OneWeb,and the f

181、ull deployment of OneWebs 1st generation satellites.For the coming years,it is noteworthy to mention the planned entry of service of O3b mPOWER by the end 2023 and the services of Telesat Lightspeed scheduled to begin in late 2027.The growth of overall SATCOM revenue is mainly driven by NGSO constel

182、lation with a move from 328M(2021)to 10 478M(2031).Such trend would also impact secure SATCOM Market.Consequently,NGSO constellation are assessed to be also from a market value point of view-the major growth driver for secure SATCOM.Revenue breakdown by capacity type,million,2021(1)(2)9 26 MNGSO-HTS

183、 328 MGEO-HTS 2.584 MGEO-Regular 6.350 MNGSO-HTS 10.478 MGEO-HTS 6.614 MGEO-Regular 3.235 MRevenue breakdown by capacity type,million,2031(1)(2)20 328 M(1)“Satellite Connectivity and Video Market,29th Edition,Euroconsult”Euroconsult(2)Original data is in U.S.$.Converted in,using a conversion rate of

184、 1,10$/(average value from European Central Bank over July 2023)22EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023SECURE SATCOM MARKET DEMANDUSE CASES PRESENTATIONSATCOM market growth is driven by services&data The introduction of cost-effective systems(such as HTS(High Throughput

185、Satellites)payloads,NGSO constellations)and a fiercely competitive market have contributed to changes in strategies,with operators pushed to look for extra revenues to avoid the commodity price trap.Operators have increasingly set their sights on a new revenue stream:services.The latter have been on

186、 a downward trend since 2017,mainly due to the negative impact of video services and the impact of COVID-19 in 2020-21 on mobility markets.However,FSS service revenues are poised to experience a resurgence in growth which in 2022.Revenues are projected to escalate from 98.5 billion to 112.4 billion

187、between 2021 and 2031,culminating in cumulative earnings of 1.1 trillion over the decade.The decline in capacity demand for video services is expected to persist,primarily affecting mature TV markets.On the other hand,all data markets,are projected to experience substantial growth.Among others,direc

188、t-to-device(D2D)data revenues are also estimated to grow,but is not included in our market value assessment.The data services are expected to grow from 14.8 billion in 2021 to 46.7 billion in 2031(10-year CAGR:12%),with all data segments contributing to revenue growth by 2031.Overall,the share of da

189、ta applications is set to jump from 15%of total service revenues in 2021 to 42%by 2031.Drivers will include growth in subscribers/sites and ARPUs(Average Revenue Per User,the amount of money received from each user on average),supported by the improving abilities of satellite technology to support h

190、igher quality broadband connectivity.Additional factors contributing to this trend will involve the expansion of communication demands driven by data-intensive applications,alongside broader movements aimed at achieving universal access and closing the digital divide.Furthermore,the utilization of s

191、atellite connectivity for mobile applications plays a role in this trajectory.Capacity revenues will follow a similar trend as service revenues for both data and video segments.On the data side,capacity revenues is estimated to be multiplied by four to more than 17.4 billion in 2031.Further drops in

192、 the pricing levels are expected with the entry into service of new VHTS(Very High Throughput Satellites)and NGSO constellations,which is estimated to drive demand for data services and contribute to revenue growth.Data and services would create value for secure SATCOMService(and not capacity)and da

193、ta are also estimated to be the growth driver from a market value point of view for secure SATCOM.Revenues for Data segments,billion (2021 2031)(1)(2)Revenues for Video segments,billion (2021 2031)(1)(2)Capacity revenueService revenueCapacity revenueService revenue202314.4B4.8B17.4B3B14.8

194、B83.7B46.7B65.7B(1)“Satellite Connectivity and Video Market,29th Edition,Euroconsult”Euroconsult(2)Conversion rate of 1,10$/(average value from European Central Bank over July 2023)23EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023SECURE SATCOM MARKET DEMANDOVERVIEW OF THE SECURE S

195、ATCOM DEMANDFocus on secure SATCOMFrom now onwards,the report will specifically focus on the secure SATCOM market,in terms of secure satellite connectivity value chain,service provision,business models,users,use cases and forecasted secure SATCOM capacity demand,over the 2025 2040 period.Each use ca

196、se is presented individually,focusing on the actors,the connected units and their use of secure SATCOM,the dynamics and drivers of the use case demand and the required geographical coverage as well.Regarding the secure SATCOM capacity demand forecast,the analysis mainly focuses on FSS,as the vast ma

197、jority of the satellite capacity demand arises from FSS.In addition,the analysis is provided over the 2025 2040 period,characterising the demand through Key Performance Parameters(KPP).A set of 5 Key Performance Parameters are introduced to identify future demand patterns across the estimated demand

198、,regarding,for instance,the latency or the geographical coverage.EUSPA Unsplash Unsplash24EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023SECURE SATCOM MARKET DEMANDOVERVIEW OF THE SECURE SATCOM DEMANDTypical System ArchitectureOrganisation of a satellite communication network stru

199、ctureTo establish a SATCOM link between two or multiple users and/or user networks,three essential components are necessary for both SATCOM and secure SATCOM,in conjunction with transmission networks.The figure provides a schematic representation of these distinct elements(more in-depth technical in

200、sights are given in section secure SATCOM technology,from page 80).Space segment:A satellite(or a set of satellites for constellation)with different existing designs.Satellites can operate in different orbits and be part of different constellation concepts.Satellites are composed of a platform(also

201、called bus)and one or several payloads.The payload(s)is/are really tailored to the mission(s)of the system.Space segment is manufactured by satellite manufacturers,purchased and operated by satellite operators.Ground segment:It consists of all the ground-based elements of a space-based system requir

202、ed to operate the satellite(s)and distribute the payload(s)data among interested parties on the ground,via a dedicated network.Ground segment is mainly made of several ground stations,called Hub or gateway.Those ground stations can be grouped in a ground site called teleport.User segment:User segmen

203、t is made of various satellite communication terminals that usually support voice and data transmissions(both in reception and transmission).The user terminal includes the RF(Radio Frequency)equipment and the modem as well as the interfaces to the user networks and the user himself.It also includes

204、the management aspects to sufficiently interact with the overall SATCOM system.The user terminal itself can be furnished as part of the SATCOM service or it can be a terminal provided by the end-user.Terminals which are provided by a satellite operator/service provider will generally lock the end-us

205、er into the SATCOM platform provided by that provider only;whereas a terminal provided by an end-user can be used on a wide variety of SATCOM platforms.However,the space segment,the ground segment and the user segment alone do not suffice.Provision of secure SATCOM requires additional entities who d

206、esign services in line with user requirements,define technical requirements to satisfy user needs(aiming at an optimized use of the available resources)and assess the economic viability of service provision.Such entities are called service providers,and the characteristics of the service provision a

207、re defined in a contract between the service provider and the end users.As a result,the provision of SATCOM/secure SATCOM services necessitates a cohesive set of actors operating within a value chain structure.Within this framework,the role of each entity is precisely delineated.The subsequent page

208、outlines the pivotal contributors in the value chain responsible for providing secure SATCOM services.Notably,it is important to reiterate that both SATCOM and secure SATCOM share the same satellite communication networks and value chain,as highlighted at the beginning of this page.Mobile user(usual

209、ly receive&transmit)Fixed communication user(usually receive&transmit)Space segmentUser segment(Hub/gateway/teleport)Central anchor stationGround segmentFiberlink Terrestrial Network25EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023SECURE SATCOM MARKET DEMANDOVERVIEW OF THE SECURE

210、SATCOM DEMAND Thales Alenia Space(EU)Airbus Defence and Space(EU)OHB System(EU)SSTL(U.K.)*Boeing Satellite Systems(U.S.)*Lockheed Martin(U.S.)*Maxar Technologies(U.S.)*Northrop Grumman Innovations System(U.S.)*Energia(Russia)*ISS Khrunichev(Russia)*Mitsubishi(Japan)*CAST(China)*ISRO(India)*TAI(Turke

211、y)*IAI(Israel)*INVAP(Argentina)*SES(EU)Eutelsat/OneWeb(EU)Hispasat(EU)Hellas Sat(EU)Ovzon(EU)Hisdesat(EU)DGA(Dlgation Gnrale de lArmement)Italian MoD(Ministry of Defence)German MoD Telenor(Norway)*Avanti(U.K.)*Inmarsat(U.K.)*Telesat(Canada)*Intelsat(U.S.)*Viasat(U.S.)*Echostar(U.S.)*Arabsat(Saudi Ar

212、abia)*Star One(Brazil)*Measat(Malaysia)*China Satcom(China)*Thales(EU)SSC(EU)Intellian(U.S.)*Hughes(U.S.)*Gilat(Israel)*ST Engineering(Singapore)*Viasat(U.S.)*Cobham(U.S.)*L3 Harris(U.S.)*Kymeta(U.S.)*ALL.SPACE(U.K.)KSAT(Norway)*Airbus CIS(EU)Telespazio(EU)Marlink(EU)IEC Telecom(EU)Otesat Maritel(EU

213、)ATCO(Airbus Telespazio Capacity Operator)(2)Speedcast(U.S.)*Sagenet(U.S.)*Galaxy Broadband(Canada)*PSN(Indonesia)*Bharti(India)*Sencinet(Brazil)*Military forces Border surveillance authorities Maritime community Police and Homeland security forces Civil Protection entities Humanitarian aid responde

214、rs Civil and military operators of key infrastructure such as:-Institutional and diplomatic networks-Transport infrastructure(air,rail and road)-Space infrastructure and servicesThe value chain considers the key global players involved in systems manufacturing,satellite integration,satellite operati

215、ons and downstream services creation and distribution.The lists of the presented companies is not exhaustive.*Indicate the companies,whose HQs(Headquarters)are not based in the EU.(1)Including User Terminal(2)ATCO is a Joint-Venture between Airbus and Telespazio to provide military communication ser

216、vices using SYRACUSE IV(French military satellite)Satellite ManufacturerSatellite OperatorGround Segment Manufacturer(1)Service ProvidersEnd Users 26EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023SECURE SATCOM MARKET DEMANDOVERVIEW OF THE SECURE SATCOM DEMANDCommercial satellite o

217、peratorsEstablished satellite operators,whether operating GEO satellites or NGSO satellites systems,are usually the owners of their ground infrastructure.Each GEO satellite usually has its own ground infrastructure.Satellite operators might lease/manage capacity or network solutions(including equipm

218、ent)either directly to the end consumer or through a service provider.It is noteworthy that equipment can be located in a proprietary site or hosted in third-party owned site.Examples of European Union companies(1):SES,Eutelsat,Hellas Sat,Hispasat/Hisdesat,OvzonService providersService providers lin

219、k the satellite operators to the end users.Providers exist in a wide variety of forms,ranging from teleport operators to local resellers,and develop value-added services.The frontiers between activities are partly blurred because,depending on the market they serve and,on their activities,service pro

220、viders can operate in SATCOM only or on other domains at the same time(Earth observation and Navigation).Some companies own and operate their own ground segment,buying wholesale capacity from satellite operators and tailoring their own offering before reselling it to end users.Providers can also del

221、iver services directly to certain customers.Examples of European Union companies(1):Telespazio,Airbus,MarlinkType of ownershipA companys type of ownership can have an impact on its provided service.For example,a decision can be taken amongst the ownership and the administration of a country to withd

222、raw services or to take full control of its facilities in order for a hostile entity not to be able to act and infringe upon the sovereign status of the company.The following three types of ownership are observed:Privately held company:A registered company that is held in private ownership and is no

223、t quoted on a public stock exchange.This type of company is likely to have a reason to change in ownership profiles,but a change of ownership could occur without warning.Publicly listed company:A publicly listed company is a registered company with shares traded on a public stock exchange.Share can

224、be bought and sold,and there are normally several large shareholders controlling the majority of the shares.Government owned:An organisation that is government owned or controlled,either as sovereign entity or an Intergovernmental organisation.Service provision for secure SATCOM servicesSecure SATCO

225、M services can be provided by two types of companies:the commercial satellite operators and the service providers.Indeed,commercial satellite operators can also offer directly secure SATCOM services to users(cf.page 60 for more details on the vertical integration trend for the satellite operators).(

226、1)List is not exhaustive and intends to present a selection of the most relevant companies for the provision of secure SATCOM services.27EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023SECURE SATCOM MARKET DEMANDOVERVIEW OF THE SECURE SATCOM DEMANDBusiness models for satellites ope

227、ratorsThe GOVSATCOM service portfolio shall consist of three different categories of communication services:end-to-end services(allowing the user to connect to a network capable to provide services),anchored capacity services(allowing the user to use satellite capacity and associated anchoring stati

228、on facility)and raw capacity services(allowing the user to use satellite capacity/bandwidth)(1).Following the GOVSATCOM service portfolio taxonomy,the following table presents the different items that will compose the provision of the services by a satellite operator(as mentioned in the previous pag

229、e,secure SATCOM services can be provided by satellite operators and service providers).The part of the services that are not included in the red dot line,are provided by the service provider(2).(1)Commission Implementing Decision(EU)2023/1054 of 30 May 20223 laying down rules for the application of

230、Regulation(EU)2021/696 of the European Parliament and of the Council as regards the service portfolio for the Governmental Satellite Communications services offered by the system established under the Union Space Programme.(2)In case of GOVSATCOM service provision,service provider includes also GOVS

231、ATCOM participant.Regulation(EU)2021/696 of the European Parliament and of the council of 28 April 2021 establishing the Union Space Programme and the European Union Agency for the Space Programme and repealing Regulations(EU)No 912/2010,(EU)No 1285/2013 and(EU)No 377/2014 and Decision No 541/2014/E

232、UEND-TO-END SERVICESANCHORED CAPACITY SERVICESRAW CAPACITY SERVICESSATELLITE BANDWITH/CAPACITY Capacity managed by the operator/provider from/to router/switch of anchor station Raw capacity packaged and sold to Service Providers or directly to the end user Raw capacity sold (in MHz)to Service Provid

233、ers or directly to the end user.GROUND INFRA Owned and managed by satellite operator.Vendor specific Owned and managed by satellite operator.Maybe co-located with the feeder link Can be produced or leased by third partiesNETWORK OPERATIONS Smart routing and network optimization managed by satellite

234、operator,together with the integration with terrestrial network Routing and integration with terrestrial network to be arranged with third parties Smart routing,network optimization and integration with terrestrial network to be arranged with third partiesSERVICE PROVISION Operator/Provider responsi

235、ble for full connectivity service integration and performance(QoS).Includes the provision of capacity as well as a central anchor station and customer support Satellite raw capacity only A third party Service Provider designs the desired services(i.e.SLA and CIR Committed Information Rate)Mobile use

236、r(usuallyreceive&transmit)Fixed communication user(usually receive&transmit)Central anchor station(Hub/gateway/teleport)+Full-service service integration Fiber linkTerrestrial Network28EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023SECURE SATCOM MARKET DEMANDOVERVIEW OF THE SECURE

237、 SATCOM DEMANDBusiness models for satellites operators(continued)Historically,the satellite operator industry was structured around fixed prices that were applicable to a contract for several years.As such,pricing was often expressed in/MHz/year.Since several years ago,pricing contracts have been us

238、ing Mbps instead of MHz;this trend has developed in parallel with the growth of data services and the services provided by HTS systems.In addition,and in correlation with a marked decrease in satellite capacity,an increasing number of operators have started to move down in the value chain by offerin

239、g managed capacity directly using Mbps or GB(GigaByte)as opposed to using raw capacity(in MHz).Beyond those trends,several factors have affected the price of satellite capacity including frequency-band,power,back up duration and volume of the lease.Other operator-specific factors(a unique beam or in

240、terconnectivity scheme,exclusive coverage/power level,teleport service,backhaul service)have come into play.These factors help differentiate satellite bandwidth from a commodity and highlight satellites ability to provide services that could not exist without them(aero/maritime connectivity)or that

241、alternative terrestrial solutions would not provide as efficiently from a financial point of view.While all customers of capacity expect a high-quality service,different types of customers have different priorities,and this can greatly affect capacity pricing.The red box on the right provides a samp

242、le of the criteria that certain user segments consider to be highly important for them.Four major factors contribute to the definition of capacity pricing in the various regions and segments:The purchasing power of the targeted customers.The cost-efficiency of satellite assets(i.e.,the price level r

243、equired to generate a return).The balance between supply and demand/the level of competitive pressure.The nature of the operator(fully commercial,government owned).Sample of basic requirements for secure SATCOM provisionsDepending on regulatory obligations&the criticality of communications these may

244、 be the basic requirements:A high availability rate for the network.A cost-effective solution for users(with varied levels of sensitivity).For mobile and/or occasional requirements(such as defence users),there may be:The ability to provide seamless connections to different locations.A single contact

245、 point for capacity management.Strong back-up options in case of satellite failure.Role and impact of newcomersNew entrants refer to non-incumbent/non-legacy secure SATCOM providers(for instance,SES,Eutelsat,Marlink are incumbent players).They have to face high barriers to entry such as the finite r

246、esource of orbital positions/frequencies,need for high upfront CAPEX(Capital Expenditure)before operations and high technical expertise throughout the satellite lifecycle.Their impact is twofold:Firstly,they provide innovative solutions which open the door to new applications or unlock some barriers

247、 to entry.For instance,new technologies have enabled the production of low-cost,low-power,small size antennas for fixed and mobile terminals.More generally,newcomers disrupt the traditional way of doing things.In addition.New entrants reinforce the competition between the market players and lead the

248、m to develop innovative and cost-effective solutions providing benefits for the end-users.For instance,Starlink(SpaceX)could have a significant impact on the satellite capacity pricing in a short-term perspective by leading incumbent satellite operators/service providers to adapt to new market condi

249、tions.29EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023SECURE SATCOM MARKET DEMANDOVERVIEW OF THE SECURE SATCOM DEMANDMajor features of secure SATCOM services defined by contractual agreementsFocus on the Service Level Agreement(SLA)A Service-Level Agreement(SLA)is a contract betw

250、een the provider of the services and its customers that documents what services the provider will furnish and defines the service standards the provider is obligated to meet.Service providers need SLAs to help them manage customer expectations and define the severity levels and circumstances under w

251、hich they are not liable for outages or performance issues.Customers can also benefit from SLAs because the contract describes the performance characteristics of the service which can be compared with other vendors SLAs and sets forth the means for redressing service issues.For secure SATCOM,the SLA

252、 is usually more demanding than for SATCOM as it generally includes a higher level of guarantee for the provision of the services.SLAs can be classified in different types,from the less to the more demanding.An SLA includes generally the following items:Guarantee of access to the service:Commitment

253、from the service provider to provide the service according to the agreed contractual performances(generally greater than 99%).In general,the more demanding are SLAs regarding service continuity and availability,the greater the impact on the price of its provision.Reporting processes:Definition of th

254、e process for reporting some information on a periodic basis or on request when an incident happens.Customer support:Provision of a dedicated service manager and 24/7/365 customer service.Agreement for restoration times or reaction times to respond to an incident,warehouses(for maintenance and repai

255、r of the hardware equipment),training.Potential additional value-added services such as Cloud connectivity,End-to-end managed services using SD-WAN(Software-Defined Wide Area Network)orchestration,Bandwidth on demand,Data management(web compression,filtering and firewalling),IT services.Business mod

256、el for terminalsThe customer for secure SATCOM services can have different approach to the procurement and operation of terminals:Build:The customer procures bespoke terminals developed according to their specification.Buy:The customer procures the terminal according to dedicated catalogues.Lease:Th

257、e customer procures access to terminal through lease agreements with suppliers.Gov2Gov:The governmental user gains access to terminals through agreements with other governments or institutions(European Commission,European Defence Agency,NATO(North Atlantic Treaty Organisation).For instance,as a part

258、 of EU SATCOM market(led by EDA),Airbus delivers SATCOM services to EU member States,EU military and civilian missions,as well as EU bodies.The contract covers the provision of satellite communication(C-,Ku-,Ka-and L-band),the sale and rental of terminals,as well as the provision of turnkey solution

259、s,particularly in theatres of operations outside of the EU.In the frame of this contract,Marlink supply some of the terminals and specific L-and Ku-band services.As of April 2022,the EU SATCOM market had 33 members and,on average,a new SATCOM order is coming in every 1.5 days.The chosen approach by

260、the customer may depend on the characteristics of the use case/mission.As of today,most of the terminals used for the provision of secure SATCOM services are bought.Indeed,in addition to the ownership(which guarantee access to terminal availability),“buy”choice has an advantage from a financial poin

261、t of view:customers request the relevant budget only at the purchase period,and not on a yearly basis to pay the lease.It is noteworthy,that in case of lease,the terminal has to be returned in good working condition at the end of the lease agreement while some working conditions and environment can

262、be harsh for some mission/use cases.30EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023SECURE SATCOM MARKET DEMANDOVERVIEW OF THE SECURE SATCOM DEMANDSecure SATCOM use cases in the EUThe secure SATCOM market is shaped according to the list of the use cases categories envisaged for G

263、OVSATCOM as identified below and considered the GOVSATCOM component of the EU Space Programme(cf.page 11).In addition to the three use case categories(surveillance,crisis management and key infrastructure),another use case category exists,named Specific Use Case.In the frame of the present satellite

264、 capacity demand analysis,it includes one use case(“Polar regions”)which has been identified as users or potential users of satellite communications in Polar regions(i.e.Arctic region)for EU Member States and EU Institutional entities.Some user needs may apply to more than one category,for instance

265、the satellite communication demand from the Specific Use Case“RPAS C&C”is included in all the use cases where RPAS(i.e.UAV(Unmanned Aerial Vehicle)is concerned.Similarly,the demand for the Specific Use Case“M2M(Machine to Machine)/IoT(Internet of Things)”is included in several use cases such as Tran

266、sport Infrastructures and Other Critical Infrastructures.The different use case categories include both missions currently using SATCOM to a large extent and missions which are not yet SATCOM users or are only to a limited extent.SurveillanceCrisis ManagementKey InfrastructureSpecific Use CaseMariti

267、me Emergency(i.e Search&Rescue missions and response to maritime disasters)Land Border Surveillance(i.e the surveillance of sea and land border)Transport Infrastructures(i.e Air,Road,Rail and Maritime traffic management)Polar regions(i.e SATCOM for government,public and scientific research instituti

268、ons in Arctic region)Humanitarian Aid(i.e the assistance in case of disasters/conflicts,to refugees and telemedicine)Maritime Surveillance(i.e the surveillance of illegal activities)Space Infrastructures(i.e support to GNSS,EO and SSA activities)Civil Protection(i.e activation of the related forces

269、such as ambulance,fire rescue in case of disasters)Institutional Communications(i.e SATCOM for embassies,EU representations offices)EU External Actions(i.e CSDP missions,election observation and contribution to UN missions)Other Critical Infrastructures(i.e SATCOM link for critical infrastructure su

270、ch as energy grid and financial ones)Forces Deployment(i.e the deployment of EU Member States forces as part of national/European missions)Law Enforcement Interventions(i.e national police misions and fight against international organized crime groups)31EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology

271、 Report|ISSUE 1,2023SECURE SATCOM MARKET DEMANDOVERVIEW OF THE SECURE SATCOM DEMANDFactors influencing the demand of secure SATCOM(1)Banque Mondiale.Croissance du PIB(%annuel.(2)World Bank Blogs.2023.Sowing the seeds of change to solve the water crisis,August 18(3)European Commission.What the Commis

272、sion is doing.Borders and security.Geopolitical trends&evolution of threat environmentGeopolitical tensions increase the needs for border and maritime surveillance,security of the key infrastructure,diplomatic activities and crisis management missions.Climate change&global warmingChanging climatic c

273、onditions have two types of major consequence,leading to a growing needs for secure SATCOM.Firstly,global warming will lead to more humanitarian crises and secondly,it will also increase shifts in population,requiring more border surveillance and humanitarian activities.Economic growth&rise of digit

274、al economyEconomic growth(or slowdown)may have a major impact on world trade and commercial exchanges,especially for aircrafts and merchant ships.Since the middle of 20th century,the GDP(Gross Domestic Product)has continuously grown with a temporary decrease in 2008(financial crisis)and 2020(COVID-1

275、9)(1).The World Banks short term forecasts point to continued growth in the global economy(2).National and International regulations/EU policyRegulations and EU Policies are major growth drivers for secure SATCOM.An example is the European Security Strategy and the Internal Security Strategy efforts

276、 to make Europe more secure by fighting terrorism and serious crime,and strengthening cooperation on law enforcement,border management,civil protection and disaster management(3).Fragmentation of the demandThe so-called“fragmentation of the demand”refers to the diversity of the users needs and requi

277、rements.Differences can vary from the applications being used,to the nature of traffic(permanent links to on-demand/occasional requirement),to the location of the users(fixed location,transportable,mobile)etc.Affordable and interoperable equipmentThe end-users need to have access to equipment suitab

278、le and adequate to perform their missions.Among all the elements of the satellite communication value chain,the terminals are a major point.Terminals must be fit for the purpose and need to be available at an affordable price.Need for significant awareness and expertise of the usersAwareness of the

279、actual benefits and the key advantages of secure satellite communications solutions is a key driver for the user demand.In addition,the end-users must be trained to exploit the secure satellite communication capabilities during the missions.DRIVERSBARRIERS&INHIBITORSThe following table presents key

280、driving elements,barriers and inhibitors for the use of secure SATCOM by National and European user communities.They apply to different use cases/use case categories with different levels of impacts.For each use case,a presentation of the dynamics and drivers of the demand will be provided in the ne

281、xt pages.32EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023SECURE SATCOM MARKET DEMANDOVERVIEW OF THE SECURE SATCOM DEMANDMethodology used to assess secure SATCOM capacity demand for the European Union usersUsers of secure SATCOM are civil and military entities supervising or manag

282、ing security-critical missions or infrastructures,including Union and Member State public authorities;they can be located in European Union or deployed worldwide.The quantified demand presented in the next pages concerns users belonging to each EU Member States,as well as EU Institutional entities,l

283、ocated in the European mainland and worldwide(1),across the identified secure SATCOM use cases(1).A bottom-up approach was followed,assessing each use case and end-users requirements as well.The analysis also takes into account the dynamics and drivers of every type of missions and applications.The

284、analysis starts with the identification of all actors,end-users and the assets,and the staff needed to be deployed in order to comply with the missions.The analysis also includes the estimated number of units and assets deployed taking into account both:the geographical distribution.the needs or act

285、ual use that may be different for EU Member States and for EU Institutional entities as well as by types of mission.In the frame of satellite capacity forecast,the vast majority of the satellite capacity demand arises from FSS.However,MSS data would be important for the future secure SATCOM offering

286、.MSS terminals operate in lower frequency-band(such as L-band or S-band),with limited data rate but have smaller size and are provided at lower cost in comparison to FSS terminals.Finally,the analysis provides the information on the amount of satellite capacity forecast to be used per use case categ

287、ory.The analysis does not include the user demand which might be possibly satisfied by optical links.(1)Regulation(EU)2021/696 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 28 April 2021 establishing the Union Space Programme and the European Union Agency for the Space Programme,Article 65.Step b

288、y step approach by use caseIdentification of actors and end-usersIdentification of units(staffs,assets.)Penetration rate(FSS&MSS)Connected Units(FSS&MSS)Average Data Rate per Units(FSS&MSS)Total Capacity Demand(FSS&MSS)33EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023SECURE SATCOM

289、 MARKET DEMANDOVERVIEW OF THE SECURE SATCOM DEMANDKPPDefinitionStatusLink PurposeAllows qualifying the anticipated role in satellite.This shall also commenting on the impact of requirement for new network.-Primary(for primary connection)-Backup(for backup role)MobilityEnables to qualify the type of

290、traffic,potential changes in the patterns over time.-Fixed-Deployable-COTM(Communication On The Move)Bandwidth levelDistribution of assets by level of data rates,in order to highlight some transverse trends through the different use cases.-Below 10 Mbps-10 25 Mbps-25 50 Mbps-50 100 Mbps-Greater than

291、 100 MbpsGeographic distributionAllow to assess the traffic per different geographical areas.-EU continent&waters-Polar-Middle East&Africa-Americas-Asia Pacific-AtlanticLatencyAllow to assess the share of traffic which may need(or not)low latency.Low latency is considered below 250 ms.Level1:Low lat

292、ency estimated to be critical for up to the majority of the traffic(65%)Level2:Low latency estimated to be critical/having a high added value for a significant part of the traffic(20%)Level3:Low latency not to be critical,although it could be beneficialKey Performance ParametersSeveral Key Performan

293、ce Parameters(KPP)have been introduced to facilitate the computation of different traffic distribution and to illustrate certain future demand patterns across the use cases.The following table presents the different KPPs and give a few examples of the use of KPP to different terminals.Notes:Low late

294、ncy is typically required for(near-)real time applications.Since one specific terminal might be used to serve more than one application needed in a specific use case,the notion of low latency would only correspond to part of the traffic associated to the concerned use case.34EUSPA Secure SATCOM Mark

295、et and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023SECURE SATCOM MARKET DEMANDOVERVIEW OF THE SECURE SATCOM DEMANDRef.NameIn the reportAOCIContinental Europe and EU outermost regionsEuropeAOC2Mediterranean sea and North AfricaEuropeAOC3Turkey&Middle EastMiddle East&AfricaAOC4Central AfricaMiddle East&AfricaA

296、OC5Southern AfricaMiddle East&AfricaAOC6Arabian Sea and Gulf of AdenMiddle East&AfricaAOC7Greenland and North Europe No pricing availableAOC8South-West AsiaAsia PacificAOC9Russia and Central Asia Asia PacificAOC10Rest of the ArcticPolarAOC11China and South-East Asia Asia PacificAOC12Oceania and Indi

297、an OceanAsia PacificAOC13Pacific Ocean Asia PacificAOC14North and Central America AmericasAOC15South of AmericaAmericasAOC16North AtlanticAtlanticAOC17South AtlanticAtlanticKPP definition of geographic distributionSecure SATCOM user demand can vary from a geographical area to another.A potential ove

298、rlap exists between certain areas(e.g.the need in mobile assets)and subsequently the consolidated value coming from the whole distribution by region may exceed the total estimated demand as provided by different use cases.The table below presents the distribution matrix between the geographical area

299、s as defined in the ENTRUSTED project(1).Geographical distribution(as defined in ENTRUSTED project)(1)ENTRUSTED project(H2020 Grant Agreement No.870330)https:/entrusted.eu/*See:EU&outermost regions Regional Policy European Commission(europa.eu)35EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|

300、ISSUE 1,2023SECURE SATCOM MARKET DEMANDOVERVIEW OF THE SECURE SATCOM DEMANDSurveillance2025204020352030Crisis ManagementKey InfrastructurePolar Regions230 000172 500115 00057 5000MbpsSynthesis of the FSS capacity demand forecast 2025 2040Both FSS and MSS capacity demand for secure SATCOM have been e

301、stimated;The FSS capacity demand will be presented first FSS type(from page 35 to 39)and MSS later(page 40).The figure on the top presents the estimated capacity demand for secure SATCOM(FSS)and for each of the three different use case categories.It is estimated that user demand with FSS solutions w

302、ill increase by a factor of 14 over the 2025 2040 period to reach around 186 Gbps in 2040.In 2025,the FSS capacity demand for Crisis Management is expected to count for around half of the total FSS capacity demand,with Crisis Management representing be-tween 40%and 50%of the anticipated demand over

303、the forecast period.Within this appli-cation field,Forces Deployment is estimated to represent the highest level of demand,followed by Civil Protection and Law Enforcement interventions.For Forces Deployment,the Strategic Compass and the future threats are by themselves a key driver for future secur

304、e SATCOM demand.A trend towards an increasing number of units equipped with a communication on the move capability,the spread of more sensors,the sharing of data richer information,has been assessed to contribute to higher secure SATCOM needs for military users.From around 2030,the Key Infrastructur

305、e category will generate the highest level of demand to represent around 50%of the total capacity demand in 2040.The two largest uses cases within the segment are Institutional Communications and Other Critical Infrastructures.When it comes to Institutional Communications,several European Union enti

306、ties(EU Delegation,EU embassies)and national entities(national embassies)are located worldwide where reliable terrestrial communications means are not always available.It is esti-mated they would need more satellite capacity,relying on global higher satellite capacity demand.Moreover,the geopolitica

307、l context,cyber and hybrid threats further prompt secu-rity and resilience concern.It significantly increases the need of a guaranteed and secure access to communication means for any type of Institutional Communications.As regards Other Critical Infrastructures,such as the banking and energy sector

308、 as well as specific European and National infrastructures are strategic assets for European Union.The numbers of those entities are not expected to substantially increase in the coming decade,but only their need for reliable,secure and guaranteed communication means.Digital transformation of both t

309、he EU economy and so-ciety is accelerating and the digital information of the infrastructures as well.Such infrastructures are key for,among others,the development of e-government services,the simplification of administrative procedures/formalities and the increasing digitalization of public ser-vic

310、es.Among them,data centres are key for resilience and EU data protection and confidentiality standards.Their use is expected to rise in the coming decade with important required data rate(several hundreds of Gbps).An illustration of their ex-pected increasing use is the European Union investigations

311、 to improve the energy efficiency and circular economy performance in cloud computing and data centres(1).As previously stated,the estimated level of demand is contingent,among other factors,upon the availability of a secure SATCOM service in the different time periods,with technical/operational fea

312、tures and prices(for both connectivity services and terminals)allowing and favouring a large adoption.For certain use cases,accelerated deployment may also come from the presence of regulatory mandates(it is assessed such regulatory factor would arise over the 20252040 period).Taking a concrete exam

313、ple,the ability of certain military forces to use new secure solutions by 2025 may also depend on the deployment of new terminals or in the ability to use their existing terminals(or ones already under procurement)to receive secure SATCOM services.(1)European Commission.Green cloud and green data ce

314、ntres.Shaping Europes digital future.Estimated capacity demand for secure SATCOM FSS(Mbps)36EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023SECURE SATCOM MARKET DEMANDOVERVIEW OF THE SECURE SATCOM DEMANDKPP synthesis for future FSS secure SATCOM capacity demandLatencyGeographical d

315、istributionResilienceMobilityEU continent&waters alongside the Middle East and Africa are estimated to account for 85%of the total demand over the 20252040 periodFor up to 70%(1)of total capacity demand,low latency(2)is either advantageous or even critical.Communication on the move and through for d

316、eployable units are estimated to represent 33%of total FSS capacity demandSATCOM as a backup connectivity to enhance resilience of critical infrastructure shall represent 35-40%of total FSS capacity demand(1)Part of this 70%still finds value in GOVSATCOM(GEO-only)(2)Low latency(below 250 ms)is defin

317、ed on page 33 37EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023SECURE SATCOM MARKET:DEMANDSECURE SATCOM DEMAND PER KPP2025204020352030FixedCOTMDeployable200 000150 000100 00050 0000Mbps2025204020352030PrimaryBackup200 000150 000100 00050 0000MbpsGrowing mobility demand for both pr

318、imary and backup solutionsSecure satellite connectivity is projected to serve as the primary means of communication for users(partially or totally)out of reach of terrestrial networks or with specific needs.That is the case for users operating at sea or in remote locations,as well as in cases where

319、terrestrial services are disrupted(e.g.after natural disasters),or for users with stringent requirements in need of secured/dedicated network(such as Institutional communications).However,satellite connectivity can be used as a backup solution,offering both redundancy and enhanced availability to co

320、pe with outages.Such demand is estimated to mainly come from fixed sites established in the European Union territory.Most of those sites,from certain headquarters to data centres and special operation sites including for space missions,will predominately rely on fibre connectivity.Nevertheless,a bac

321、kup solution will likely often in the meantime require a high level of satellite capacity(up to hundreds of Mbps)to guarantee a sufficient resilience for critical data exchanges.Capacity demand from fixed users is estimated to represent 62%of the total FSS capacity demand all over the 2025 2040 peri

322、od.For fixed users,most of the demand is estimated to come from Civil Protection,Forces Deployment,(Crisis Management),Space infrastructure,Institutional Communications and Other Critical infrastructures(Key Infrastructure)use cases.It should be noted that we considered as fixed locations,terminals

323、that would remain deployed for a long time,even if the installation is not permanent(example:case of certain refugee camps).Capacity demand for COTM(Communications on the Move)users is estimated to represent about 25%of the total FSS capacity demand all over the 2025 2040 period.Increasing equipment

324、 of mobile units(aircraft,vessels,land vehicles and UAVs),together with increasing data transmissions per unit is estimated to support demand.In comparison,capacity demand for deployable units is estimated to also increase but at a slower pace.FSS capacity demand Mobility(Mbps)FSS capacity demand pr

325、imary or backup solution(Mbps)38EUSPA Secure SATCOM Market and User Technology Report|ISSUE 1,2023SECURE SATCOM MARKET:DEMANDSECURE SATCOM DEMAND PER KPP2025204020352030Level 1Level 2Level 3200 000150 000100 00050 0000MbpsLow latency is important for the majority of the FSS secure SATCOM demandEstim

326、ating the criticality of latency in future capacity demand is subject to several considerations and assumptions for several reasons.Firstly,a user might use a single terminal for multiple applications,some of which mandatorily require low latency,while others may find it advantageous but not critica

327、l(and others not require it at all).Futhermore,future satellite communication terminals may be able to communicate with different satellite networks(i.e.in different orbits and frequency bands).While such terminals may not be widespread in the short term,they are estimated to become increasingly ava

328、ilable over the forecast period.When a terminal carries substantial traffic that requires a low latency(or in case some data links are critical even if requiring low capacity),it is assumed that the end user would primarily choose a satellite terminal and network meeting its requirement for low late

329、ncy.Terminals considered as corresponding to Level 1 shall generate around 25%of the total FSS capacity demand that was estimated between 2025 and 2040.It includes Hospitals for telemedicine,Central command sites,Nuclear Power Plants,Financial infrastructure and Data Centres.Terminals that we consid

330、ered as corresponding to Level 2 shall generate more than two thirds of the total FSS capacity demand that was estimated between 2025 and 2040.Terminals that we considered as corresponding to Level 3 shall generate less than 10%of the total FSS capacity over the 2025 2040 period and mainly comes fro

331、m Humanitarian Aid and certain use cases related to Space Infrastructures.It is noteworthy that even for terminals/traffic that could benefit from a lower latency,a migration may only occur when an appropriate network is available.For legacy networks,it can also be dependent on the lifecycle of curr

332、ent terminals.It remains noteworthy that it is anticipated that a majority of the users could give priority to a network with a low latency(pending adequate technical,operational and pricing features).Availability of flexible terminals enabling access to several networks(and tentatively several freq

333、uency bands)is estimated to represent an important enabler in the middle term,also favoring the traffic capacity optimisation.FSS capacity demand Estimated importance of latency by user terminal(Mbps)Definition of the different levels for low-latency Level 1:Low latency estimated to be critical for up to the majority of the traffic(65%)Level 2:Low latency estimated to be critical/having a high add