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1、TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITYImprintAbout:This Topic Guide has been developed within the framework of the CIVITAS SATELLITE project,funded under the European Unions Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation programme under Grant Agreement no 713813.Title:Topic Guide:Pl
2、anning for more resilient and robust urban mobilityCitation:POLIS,and Rupprecht Consult-Forschung&Beratung GmbH(eds).2021.Topic Guide:Planning for more resilient and robust urban mobilityAuthors:Susanne Bhler,Ralf Brand,Lisa Marie Brunner,Morgane Juliat,Siegfried Rupprecht(Rupprecht Consult)Laura Ba
3、bo Somoza,Ivo Cr(POLIS)Contributing Authors:Vasileios Latinos,Marko Horvat,Reggie Tricker(ICLEI Europe),Ann-Marie Nienaber,Andree Woodcock(Coventry University),Pablo Juica,Miriam Monterrubio Hernandez(GIZ Advisors for EUROCLIMA+),Dirk Engels(TML),Mara Jos Rojo(POLIS),Yannick Bousse(UITP),Beate Lange
4、(City of Bremen)Evangelia Portouli,Evangelos Karfopoulos(Institute of Communication and Computer Systems),Alvaro Garca,Emilio Jos Flores-Sola(MOSAIC),Glenn Godin(Mobiel 21),Bonnie Fenton(Rupprecht Consult),Maria Karmigianni,Luciano Pana Tronca,Ping-Jen Kao,(UCL),Simone Bosetti,Stefano Borgato(TRT)Ge
5、orgia Ayfantopoulou,Elpida Xenou(CERTH),M.Teresa De la Cruz Eiriz,Beatriz Royo(ZLC)Caroline Busquet(Absiskey),Sergio Fernndez Balaguer(EMT Madrid),Javier Burrieza Galn,(Nommon),Jose Maria Salanova,Evripidis Magkos(MOMENTUM project),Marco Mazzarino,(Venice International University),Ebtihal Sheety,(Is
6、rael Institute of Technology),Wiktor Zuchowski,ukasiewicz(ILIM),Carolina Navarro,(Fundacin Valenciaport),Martina Hertel(Deutsches Institut fr Urbanistik,DIFU),Susan Tully(Edinburgh Napier University),Tnde Hajnal,Balzs Fejes(BKK),Amalia Polydoropoulou(UAegean),Sridhar Raman(Oxfordshire County Council
7、),Ioanna Kourounioti(TU Delft),Mario Gualdi(ISINNOVA)Reviewers:Frederic Rudolph,Wuppertal InstituteProofreading:Adrienne Kotler,Laura Schubert,Richard Adams(ICLEI Europe),Isobel Duxfield(POLIS),Ralf Brand(Rupprecht Consult)Disclaimer:The views expressed in this publication are the sole responsibilit
8、y of the authors named and do not necessarily reflect the views of the European Commission.Copyright:This publication is the copyright of POLIS and Rupprecht Consult-Forschung&Beratung GmbH.All images and text elements in this publication,for which a source is provided,are the property of the organi
9、sations or individuals credited.The authors would like to encourage the widespread use of this Topic Guide.This document may be used free of charge,copied and redistributed via any medium,provided that(a)the source is acknowledged(by using the citation above)and(b)the use of the redistributed materi
10、al is free of charge.Commercial use of this document as well as modifications to its content is authorised only with the express permission of the copyright holders.In legal terms,use of this document is governed by Creative Commons License CC BY-NC-ND 4.0Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivates 4.0 In
11、ternational).The legal text of the license is available at:https:/creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/legalcode”Design and Layout:Arianna Americo(Eurocities)Contacts:European CommissionDirectorate-General for Mobility and TransportUnit C.1-Clean transport&sustainable urban mobilityRue Jean-And
12、re de Mot 28B-1049 BrusselsFebruary 2021Acknowledgements:This publication is made possible thanks to the contributions made by organisations involved in the following projects,all of whom are credited for their respective contributions.CIVITAS Handshake is helping cities become more liveable by impr
13、oving conditions for cycling as an everyday mode of transport.The project focuses on all stages of delivery,from planning to implementation and monitoring of success,aided by governance arrangements to transition towards a greater quality of life through increased cycling.*CityChangerCargoBike build
14、s on the limitless potential of cargo bikes,promoting their usage among public,private,and commercial users.The project focuses specifically on the positive role of cycle logistics,deliveries and supply chains.*HARMONY project works to provide decision makers with a new generation of tools,policy re
15、commendations and guidelines to lead the transition to the new mobility era.Their solutions aim to bridge the transport gap between metropolitan regions and neighbouring areas,working towards a resilient,sustainable,and intermodal transport system.*The GECKO project aims to support authorities in de
16、veloping the most appropriate regulatory framework and governance model,through guidance,recommendations and case studies,for the transition to a new mobility era of cooperative,inclusive,competitive,sustainable and interconnected mobility across all modes,through evidence-based research.MOMENTUM ai
17、ms to develop a set of new data analysis methods,transport models and planning support tools to capture the impact of new transport services(MaaS,Connected Automated Vehicles,shared mobility services and demand responsive transport)on the urban mobility ecosystem,in order to support cities in the ta
18、sk of designing the right policy mix to exploit the full potential of these emerging mobility solutions.*GreenCharge aims at developing zero emission mobility combined with innovative business models,technologies and guidelines for cost efficient deployment and operation of charging infrastructure f
19、or EVs.*The ELVITEN project main objective was to enhance users awareness about about light electrified vehicles.The partners have collected and analysed various types of data related to the trips,the charging behaviour and the use of ELVITEN support and motivation ICT tools.The project has generate
20、d guidelines for vehicles manufacturers,service providers and planning authorities for the better integration of such vehicles in the transportation and electricity networks.eCharge4Drivers is an H2020 project that works to substantially improve the EV charging experience within cities and for long
21、trips.The project will develop and demonstrate user-friendly charging stations and innovative charging solutions as well as smart charging services for the users.Park4SUMP aims to help cities integrate smart parking management solutions into sustainable urban mobility plans.The key objectives of the
22、 project are:helping cities to integrate parking management into their(future)SUMP,freeing up an average of 10%of public space currently used for parking and investing at least 10%of parking revenues into sustainable transport,active modes or developments for more human-centred neighbourhoods.*The g
23、oal of ReVeAL is to support cities producing good practice in UVAR(Urban Vehicle Access Regulations)and to add UVARs to the standard range of urban mobility approaches across Europe and beyond.The ReVeAL project supports UVAR implementation in six pilot cities and is developing a tool to help other
24、cities decide which UVAR measures may be appropriate for them and what to be aware of when implementing.*SPROUT provides a new city-led innovative and data-driven policy response to address the impacts of emerging mobility patterns,digitally-enabled operating&business models,and transport users need
25、s.Starting from an understanding of the transition in urban mobility,the project will define the impacts on the sustainability and policy level.It will also harness these through a city-led innovative policy response.The aim is to build cities data-driven capacity to identify,track and deploy innova
26、tive urban mobility solutions.*CIVITAS ELEVATEs mission is to increase the Europe-wide impact of the CIVITAS(R)IA projects on urban mobility policymaking,thereby advancing the CIVITAS community to a higher level of knowledge,exchange,impact and sustainability,while guaranteeing essential high-qualit
27、y support.It is the follow-on Coordination and Support Action from CIVITAS SATELLITE.TInnGO is a research project funded in the context of the HORIZON 2020 Programme of the EU,aiming to create a framework and mechanisms for a sustainable game change in European transport through a transformative str
28、ategy of gender and diversity sensitive smart mobility.EUROCLIMA+is a regional cooperation programme that fosters climate-resilient and sustainable development in 18 countries in Latin America.In this framework,this project is aimed to provide support for the development of sustainable urban mobilit
29、y in Latin America through direct support to Latin American partners and GIZ in the development of the EUROCLIMA+Sustainable Urban Mobility Plans(SUMPs)in three pilot cities.SUNRISE addresses mobility challenges at the neighbourhood level in six cities.It entails activities along the entire innovati
30、on chain:Identification of mobility problems,development of innovative ideas,concrete implementation,systematic evaluation,extraction of lessons learned and their dissemination in the form of a“Neighbourhood Mobility Pathfinder.”Local residents,businesses and other stakeholders will be involved in a
31、ll phases to live up to SUNRISEs“co-creation”spirit.*The SOLUTIONSplus Project-Integrating Urban Electric Mobility Solutions in the Context of the Paris Agreement,the Sustainable Development Goals and the New Urban Agenda-aims to set up a global platform for shared,public and commercial e-mobility s
32、olutions.The 46 project partners are working on the widespread transition towards low-carbon urban mobility.SUITS is one of three CIVITAS SUMPs-related projects working to towards a common goal:to support cities across Europe to develop and implement Sustainable Urban Mobility Plans.By enhancing coo
33、peration among the Member States,the CIVITAS SUMP projects make it possible to lower the barriers to the implementation of more energy-efficient and sustainable urban mobility planning in an integrated way that would not be possible within one country alone.*Projects marked with a*fall under the umb
34、rella of the CIVITAS Initiative.Through such projects,CIVITAS helps cities to test and develop integrated sets of measures for sustainable urban mobility.4TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITYContentsGuide to the reader.5Executive summary.61.Section 1:Mobility planning fo
35、r resilience.101.1 Resilient cities and resilient urban mobility.101.2 Principles of urban mobility resilience.141.3 Why it is important to bring sump and resilience together?.161.4 Sustainable urban mobility planning steps for resilient cities.181.4.1 Preparation and analysis.211.4.2 Strategy devel
36、opment.271.4.3 Measure planning.321.4.4 Implementation and monitoring.362.Section 2:Measure fields.402.1 Car independent lifestyles.422.1.1 Cycling.422.1.2 Walking.482.2 Collective passenger transport.532.3 Urban freight logistics.592.4 Demand management strategies.652.4.1 Urban vehicle access regul
37、ations(UVAR).652.4.2 Parking.712.5 Electromobility.772.6 Transport telematics.792.7 Road safety .84References.87TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITY5Guide to the readerThis document provides guidance on a specific topic related to Sustainable Urban Mobility Planning(SUMP
38、).It is based on the concept of SUMP as outlined by the European Commissions Urban Mobility Package 1 and described in detail in the European SUMP Guidelines(second edition)1.Sustainable Urban Mobility Planning is a strategic and integrated approach to dealing with the complexity of urban transport.
39、Its core goal is to improve accessibility and quality of life by achieving a shift towards sustainable mobility.SUMP advocates for fact-based decision making guided by a long-term vision for sustainable mobility.It requires a thorough assessment of the current situation and future trends,a common vi
40、sion with strategic objectives and an integrated set of regulatory,promotional,financial,technical and infrastructure measures.Implementing these measures to deliver the objectives should also be accompanied by reliable monitoring and evaluation.In contrast to traditional planning approaches,SUMP pl
41、aces particular emphasis on the involvement and cooperation across different layers of government and with citizens,stakeholders and private actors.Emphasis should also be put on the coordination of policies between sectors(transport,land use,environment,economic development,social policy,health,saf
42、ety,energy,etc.).This document is part of a compendium of guides and briefings that complement the newly updated second edition of the SUMP Guidelines.They elaborate on difficult planning aspects in more detail,provide guidance for specific contexts,or focus on important policy fields.Two types of d
43、ocuments exist:while Topic Guidesprovide comprehensive planning recommendations on established topics,Practitioner Briefings are less elaborate documents addressing emerging topics with a higher level of uncertainty.21 Rupprecht Consult-Forschung&Beratung GmbH(editor),2019.Guidelines for Developing
44、and Implementing a Sustainable Urban Mobility Plan,Second Edition.2 Guides and briefings on how to address the following topics in a SUMP process have been published since the publication of the SUMP Guidelines:Planning process:Participation;Monitoring and evaluation;Institutional cooperation;Measur
45、e selection;Action planning;Funding and financing;Procurement.Contexts:Metropolitan regions;Polycentric regions;Smaller cities;National support.Policy fields:Safety;Health;Energy(SECAPs);Logistics;Walking;Cycling;Parking;Shared mobility;Mobility as a Service;Intelligent Transport Systems;Electrifica
46、tion;Access regulation;Automation;COVID-19;Gender and vulnerable groups.They are part of a growing knowledge base that will be regularly updated with new guides.These documents can be found in the Mobility Plans section of the European Commissions urban mobility portal Eltis(www.eltis.org).6TOPIC GU
47、IDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITYThe climate crisis and other major change processes have been disrupting and continue to disrupt the status quo cities.The necessity to handle these uncertainties and impacts will increase in the years to come.While COVID-19 was the initial im
48、petus for the creation of this guide,this document is intended to suggest responses to this crisis but also to contribute to resilience planning for any future crises.More specifically,it aims at including resilience principles in sustainable urban mobility planning(SUMP).The first section of this t
49、opic guide first introduces the concept of resilience in the context of urban mobility and the importance of integrating it into the SUMP procedure.It presents the 4 phases of the SUMP cycle with a resilience focus.The second section addresses specific resilience-related themes such as car independe
50、nt lifestyles,electromobility,collective passenger transport,demand management strategies,road safety,transport telematics and urban freight.This section results from hands-on experiences made by research and innovation projects related to the mentioned topics proposed for short-term and long-term m
51、easures,lessons learned and case examples,using the COVID-19 pandemic as a case study.Executive summaryThis document addresses planning in uncertain times when a major crisis is triggering significant changes in all areas.An immediate crisis can cause further long-term changes and increase the impac
52、t of other major trends,such as climate change.Managing such fundamental change processes is a key challenge for urban mobility practitioners to integrate into their plans.In this document,a crisis can be defined as any event that may lead to an unstable and dangerous situation which affects the urb
53、an mobility systems or whose impact,duration and severity are affected by the urban mobility system.Crises covered in this guide include,but are not limited to,natural or man-made disasters,pandemics,economic crises,social crises,environmental crisis,terrorism,cyberattacks,geopolitical crises,etc.Th
54、is document is the attempt to articulate generic lessons from how urban mobility systems responded to and were managed during the COVID-19 pandemic.Since the onset of the pandemic,public transport use has been severely reduced,while other modes were rising in popularity.It may sound like a platitude
55、,but it is now truer than ever:Due to the inherent uncertainty of future developments,cities must remain flexible.TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITY7Key messages for crisis recovery and resilience building Use recovery to accelerate the transition towards sustainabilit
56、y and resilience not for a return to business-as-usual Take quick action for change,e.g.to test innovative approaches but maintain partnership approach,involving relevant stakeholders,citizens and partners Start to reflect on your urban mobility planning to plan for resilience reassess your SUMP or
57、create your SUMP which includes resilience Reassess your assumptions,processes and objectives about urban mobility planning to account for sustainable and resilience planning Assess the risks and vulnerabilities your mobility system is facing and account for these risks in your planning process Iden
58、tify groups that are more vulnerable to stresses and shocks to incorporate their specific needs in your plan Set indicators and goals that tackle sustainability and resilience of your mobility system Use temporary measures as a mean to test long-term measures Integrate stakeholder and citizens parti
59、cipation throughout your planning process and during the evaluation of temporary measures Promote multimodality to make your mobility system flexible,resourceful and inclusive Communicate with stakeholders and citizens during recovery and about your resilience vision Communicate with other cities to
60、 share and exchange knowledge about planning resilient and sustainable urban mobility systems8TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITYKey messages for integrating resilience into SUMPUnderstanding resilience and its relation to urban mobility in your city.1.Create an underst
61、anding of what resilience entails for your city,and what it could mean for your urban mobility system.2.Map the kind of crises you consider to be potentially affecting your urban mobility system.3.Describe for your city how you see the relation between the 7 principles for building resilience(reflec
62、tiveness,robustness,redundancy,flexibility,resourcefulness,inclusiveness,integration)and your urban mobility system.Resilience and SUMP4.If your city does not have a SUMP yet but is just in the process of kicking it off,integrate the resilience aspect and work towards that.5.If your city already has
63、 a SUMP in place,resilient planning can still be integrated.A reflection of the SUMP,maybe considering evaluation results,public acceptance,and recent developments is possible.6.If your city already has resilient planning and a resilience team established or even a whole planning framework in form o
64、f a separate plan,then strengthen the urban mobility aspects of such an approach.7.Take concrete action,in line with the SUMP planning approach:-Set up working structures and make the initial commitment explicit-Assess planning requirements and collect information-Assess risks,vulnerabilities,and st
65、rengths-Forecast crisis,emergencies,and disturbances to achieve a resilient system-Integrate resilience into mobility vision and develop strategy and objectives with stakeholders-Set resilient indicators and targets-Select short-term and long-term measures-Assess and adjust short-term measures-Secur
66、e financing for resilient measure implementation-Communicate with citizens and stakeholders-Evaluate,optimize,and review from experienceResilient mobility measures8.Focus on measures that relate well to the 7 resilience principles:reflectiveness,robustness,redundancy,flexibility,resourcefulness,incl
67、usiveness,integration.9.Think multimodal and prioritise space-efficient modes.10.Define short term as well as long term resilience measures.11.Continuously monitor and evaluate the measures and be open to adapt them following evaluationTOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILIT
68、Y9Cities need to safeguard and protect their critical transport infrastructures and assets,while also dealing with pressing chronic stresses that are related to societal issues.Cities should prepare the existing physical and digital infrastructure to be able to adapt to unforeseeable changes.10TOPIC
69、 GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITYSECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESILIENCE1.Section 1:Mobility planning for resilience1.1 Resilient cities and resilient urban mobilityThe notion of resilience in the context of cities moves away from traditional disaster risk management an
70、d accepts the possibility that a wide range of disruptive events may occur but are not necessarily predictable.3 Hence,city resilience focuses on increasing or at least securing the performance of urban systems in the face of multiple hazards and crises,rather than preventing or solely mitigating th
71、e loss of assets due to a specific event.A resilient city4 is a city that:reduces vulnerability and exposure to natural and man-made disasters while managing to thrive.is prepared to identify,resist,absorb,adapt to,and recover from any shock or chronic stress while maintaining its essential function
72、s.involves all stakeholders,especially citizens,in disaster risk reduction through co-creation processes.increases its capacity to respond to shocks and other unforeseen chronic stresses through enhanced emergency preparedness.3 ARUP,The Rockefeller Foundation.(2016).City Resilience Index:Understand
73、ing and Measuring City Resilience.ARUP International Development,47.https:/assets.rockefellerfoundation.org/app/uploads/204/170223_CRI-Brochure.pdf4 CWA 17300(2018)City Resilience Development Operational Guidance https:/www.din.de/resource/blob/297796/8e4862e244910feb6d12d620a2b87211/cwa-
74、17300-standards-series-flyer-data.pdfBox 1:Definition of the concept of resilienceResilience is a term that emerged in the 1970s to describe the capacity of a system to resist,adapt itself and transform itself to recover from a shock,absorb its consequences and maintain levels of functionality5.The
75、concept of resilience is inherently linked to the concept of vulnerability.Resilience offers a comprehensive socio-technical perspective that emphasises the importance of anticipating and reducing ones vulnerability in combination with the monitoring efforts,the ability to respond to and the capacit
76、y to learn from crises6.According to Climate Just and the IPCC7,building resilience needs to account for potential exposure,risks of vulnerability,the adaptive capacity of the community impacted and the existing imbalances in power distribution in that community.In addition,it is crucial to ensure t
77、hat neither the impacts nor the policies and actions taken to address them exacerbate existing or create new inequalities.Alternatively,ICLEI Montral Commitment and Strategic Vision8 defines resilient development as a development that can“anticipate,prevent,absorb and recover from shocks and stresse
78、s,in particular,those brought about by rapid environmental,technological,social and demographic change,and to improve essential basic response structures and functions”.5 Azolin,L.G.,Rodrigues da Silva,A.N.,&Pinto,N.(2020).Incorporating public transport in a methodology for assessing resilience in u
79、rban mobility.Transportation Research Part D:Transport and Environment,85,102386.https:/doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2020.1023866 Mattsson,L.G.,&Jenelius,E.(2015).Vulnerability and resilience of transport systems-A discussion of recent research.Transportation Research Part A:Policy and Practice,81,1634.7 A
80、dapted from the IPCC(2017)Climate Just.“Using Maps to Identify Vulnerable People and Place.”Climate Just,https:/www.climatejust.org.uk/1-where Accessed 8 Feb.20218 ICLEI-Local Governments for Sustainability.(2018).The ICLEI Montral Commitment and Strategic Vision 2018-2024.Bonn,Germany.TOPIC GUIDE:P
81、LANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITY11SECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESILIENCEBox 2:Examples from cities with resilience strategiesUrban Resilience Strategy Thessaloniki(Greece)9Thessaloniki is a city in transformation.A port city with a long history and a population that deeply va
82、lues history and culture.It has experienced significant shocks and stresses during the recent past,but despite population shifts,a devastating fire and a major earthquake,it has responded with resilience.The Resilience Strategy for 2030 is based on eight city values10 which represent Thessalonikis i
83、dentity and will guide how the city will plan for the future.“Our Resilient Glasgow,A City Strategy”-Glasgow(United Kingdom)11Through membership of the 100 Resilient Cities12,pioneered by the Rockefeller Foundation programme and currently the“Resilient Cities Network”(the programmes continuation),Gl
84、asgow has developed a resilience strategy.The strategy was developed based on four essential dimensions of urban resilience:health and wellbeing,economy and society,infrastructure and environment,and leadership and strategy9 See ARUP,Thessaloniki Resilience Strategy,2020,https:/ Social cohesion,loca
85、l identity and heritage,environmental management,health and wellbeing,youth empowerment,multistakeholder engagement,technology adaptation and economic prosperity11 See Resilient Glasgow,“Our Resilient Glasgow,A City Strategy”,2016 https:/www.glasgow.gov.uk/CouncillorsandCommittees/viewSelectedDocume
86、nt.asp?c=P62AFQDNT1Z3UTT1DX12 The 100 Resilient cities left the Rockafeller foundation in 2019 to become independent and known as the Resilient Cities Network,https:/resilientcitiesnetwork.org/Living with COVID-19 Resilience Plan Greater Manchester(United Kingdom)13The“Living with COVID-19 Resilienc
87、e Plan”frames Greater Manchesters response to the pandemic,capturing cross-sectoral actions,including ones for mobility,to be delivered in the next year.The plan supports the citys ability to respond to the ongoing pandemic and builds resilience in the city-region for the short-and long-term future.
88、It seeks to be dynamic and to provide a framework for collective responses as the city continues to improve its adaptability and flexibility to new developments14.COVID-19 Resilience Action Plan-Izmir(Turkey)15Izmir Metropolitan Municipality has published a“COVID-19 Resilience Action Plan”.The munic
89、ipality has been the first and only municipality in Turkey to publish its measures taken in the struggle against COVID-19 in the form of a report and integrated action plan which also addresses mobility.13 See Greater Manchester Combined Authority,Coronavirus COVID-19,2020,https:/www.greatermanchest
90、er-ca.gov.uk/coronavirus/?domain=tracking.vuelio.co.uk14 Greater Manchester Combined Authority,Resilient City,2019 https:/www.greatermanchester-ca.gov.uk/what-we-do/resilience15 See Izmir Metropolitan Municipality.COVID-19 Resilience Action Plan.June 2020,https:/www.izmir.bel.tr/CKYuklenen/dokumanla
91、r_2020/Covid19DirenclilikEylemPlani_ENG.pdf12TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITYSECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESILIENCEResilience and sustainability are different but compatible concepts.While sustainability focuses on reducing or eliminating environmental impact and
92、 improving economic viability as well as well-being and quality of life for communities,resilience focuses on a systems ability to endure various shocks and stresses.Addressing disturbances that threaten the short-and long-term sustainability of urban mobility requires an integrated framework of var
93、ious resilience-related frameworks of criteria that can assist urban planners and decision-makers in their efforts to identify areas that need work and improvement16.Resilience in the context of urban mobility is the capacity of a social-ecological system(i.e.a transport infrastructure network,its m
94、aintenance crew,financing arrangements,contracts etc.)to cope with disturbance.This implies the ability to respond or(re-)organise in ways that maintain the systems essential functions,identity and structure,while also allowing for adaptation,learning and transformation.A resilient transportation sy
95、stem is one that promotes safe,equitable and inclusive accessibility by providing sustainable,integrated,flexible and robust mobility options during normal times and times of crisis17.In other words,improving resilience should include a wide variety of prevention,mitigation,and restoration activitie
96、s18.Box 3:Definition of a crisis in the context of urban mobility resilience A crisis,in the context of this guide,can be understood as a shock or stress that either has an impact on the functionality of the infrastructure and services and/or on peoples mobility patterns.The COVID-19 pandemic has sh
97、own that there was no direct stress in the infrastructure but rather on mobility demand and patterns.Shocks,such as natural disaster,that damage infrastructure or complicate the operation of infrastructure(e.g.cyber-attacks)steer operation and attacks the functionality of mobility systems.Cities can
98、 respond to crises by rebuilding and reacting with emergency measures to keep up the functionality of mobility,ensuring mobility and creating alternatives.Dealing with crises requires on-call actions from mobility planning and long-term perspectives to be kept in mind.Cities could not be considered
99、as isolated entities as there is a high level of interdependence among cities and their systems.This can lead to cascading effects,which means that crisis escalates from local to regional,national,or even international level19.Cities need to safeguard and protect their critical transport infrastruct
100、ures and assets,while also dealing with pressing chronic stresses that are related to societal issues.Cities should prepare the existing physical and digital infrastructure to be able to adapt to unforeseeable changes.16 Sharifi,A.,&Yamagata,Y.(2014).Resilient Urban Planning:Major Principles and Cri
101、teria.Energy Procedia,61,14911495.https:/doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2014.12.154 All bibliographical details should go into the list of references.17 100 Resilient Cities.(2015).Resilience point of view series Transport.18 Adam et al.(2012)in Leobons et al.(2019)19 CWA 17300(2018)City Resilience Develo
102、pment Operational Guidance TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITY13SECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESILIENCEBox 4:The neighbourhood as spatial scale with inherent resilience benefitsThe importance of peoples immediate surrounding has massively increased during the COVID-1
103、9 pandemic.Many did not even commute to work at all because of home office routines or furlough arrangements.People went for more walks in their neighbourhood.Google statistics on mobility in residential areas increased up to 30%20 and usage statistics of local parks has gone up dramatically in most
104、 countries(e.g.,in Denmark by 143%)21.A significant number of people chose to walk or cycle to work and thus often discovered paths and areas in their neighbourhood they might otherwise have never explored.Errands for daily goods were more frequently done in the nearest retail areas rather than in l
105、arge shopping centres at the outskirts of town due to fear of infection or because of lockdown restrictions.On the downside,retailers of non-essential goods(incl.cafs,pubs,and restaurants)were hit hard by pandemic-related restrictions.However,in many cities,voucher systems and other acts of solidari
106、ty were organised by civic groups as an attempt to keep the local community intact.The importance of social networks in peoples neighbourhoods has also risen.For example,many voluntary services,also called mutual aid groups,to help with shopping,walking the dog etc.were offered on lampposts or in lo
107、cally based online communities.Such social capital is a key ingredient of a robust society.In other words,a stable,socially cohesive neighbourhood is a firm foundation for resilience in times of crisis.The social and spatial qualities of a neighbourhood even have an impact on aspects of resilience,w
108、hich were on few peoples radars before the COVID-19 pandemic:designing neighbourhoods with open public spaces allowed for people to spend time outdoors while staying distanced and providing safe areas for children to play outside while their parents work from home.20 COVID-19 Community Mobility Repo
109、rt,Google,2021,https:/ COVID-19 Community Mobility Report,Google,2021,https:/ neighbourhood scale has another inherent resilience feature,which is simply due to the spatial proximity of most destinations.This makes it conducive for active mobility on foot or by bike,that is,independent of the functi
110、oning of large technical infrastructures or high-tech systems.In short,there is hardly anything that can break down with pedals and shoes.The natural resilience of neighbourhoods is also a result of face-to-face encounters in convivial spaces.22Such characteristics of a healthy neighbourhood do not
111、grow automatically;they must be facilitated through good planning and design.A diverse structure of interesting retailers,for example,is to a large degree the result of good planning.This is also true for the existence of safe,direct and pleasant footpaths,bike lanes,high streets with areas for sojo
112、urning,seating,shade,play and social interaction.Specifically related to the threat of infectious diseases is the need to provide sufficient space for social distancing.In most cases,this requires a bold rededication of space from cars,like it has happened in Berlin,Milan,Paris and Brussels.This red
113、edication has to go hand in hand with a push in the development of alternative,sustainable mobility solutions(such as improved regional rail services,public transport or cycling infrastructure).It is important to enabling the neighbourhood level to make such related decision and to implement them wi
114、th the necessary staff and funds.However,it is clear,that many such decisions are the prerogative of central city administrations and policymakers.This is the hierarchical level of SUMP,which necessitates excellent communication,mutual understanding and complementary actions between efforts and acto
115、rs on the neighbourhood and city level.22 For a related argument see Brmmelstroet et al.(2017)Travelling together alone and alone together:mobility and potential exposure to diversity.Applied Mobilities.2,1.Pp.1-15.14TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITYSECTION 1:MOBILITY
116、 PLANNING FOR RESILIENCE1.2 Principles of urban mobility resilienceThe City Resilience Index23 is the first comprehensive tool that helps cities to understand and assess their resilience in a systematic,globally applicable way.It is based on seven essential principles that characterize resilient urb
117、an systems.These principles can be adapted to the urban mobility context as a guiding framework for sustainable urban mobility processes and plans that also incorporate resilience strategies and measures.PrinciplesResilience principle in the context of urban mobilityExplanation(not exhaustive)Reflec
118、tivenessPlanners and policymakers should reflect on the inherent and ever-increasing uncertainty and changes that affect mobility systems.Mechanisms should be used to make mobility systems continuously evolve.Standards or norms should constantly be modified based on emerging evidence.As a result,sta
119、keholders and institutions should examine and systematically learn from past experiences and leverage their learning to continuously inform future decision-making.Monitoring the quality of mobility services and infrastructures based on key indicators allows mobility planners to reflect on the contin
120、uous evolution of mobility systems.For example,monitoring bike lanes quality,safety and commuters awareness of cyclists and pedestrians should complete the monitoring of bike lanes lengths.Taking a step back and looking at changes in the system that may alter measures and identify new trends that ma
121、y be worth considering.RobustnessRobust mobility systems are systems that are well-conceived and constructed to withstand the impacts of disruptions and hazard events without significant damage or loss of function.A robust design of transport infrastructures and networks allows anticipating potentia
122、l failures in mobility systems.To make a robust mobility system,cities should make provisions to ensure failure is predictable,safe and not disproportionate to the cause.Preventing design thresholds,cascading failure or over-reliance on a single asset is key to avoid a catastrophic collapse.Designin
123、g urban space and the mobility systems in a manner that is accessible and attractive for pedestrians and cyclists and reduces dependence on motorised transport.Identifying the age of transportation system infrastructure,its expectable remaining lifetime,considering wear and tear as well as environme
124、ntal effects.Maintaining and improving existing infrastructures to make them resistant to potential hazards.RedundancyMobility systems are considered redundant if they spare capacity purposely so that they can accommodate disruption,extreme pressures or surges in demand.It is illustrated through the
125、 presence of multiple ways to achieve a given need or fulfil a particular function.Redundancies should be intentional,cost-effective and prioritised at a city-wide scale.They should not be an externality of inefficient design.Distributing infrastructure connections and overlaps between different are
126、as,streets,and squares,of a human scale.Providing sufficient density for accessible services by creating street and footpath networks that allow for multiple choices.Creating reserves of resources and vehicles to provide alternatives in case one element of the system fails.Also establishing cooperat
127、ion plans with private entities or reallocation of resources(e.g.private transport operators allocating some of their fleet for emergency purposes)Table 1:The 7 principles for building resilience applied to urban mobility23 ARUP,The Rockefeller Foundation.City Resilience Index.TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING F
128、OR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITY15SECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESILIENCEPrinciplesResilience principle in the context of urban mobilityExplanation(not exhaustive)FlexibilityFlexible mobility systems can change,evolve and adapt in response to changing circumstances.This may facilitate
129、decentralised and modular approaches to transport infrastructure and ecosystem management.New knowledge and technologies can play a role in making mobility systems flexible.Designing flexible public spaces can allow for variable use and accessibility with regard to changing circumstances and regardl
130、ess of weather conditions or climate change.For example,changing circumstances in the demand for mobility may require the need to use public spaces as traffic spaces.Understanding the flexibility of urban mobility systems can be done by looking at the average speed of emergency responses to an event
131、 or the number of events and inquiries handled.ResourcefulnessResourcefulness implies that mobility practitioners can rapidly find different ways to achieve their goals or meet their needs under stress or in time of shocks.Investing in the capacity to anticipate future conditions,set priorities and
132、respond is instrumental to a city ability to restore the functionality of critical mobility systems.Having a plan available to justify the prioritisation of the use of specific resources in case of extreme events.Mobilising and coordinating wider human,financial and physical resources,potentially un
133、der severely constrained conditions.Promoting cooperation among institutional groups and stakeholders can be an innovative way to contribute to resourcefulness.InclusivenessTo make mobility systems inclusive,there is a need for broad consultation and engagement of communities,especially the most vul
134、nerable groups.Addressing the shocks or stresses faced by one sector,location,or community in isolation of others is necessary to make mobility systems resilient.An inclusive approach also contributes to a sense of shared ownership,solidarity and a joint vision to build urban mobility resilience.Inc
135、luding local communities can be key to identify local needs for resilience.Identifying the vulnerability of certain groups in relation to certain needs can help cities create inclusive and resilient mobility systems.Considering differences among different social groups in terms of connectivity,daily
136、 travel distances,the time required for regular trips and to get out of the city is the first step towards inclusive mobility.IntegratedUrban mobility systems should be integrated and aligned with other city systems to promote consistency in decision-making and to ensure that all investments are mut
137、ually supportive of a common outcome.They should be also integrated into the overall transport network.The integration of resilience should be evident within and between city systems as well as across the different scales of their operation.Exchanging information between the mobility and other urban
138、 systems enables a coordinated and rapid response to risk and emergencies through shorter feedback loops.Promoting the formal engagement of organisations or community groups in disaster preparedness or recovery activities facilitates wide support of common outcomes.Creating joint ownership of severa
139、l city government policies among different agencies helps to exchange information and data exchanges and thus to align responses across departments.16TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITYSECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESILIENCE1.3 Why is it important to bring SUMP and r
140、esilience together?To sustain urban life during crises and to reduce the vulnerability of the transportation system,planners and policymakers must ensure that all its elements are integrated,resourceful,inclusive,flexible,redundant,robust and reflective.The challenge for cities is to achieve quick,s
141、hort-term responses to a crisis without compromising the long-term functioning and evolution of the urban mobility system and related strategies.In other words,the integration of resilience into the mobility planning process should prepare cities and regions better for disruptive realities while at
142、the same time maintaining the pursuit of important policy goals such as decarbonisation.The COVID-19 pandemic has already triggered the need for better responsiveness to such crises as listed above.It is necessary to bring SUMP and resilience together.SUMP is an essential element of the official Eur
143、opean Union climate policy and is advocated by all European and many national governments,institutions and banks.It offers a sustainable planning framework which is particularly conducive to the integration of resilience principles.SUMP promotes the diversification of mobility systems as well as acc
144、epting and integrating different perspectives and vulnerable groups.SUMP and related policies should be able to respond to short term emergencies as well as maintain long-term goals.Short term agility in combination with the longer-term capacity to adapt is key to avoid future crises by anticipating
145、 and preparing for the impacts of these shocks and stresses on transportation systems.The systematic planning logic behind the SUMP cycle provides exactly this:An opportunity for cities to structurally incorporate resilience into urban mobility planning.Box 5:Sustainable Urban Mobility Planning in a
146、 nutshellSustainable Urban Mobility Planning is a continual planning process at the local or regional level for sustainable urban mobility to increase urban accessibility and quality of life.The process is characterised by cooperation,goal-orientation and integration.Through the collaboration of act
147、ors and decision-makers from transport-related and other sectors,from the district to the national level,there is a coordination of activities with mobility relevance for the local and regional level.This coordination is based on sustainable mobility objectives and policies as well as on measures de
148、veloped in collaboration with stakeholders.Established working structures to support and coordinate the measure implementation process and monitoring of progress.Shared objectives and agreed mobility strategies facilitate the legitimisation of sustainable mobility solutions and lead to improved acce
149、ss to funding for prioritised measures.An assessment of current and future urban mobility performance,a clear future vision with corresponding indicators and milestones,as well as an implementation plan are key elements of future SUMP development and deployment processes.SUMPs foresee the developmen
150、t of all transport modes in an integrated manner.Often the SUMP process is summarised in a policy document but not necessarily.It is most important that there is a clear strategy and an arrangement for monitoring and evaluation to guide sectoral planning for the deployment processes.TOPIC GUIDE:PLAN
151、NING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITY17SECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESILIENCEBox 6:Lessons learned from the COVID-19 pandemicCOVID-19 has forced cities to react fast and to implement new transportation measures under great pressure and has revealed that a lot of cities were able to r
152、espond quickly to the emergency.The pandemic affected mobility patterns through waves of lockdowns but also challenged transport-related policymaking and resource reallocation.In the grand scheme of things,it turned out that cities were able to implement change more easily than previously thought.Th
153、ese examples made for some great“proofs of concept”.In many cases,emergency and resilience procedures were activated.For smaller authorities with more limited staff resources,this often meant diverting staff from their normal activities to undertake priority actions and provide support to the most v
154、ulnerable members of their communities.Explicit measures to make public transport safe were taken in Alba Iulia,Antwerp,Klaipeda,Lucca,Manchester,Platanias and many other cities.These included:enhanced cleaning and disinfection regimes of vehicles and busy/central stations,closure of waiting rooms a
155、t station,chess-board seat-marking within vehicles and obligatory use of face masks.To protect drivers,screens were fitted in vehicles and access to buses was only allowed through rear doors24.The crisis of the COVID-19 pandemic proved that cities with a SUMP in place were better prepared,found quic
156、ker and better-coordinated responses.Brussels is one of the many good practice examples for the confection of a SUMP as it won the 2020 SUMP award.Brussels SUMP,called“Good Move”,has clear ambitious goals,which include restricting car usage,reducing the speed limit to 30km/h by 2021 and increasing t
157、he number of pedestrians.Brussels SUMP creation process included strong stakeholder outreach,citizen participation and the implementation of“superblocks”.25 The quick response from the city to the pandemic was facilitated by the existence 24 POLIS&Rupprecht Consult-Forschung&Beratung GmbH(editors).(
158、2020).COVID-19 SUMP Practitioner Briefing(Issue July)25 Depoortere,F.POLIS Conference 2020-Good Move Goes Viral.In POLIS Network,2020,from https:/www.polisnetwork.eu/polis-conference-2020-presentationsof the“Good Move”plan.The plan was approved before the COVID-19 outbreak and already listed priorit
159、ies for interventions.The city was,therefore,able to implement some of the Good moves bicycle measures,such as 40 kilometres of extra cycle paths,as early as May as part of the COVID-19 recovery plan.Key measures implemented in Brussels during the recovery phase were as follow:Reducing waiting times
160、 for cyclists and pedestrians at crossings.Creation of cycling lanes using tactical urbanism in major streets,highways,and strategic locations.Cutting out transit with filtered permeability(e.g.implementing specific signs or modal filters).Development of a“bike for Brussels”resilient communication c
161、ampaign.Promotion of modal split,and more particularly bike+ride initiatives,where free car parking initiatives and bicycle parking on the outskirts of Brussels were implemented to encourage citizens to leave their car on the outskirt of the city and take their back to commute inside the city.Brusse
162、ls monitored COVID-19 recovery measures through 14 permanent bicycle counters,surveys among cyclists and non-cyclists and monthly comprehensive monitoring of all traffic26.Facing the emergency,the Brussels municipality took some unilateral actions based on the“Good Move”plan to respond quickly to th
163、e situation,but some,such as neighbouring communes,have criticised its decisions due to the lack of consultation of local stakeholders.Some concerns were also made at the time regarding the need for further development of alternatives to car use as the measures implemented were not able to sufficien
164、tly cope with the local needs.26 Depoortere,F.POLIS Conference 2020-Good Move Goes Viral.In POLIS Network,2020,from https:/www.polisnetwork.eu/polis-conference-2020-presentations18TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITYSECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESILIENCEBox 7:COVID-1
165、9 recovery strategy“The European Commission has set out strategic guidance for the implementation of the Recovery and Resilience Facility in its 2021 Annual Sustainable Growth Strategy(ASGS)”.“In order to benefit from the Recovery and Resilience Facility,Member States should submit their draft recov
166、ery and resilience plans outlining national investment and reform agendas in line with the aforementioned EU policy criteria”.“Based on their relevance across Member States,the very large investments required,and their potential to create jobs and growth and reap the benefits from the green and digi
167、tal transitions,the Commission strongly encourages Member States to include in their plans investment and reforms in flagship areas”.27 The following flagships can refer to urban mobility:“Power up The frontloading of future-proof clean technologies and acceleration of the development and use of ren
168、ewables”.“Recharge and Refuel The promotion of future-proof clean technologies to accelerate the use of sustainable,accessible and smart transport,charging and refuelling stations and extension of public transport”.Cities should coordinate with their national government to ensure that they benefit f
169、rom the Recovery and Resilience Facility.2827 Wieczorek,Marta,and Enda McNamara.2020.“NextGenerationEU:Commission Presents next Steps for 672.5 Billion Recovery and Resilience Facility in 2021 Annual Sustainable Growth Strategy.”European Commission-European Commission.September 17,2020.https:/ec.eur
170、opa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/IP_20_165828 Miglietta,Matteo.2021.“A New Consultation Warns:Many EU Governments Are Excluding Regions And Cities From The Preparation Of Post-COVID Recovery Plans.”European Committee Of The Regions.January 22,2021.https:/cor.europa.eu/en/news/Pages/post-COVID
171、-recovery-plans-.aspx1.4 Sustainable Urban Mobility Planning steps for resilient citiesThe established concept of SUMP provides the ideal planning framework to develop a resilient mobility system for the short-term adaptation to crisis and the long-term sustainable urban mobility strategy.In other w
172、ords:Incorporating resilience principles into Sustainable Urban Mobility Planning helps cities to simultaneously achieve two goals:The long-term sustainability of mobility and transport and The ability of this mobility system to cope with unforeseen incidents.To do this systematically,it is necessar
173、y to“weave”resilience thinking into the established SUMP process.This is visualised in the SUMP cycle which presents all phases,steps,and activities along the entire SUMP process.The purpose of this chapter is to highlight crucial steps for resilience planning throughout the SUMP cycle.It highlights
174、 specific resilience principles and articulates suitable methods,tools and activities on the way towards the sustainable and resilient city.Because cities might be at very different starting points,there is no single ideal way to tackle this it is highly dependent on the specific situation and the s
175、tatus of local SUMP and resilience management.If your city does not yet have a SUMP but is in the process of kicking it off,it is a great opportunity to also integrate the resilience aspect from the start.This guide will offer a practical framework for such a combined approach.If your city already h
176、as a SUMP in place,resilience planning can still be integrated.A reflection and update of a SUMP,considering evaluation results,public acceptance issues and recent developments is always a good idea.The resilience focuses 1-3,5-10 and 12(see below)will be of particular interest to you.TOPIC GUIDE:PL
177、ANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITY19SECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESILIENCEFigure 1.The 12 steps of Sustainable Urban Mobility Planning(SUMP 2.0)-A planners overview 29 If your city already has a resilience team established or even a whole planning framework in form of a separate
178、 plan,then this guide can support the integration of mobility planning into your resilience management.Linking this higher-level strategy with your local mobility planning can be highly beneficial for ensuring a safe,sustainable and strong urban system for citizens.The resilience focuses 1 and 5-9 w
179、ill be of primary interest to you.The SUMP cycle is a simplified and idealised representation of the overarching SUMP planning logic,broken down into four separate phases with smaller steps within each.It has proven very helpful for planners to structure and keep track of a complex process.The four
180、phases are:1.Preparation and analysis,2.Strategy development,3.Measure planning,and 4.Implementation and monitoring.Depending on the local and regional situation,certain steps and activities can be adapted and skipped(if equivalent results are already available,e.g.,from a related planning process)o
181、r repeated at a later stage.Such adaptation to the specific situation must be carried out by the local and regional actors themselves.Rupprecht Consult 20506070809101112Set upworking structuresAnalyse mobility situationManage implementationMonitor,adapt and communicateReview and learn les
182、sonsSet targets and indicatorsAgree actions and responsibilitiesPrepare for adoption and financingSelect measure packages with stakeholdersBuild and jointly assess scenariosDevelop vision and strategy with stakeholdersDetermine planning frameworkEvaluate capacities and resourcesCreate inter-departme
183、ntal core teamEnsure political and institutional ownershipPlan stakeholder and citizen involvement1.11.21.31.4Assess planning requirements and define geographic scope(functional urban area)Link with other planning processesAgree timeline and work planConsider getting external support2.12.22.32.4Crea
184、te and assess long list of measureswith stakeholdersDefine integrated measure packagesPlan measure monitoring and evaluation7.17.27.3Develop financial plans and agree cost sharingFinalise and assure quality of Sustainable Urban Mobility Plan document9.19.2Identify indicators for all objectivesAgree
185、measurable targets6.16.2Coordinate implementation of actionsProcure goods and services10.110.2Co-create common vision with citizensand stakeholdersAgree objectives addressing key problemsand all modes5.15.2Describe all actionsIdentify funding sources and assessfinancial capacitiesAgree priorities,re
186、sponsibilities and timelineEnsure wide political and public support8.18.28.38.4Monitor progress and adaptInform and engage citizens and stakeholders11.111.2Analyse successes and failuresShare results and lessons learnedConsider new challenges and solutions12.112.212.3Milestone:Measure implementation
187、 evaluatedMilestone:Decision to preparea SUMPMilestone:Sustainable Urban Mobility Plan adoptedMilestone:Vision,objectives and targets agreedMilestone:Analysis of problems and opportunities concludedDevelop scenarios of potential futuresDiscuss scenarios withcitizens and stakeholders4.14.2Identify in
188、formation sources and cooperate with data ownersAnalyse problems andopportunities(all modes)3.13.2Preparation&analysisStrategy developmentMeasure planningImplementation&monitoringSUSTAINABLE URBAN MOBILITY PLANNING29 Rupprecht Consult.Guidelines for Developing and Implementing a Sustainable Urban Mo
189、bility Plan.20TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITYSECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESILIENCEFigure 2.SUMP cycle with a resilience focus Rupprecht Consult 20206070809101112Set upworking structuresAnalyse mobility situationManage implementationMonitor,adapt and
190、communicateReview and learn lessonsSet targets and indicatorsAgree actions and responsibilitiesPrepare for adoption and financingSelect measure packages with stakeholdersBuild and jointly assess scenariosDevelop vision and strategy with stakeholdersDetermine planning frameworkPreparation&analysisStr
191、ategy developmentMeasure planningImplementation&monitoringSUSTAINABLE URBAN MOBILITY PLANNINGSet up working structures and initial commitment Collect informationAssess risks,weaknesses,and strengthsForecast of crises,emergencies&disturbances to achieve a resilient systemIntegrate resilience into mob
192、ility vision and develop objectives with stakeholdersSet resilient indicators and targetsSelect short-term and long-term measures Assess and adjust short-term measuresSecure financing and funding for resilient measure implementationCommunicate with citizens and stakeholdersMonitor and optimise measu
193、re implementationBuild,evaluate and review from experienceFor a planning cycle that also considers resilience(Figure 2),a second layer with the principles for urban mobility resilience is added around this cycle.With this combination,the result is a solid planning framework for resilient mobility pl
194、anning.Combining SUMP steps and resilience principles enables cities that already have a SUMP to understand at which step certain resilience principles are most relevant.Conversely,it allows cities that already have resilience planning strategies in place to understand how to incorporate SUMP princi
195、ples into their existing strategy.TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITY21SECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESILIENCE1.4.1 Preparation and Analysis The success of the transition towards resilient urban mobility will largely depend on the degree to which resilience principle
196、s can be incorporated into the SUMP process.This requires an explicit decision,strong commitment and the declared willingness to invest time and money into the process by local governments.This section reflects on what needs to be considered by planners and policymakers to effectively include resili
197、ence in the preparation of a SUMP and the analysis of the resilience level of their mobility systems.The first step for the initial phase is an explicit decision by policymakers to incorporate resilience in their SUMP.The groundwork for the planning process is laid by analysing which resources are a
198、vailable for planning and setting up appropriate working and participation structures that incorporate resilience planning.Then municipalities should analyse the local planning needs and gather information to later inform their choice in implementing measures for resilient.The final step before the
199、development of a strategy is the assessment of risks,weaknesses and strengths of an urban mobility system to understand the city level of resilience and to adjust the SUMP accordingly.Resilience focus 1:Set up working structures and initial commitmentLocal governments are key to transportation syste
200、ms,not only because they arrange public-private partnerships(PPPs)and connect stakeholders but also because they possess crucial knowledge.In addition,local governments can initiate,execute and coordinate emergency responses and bring together different actors towards joined-up risk management.There
201、fore,a strong and well-organised city government that communicates clearly and directly with the community is essential to build a resilient mobility system.The initial phase of the integration of resilience into a SUMP should focus on the set-up of working structures and of a planning framework tha
202、t directs available resources to defined goals,while at the same time ensuring transparency and democratic principles for resilient urban mobility planning.Traditional SUMP working structures(project coordinator,SUMP core group and steering and technical committee)may well serve this purpose;but als
203、o setting up a resilience team within the SUMP working structure may be suitable.In case a cross-sectoral resilience team already exists,it is advisable to include it in the preparation of a SUMP;otherwise,it seems sensible to establish such a team to facilitate the implementation of an integrated r
204、esilience strategy.The creation of a dedicated cross-sectoral resilience team along with the nomination of Chief Resilience Officers can take the lead.For example,across the cities surveyed by the Global Resilient Cities Network(CRCN),87%of Chief Resilience Officers were involved in their cities res
205、ponse or recovery to COVID-1930,in addition,inter-agency collaboration promotes connected and rapid responses,which also supports the implementation of an integrated resilience plan that accounts for all city systems.Cities have different possibilities to establish specific working groups with polic
206、y and decision-makers at the city level and councillors working on climate change adaptation and resilience.In addition,any other city stakeholder working on resilience(e.g.critical infrastructure managers,service providers,emergency services,the media,civil society associations,non-governmental org
207、anizations,academic and research institutions,consultancies,etc.).At an individual level,every local practitioner with a responsibility to plan and manage resilient mobility will have to develop new skills and competences in resilience adaptation,risk assessment,data analysis and management as descr
208、ibed further below.30 Global Resilient Cities Network.(2020).Toolkit for a Resilient Recovery(Issue July).22TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITYSECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESILIENCEBox 8:Organisational change of local authorities towards resilience31The SUITS projec
209、t is a four-year research and innovation action to increase the capacity building of local authorities and transport stakeholders.It also aims at transferring learning to smaller sized cities to make them more effective and resilient to change in the implementation of sustainable transport measures.
210、The project team uses its expertise in organisational change to enable employees in local authorities to cope with the increasing expectations and requirements of a SUMP.The following eight-stage Process encapsulates the SUITS approach:1.Create Urgency Create a shared perception of the need for chan
211、ge amongst local authorities employees to ensure full support and identification of an“ideal”change agent with strong relationships and trust among the key decision-makers in the organisation.2.Form a powerful Team Build a coalition to support change.The team should be a role model for the wider org
212、anisation.A diverse coalition should be built from employees with a range of skills and life experiences and from different departments.In some cases,it may also be useful to expand the coalition externally to complete internal expertise.3.Create a Vision for Change The creation of a vision requires
213、 significant efforts from all those involved,e.g.mobility departments,change agent and other selected people in the local authority.The vision must be clear and easy to understand to ensure support from the whole organisation.It should last for a long time and must be inspirational to have maximum e
214、ffect.4.Communicate to buy in General awareness and enthusiasm must be created for the goal behind the vision.Everyone should be invited to participate,consider and suggest concrete steps that could be implemented in their workspace or organisation.The vision of Alba Iulia(Romania)was communicated i
215、n various meetings/workshops/seminars organised within the different departments of the municipality by the guiding team.Most of the departments were involved in the process.5.Empowering broad-based action Empowering employees implies listening to them,investing in them through training and giving t
216、hem credits for major accomplishments.Some obstacles(e.g.structure,skills,systems&supervisors)must be addressed to increase employee empowerment and engagement in the change process.To improve cooperation between the various departments,the city of Stuttgart(Germany)has set up a steering committee.R
217、epresentatives of the departments meet about once a month to discuss ongoing projects and to shape the cooperation.As part of the change process,the West Midlands Combined Authority(United Kingdom)organizes in-house workshops with external trainers and internal workshops for staff to develop ideas f
218、or concrete activities.Employees are encouraged to share and discuss issues they have found on specific topics of sustainable mobility.6.Create short-term wins Small steps that lead to short-term success foster satisfaction,commitment and the overall spirit.Organisational change is therefore ideally
219、 initiated with concrete,target-oriented activities by the guiding team in close cooperation with senior management,leading to clear achievable results.7.Build on the Change Cities should increase their capacity to become learning organisations,which automatically increases their flexibility and res
220、ilience.A learning organisation is defined by personal mastery,mental models,shared vision,team learning and system thinking.A learning organization is constantly in motion,which allows and even encourages innovative problem-solving,organisational change and knowledge-sharing.The city of Valencia ch
221、anged its organisational structure from a silo-organisation to a cross-departmental project-based organisation which allows for more flexibility and innovative thinking.In such teams,individuals from different departments work together on a project basis toward a common goal.The city of Rome created
222、 a specific unit under the mayor to check whether a projects content and its effects on the public are in line with the citys and its citizens sustainability targets.This unit demonstrates the local authoritys openness to reflect their mental models,to become more innovative,flexible and citizen foc
223、used.8.Anchor the Changes in Corporate Culture.For a change to be sustainable and successful it must become anchored in the local authoritys corporate culture.While structural and procedural changes are mandatory to allow a LA to be turned into a learning organisation,for change to be successful and
224、 sustainable it is crucial that the need to change become anchored in the corporate culture.If the need for change becomes a fundamental principle in an organisation,this organisation can be characterized as a learning organisation with high levels of organizational capacity.To anchor changes in cor
225、porate culture,local authorities can for example foster permanent knowledge exchange within its core and with external stakeholders through cross-learning groups.To avoid a fading of the achieved success,cross-learning groups were set up between the West Midlands Combined Authority,Coventry City Cou
226、ncil and Coventry University.These UK partners started to exchange experiences with the City of Valencia and thus learned from each other and saved time and costs in their future mobility planning.31 Contribution from Ann-Marie Nienaber and Andre Woodcock(Coventry University)TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR
227、 MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITY23SECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESILIENCEBox 9:Example of cooperation between companies and a city Engaging employers and employees in challenging times-Antwerp(Belgium)The COVID-19 pandemic created extra mobility changes for companies,on the one hand,by c
228、ontributing to the rapid increase of home-office work and remote management.On the other hand,other stakeholders,such as healthcare institutions,needed assistance to get healthcare staff to commute to work safely during the first wave in March to May 2020.With the“new normal”,new working patterns ha
229、ve emerged along with new commuting patterns that require mobility practitioners to adapt mobility planning to reflect such changes.For example,the Smart Ways to Antwerp(SWtA)programme helped 119 companies to develop their own smart and sustainable mobility policies.Antwerp counts over 250,000 commu
230、ters which makes employers and employees a group with a high potential for change.By working with employers,the city aims to create a network that enables participating companies to share experiences.Antwerp healthcare institutions received targeted assistance to get healthcare staff to commute to w
231、ork.Furthermore,digital learning networks were set up with participating and interested companies to discuss remote working,cycling to work,using shared mobility or Mobility as a Service in a work context.Box 10:Identifying vulnerable groupsThe COVID-19 crisis demonstrated,along with different natur
232、al disasters before,that crises affect certain populations groups disproportionally.To counteract this danger,it is important to carefully question the universal validity of certain models and best practice examples.In addition,all vulnerable groups and their specific type of vulnerability(finances,
233、disabilities,distance,time patterns,care obligations etc.)need to be fully understood so that equity gets systemically embedded in resilience and SUMP planning.For example,the impacts of the COVID-19 crisis on public transport systems affected frontline care workers to a particular degree.Yet,as mos
234、t care workers and public transport users are women,it is clear that resilience and recovery plans have to be gender sensitive.Any type of mobility and resilience-related data should therefore always be disaggregated by gender,age-groups(to the extent possible)and other vulnerability parameters.A br
235、oad participatory approach is key to ensure that resilience is being integrated to the benefit of all and not to the few.Effective participation of all stakeholders in their diversity allows everyone to be informed and sensitized but also to be aware of the commitments made.Therefore,it is advisable
236、 to establish an effective working structure to ensure the active participation of citizens and key stakeholders,whilst steering institutional cooperation and coordination at different levels.Citizen participation should be a key component of different steps along the entire process,such as data col
237、lection,strategy development,measure implementation and appraisal,and monitoring.It may be instrumental beyond the decision-making phase,contributing to policy implementation and even assessment,which cannot be reduced to a simple technical process.New technologies today make citizen participation p
238、ossible at different steps of the SUMP creation process,through the creation of mobile applications and electronic surveys.Ideally,a genuine participation spirit sometimes referred to as co-creation is deployed in every step.Policymakers need to ensure development and delivery under emergency condit
239、ions.To do so,you may want to consider implementing cooperation mechanisms through public-private partnerships.Working with other stakeholders will help municipalities make their mobility system resourceful,inclusive and integrated which will overall contribute to their resilience.Effective collabor
240、ation between stakeholders at various levels of the city administration,including an inter-agency collaboration that promotes connected and rapid response,ensures the development and delivery of an integrated multi-modal transport plan.Resilience focus 2:Collect informationOnce working structures ar
241、e in place it is time to collect information on the resilience level of your transport systems.Such information is crucial because a resilient urban mobility system consists not only of robust physical infrastructures but also and importantly so of knowledge assets such as data and intelligence.This
242、 is also important for the definition of meaningful and feasible indicators,for the development of a shared vision and,later,of an evaluating and monitoring strategy.Data collection to build resilient urban mobility should go beyond the activities in the standard SUMP process by integrating external
243、 risk factors and how these risks affect transport systems differently.Recent technological advances in data collection and analysis(crowdsourcing,Big Data etc.)should be utilised for this purpose.24TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITYSECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESI
244、LIENCEBox 12:Example of a data collection tool in Trieste,Italy35In Trieste,a transport information platform36 was developed during the CIVITAS PORTIS project,to gather and provide information,to share data and to connect public entities,stakeholders and citizens.This tool had an important role in t
245、he SUMP development.The platforms development involved different stakeholders,including the Public Works Department,the Police force and the tourism office in the local administration.Also,Trieste Trasporti(the local public transport operator),the bike-sharing operator Bicincitt and the regional Gov
246、ernment played an important role.The platform supports mobility planners through the integration of several data sources and gives them access to information that is crucial to their work,such as traffic data and studies.35 Contribution from Dirk Engels(TML)36 See Trieste Trasporti S.P.A.2019.“Tries
247、te Trasporti.”Trieste Trasporti S.P.A.2019.https:/www.triestetrasporti.it/.Box 13:Example for cooperation mechanisms to collect information to build resilience in West Midlands,United Kingdom37Transport for West Midlands(TfWM)liaised with West Midlands Police to use existing ANPR(Automatic Number-Pl
248、ate Recognition)cameras that were originally deployed as part of tracing criminal activity.This provided TfWM with the opportunity to analyse 24/7 data on the Key Route Network and thus to get a near real-time view on the main roads in the area,which in turn facilitated more accurate traffic modelli
249、ng by a transport planning team.As a result,the West Midlands Police was funded to deploy more ANPR cameras and TfWM received higher volumes of data for lower costs.37 Fox,D.POLIS Conference 2020-NETWORK RESILIENCE EVOLUTION THROUGH INNOVATION.In POLIS Network.Retrieved from https:/www.polisnetwork.
250、eu/polis-conference-2020-presentations/It is also important to identify the diversity of actors and infrastructures,their varying exposure to risk and their specific vulnerability level.This requires a detailed understanding of the mobility needs and practices of different social groups in different
251、 parts of the city to avoid that any measure might inadvertently increase their vulnerability.This knowledge should also manifest in the definition of related indicators so that the fairness of resilience measures can be ensured and monitored.The following boxes provide examples of data that can be
252、particularly valuable for the development and execution of resilience strategies;they also include helpful suggestions about how such data can be collected.Box 11:Technological measures to gather data to improve resilience Origin-destination matrixes can be used to create aggregate indicators of how
253、 resilient an urban mobility system is and how it can be used in the event of major disruptions of the network.32 33 Integrating behaviour and mobility models can also provide additional insights into the resilience process34.The COVID-19 crisis has highlighted how data gave valuable insights to pol
254、icymakers to shape recovery plans.Certain new technologies proved particularly valuable for the collection of data that can be used to assess and build a resilient system:Wireless ticketing systems across modes(and ideally across operators)facilitate access to real-time data on network capacity.Inte
255、lligent Transportation System,in the long run,provides continuous data collection on individual car mobility which helps municipalities to gather data and monitor data on the most relevant aspects when resources and time are limited.Besides,continuous monitoring allows for comparison in time of cris
256、is.Anonymised data from mobile cellular networks can be used to observe the populations mobility.This was often used in the COVID-19 crisis to understand changing mobility flows,adapt public transport services and spatial resilience planning or to identify the most effective locations of pop-up cycl
257、ing lanes.32 Azolin et al.Incorporating public transport in a methodology for assessing resilience in urban mobility.33 Martins,M.C.da M.,Rodrigues da Silva,A.N.,&Pinto,N.(2019).An indicator-based methodology for assessing resilience in urban mobility.Transportation Research Part D:Transport and Env
258、ironment,77(2020),352363.https:/doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2019.01.00434 Gonalves,L.A.P.J.,&Ribeiro,P.J.G.(2020).Resilience of urban transportation systems.Concept,characteristics,and methods.Journal of Transport Geography,85(September 2019),102727.https:/doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2020.102727TOPIC GUIDE
259、:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITY25SECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESILIENCEResilience focus 3:Assess risks,weaknesses,and strengths Assessing risks weaknesses and strengths is essential for a city to analyse and enhance the resilience level of their mobility system.An up-to-da
260、te risk assessment can help cities to attract funding or gather the information that will improve communication38.Therefore,regular risk assessments should be built into working routines;these should include various stakeholders to ensure comprehensive coverage of different perspectives.Systematic r
261、isk assessment methods such as IVAVIA39(Impact and Vulnerability Analysis of Vital Infrastructures and built-up Areas)developed by the RESIN project,can be used to better understand impacts and vulnerabilities related to climate change consequences.Table 2:Overview of different tools for risk assess
262、mentToolPurposeType of toolPhaseMethodFormatQuick Risk Estimation43 Identify and understand current and future risks,stress,shocks and exposure threats to human and physical assetsMulti-stakeholder engagement process to establish a common understanding(not a full-scale risk assessment)Ex-ante to dev
263、elop resilience strategyEx post for monitoring&evaluationUses the hazards classification outlined by the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction(UNDRR).“Produces a dashboard-style risk assessment advising the risks and hazards to human and physical assets,impacts of identified main risks a
264、nd associated perils on the specified location and/or particular asset.”SpreadsheetRisk Systemicity Questionnaire44 Identify and prioritize risk scenarios,showing interdependencies between risks which leads to networks of risks.Indicates level of awareness of riskMulti-stakeholder engagement process
265、Ex-ante to assess exposure to riskEx-ante to develop resilience strategy Users are asked to consider the relative likelihood of a broad range of risks in their cities.Provides participants with a relative risk score and awareness scorePresents a range of risk scenariosSpreadsheet 38 Terenzi,A.,Latin
266、os,V.,Peleikis,J.,&Porras,B.A.(2017).Transition Handbook Training Package.www.ramses-cities.;Smart Mature Resilience Project.(n.d.).European Resilience Management Guideline.39 Rome,E.,Ullrich,O.,Lckerath,D.,Worst,R.,Xie,J.,&Bogen,M.(2018).IVAVIA:Impact and vulnerability analysis of vital infrastruct
267、ures and built-up areas.https:/doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-05849-4_740 Smart Mature Resilience Project.(n.d.).European Resilience Management Guideline.https:/urbanresilienceforum.eu/fileadmin/user_upload/Practical_Information/Marketplace/SMR-EMRG-handbook-WWW_s.pdf41 UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduct
268、ion,https:/www.undrr.org/42 Resin,IVAVIA,2018 https:/resin-cities.eu/resources/ivavia/43 United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction,Quick Risk Estimation(QRE)https:/www.unisdr.org/campaign/resilientcities/toolkit/article/quick-risk-estimation-qre44 Smart Mature Resilience Project.(n.d.).,Risk
269、 Systemicity Questionnaire https:/smr-project.eu/tools/risk-systemicity-questionnaireThis allows identifying adaptation measures and areas where actions are needed first.Risk assessment tools should be easy to understand by a variety of stakeholders.However,the person addressed at first hand by risk
270、 assessment tools is the initiator,coordinator or manager of a citys overall risk-based assessment project or the person responsible for the climate change adaptation planning.Table 2 provides an overview of different risk assessment tools that can be used in the resilience/SUMP planning process.The
271、se tools were gathered from the European Resilience Management Guidelines40,the UN Office for Disaster Risk Reductions work on resilience41 and the IVAVIA guidelines42.26TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITYSECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESILIENCEToolPurposeType of tool
272、PhaseMethodFormatPreliminary Resilience Assessment45 Understand where the city stands in terms of resilience which includes an understanding of transport resilience Analysis of the challenges and pressuresEx-ante to develop resilience strategy Ex-post to monitor&evaluate the resilience implementatio
273、n processEnables local governments to set priorities and targets for the co-creation of the resilience strategy and the resilience action plan,as well as for monitoring progress by making use of resilience indicatorsText documentThe Disaster Resilience Scorecard for Cities46 Provides a set of assess
274、ments that allow local governments to assess their disaster resilience at a city level.Multi-stakeholder engagement process to establish a common understandingEx-ante to develop resilience strategy Ex post to monitor&evaluate the resilience implementation processMulti-stakeholder workshops to develo
275、p indicatorsSpreadsheetResilience Maturity Model(MM)47 Identify the present resilience maturity stage of the city and develop a shared understanding of the resilience-building process.Enables monitoring and evaluation of the implementation of activities towards increasing resilience maturity.Multi-d
276、isciplinary tool that identifies policies by level of resilience,dimensions,stakeholders and subdimensionsEx-ante to identify level of resilience Ex post to monitor&evaluate the resilience implementation processUsing 5 stages of resilience maturity based on 10 indicatorsSpreadsheetIVAVIA methodology
277、48 Facilitates the understanding of climate change effects,the identification of geographical hotspots of vulnerability and risk and the assessment of likely impacts on people,economy,built-up area,vital infrastructure and other elements Multi-disciplinary tool that utilises qualitative and quantita
278、tive information about a citys vulnerabilities and risksEx-ante to assess exposure to riskEx-ante to identify indicatorsEx-ante to aggregating vulnerability components to riskConsists of seven modules that allow a qualitative,comprehensive and quantitative assessment and how to best present the outc
279、omes to your stakeholdersSoftware tools 45 United Nation Office for Disaster Risk Reduction,(2017),Disaster Resilience Scorecard for cities,Preliminary level assessment https:/www.unisdr.org/campaign/resilientcities/assets/toolkit/Scorecard/UNDRR_Disaster%20resilience%20%20scorecard%20for%20cities_P
280、reliminary_English.pdf46 United Nation Office for Disaster Risk Reduction,Disaster Resilience Scorecard for Cities https:/www.unisdr.org/campaign/resilientcities/toolkit/article/disaster-resilience-scorecard-for-cities47 Smart Mature Resilience Project.(n.d.).,Resilience Maturity Model https:/smr-pr
281、oject.eu/tools/maturity-model-guide/48 Resin,IVAVIA,2018 https:/resin-cities.eu/resources/ivavia/TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITY27SECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESILIENCEToolPurposeType of toolPhaseMethodFormatThe City Resilience Profiling Tool(CRPT)49 Provides a
282、cross-cutting diagnostic for resilience-based urban development.Generates metrics for urban resilience to establish a baseline that covers the entire urban systems weaknesses,vulnerabilities and strengths.Useful to develop concrete and prioritised actions to plan-out risk and build-in resilienceMult
283、i-sectoral,multi-shocks and stresses and multi-scale approachEx-ante to assess exposure to riskEx-ante to develop resilience strategy Provides a framework to evaluate urban resilience and develop actions for resilience tailored to the city using a diagnostic methodologyUN-Habitat software1.4.2 Strat
284、egy DevelopmentThe goal of this second phase is to define the strategic direction for incorporating resilience in a SUMP in cooperation with citizens and stakeholders.In this phase,a future resilient urban mobility vision and strategy for the Functional Urban Area is developed,based on the previous
285、analysis work,forecasting and the development of future scenarios.The vision both aim towards preventing and mitigating risks as well as strengthening the economic,social and climate resilience.In this phase,resilient urban mobility indicators and targets are developed as they have the potential to
286、set clear standards for your SUMP implementation and allow for a comprehensive evaluation and impact assessment.Resilience focus 4:Forecast crisis,emergencies and disturbances to achieve a resilient systemDuring the initial phase of strategy development,it is advisable to consider a citys potential
287、future mobility conditions,in relation to the different risks and vulnerabilities identified during the previous phase.It is also important to look at the various possible scenarios and then to compare the benefits and threats against each other.“Scenarios try to capture the scope of uncertainty tha
288、t comes with“looking into the future”to have a better factual basis for strategic decisions”.50The COVID-19 crisis has been a defining event in many ways for mobility,but more so by providing a severe test of public transport operators resilience.Many had to realise that traditional static risk-regi
289、stered crisis management and business resilience approaches were inadequate to the pace and scale of the COVID-19 recovery needs51.We can therefore conclude that it is important to imagine and forecast as much as possible all kinds of different crises as a starting point for any resilience planning.
290、Scenario development is one way to forecast crises,emergencies and disturbances.Scenarios are not intended to be accurate predictions about how the future may unfold but rather provide a means of better understanding and working with this uncertainty by highlighting possible futures.Interactive maps
291、 and data viewers can support municipalities in the construction and selection of scenarios.The combination of SUMP and resilience planning goes far beyond traditional scenario planning because a deliberate effort must be spent to think about risk and vulnerability scenarios.Therefore,in addition to
292、 a business-as-usual(BAU)scenario and low carbon scenarios,resilience forecasting requires to imagine worst-case scenarios,and sometimes seemingly absurd scenarios and to brainstorm about suitable responses.These later scenarios could then be assessed against the BAU scenario to formulate an optimal
293、 scenario for meeting a SUMP vision and objectives.49 UN Habitat.City Resilience Profiling Tool Guide.2018,http:/urbanresiliencehub.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/CRPT-Guide.pdf50 Rupprecht Consult.Guidelines for Developing and Implementing a Sustainable Urban Mobility Plan.51 Van Audenhove,F.-J.,Ro
294、minger,G.,Eagar,R.,Pourbaix,J.,Dommergues,E.,&Carlier,J.(2020).The future of mobility.In Arthur D.Little future Lab&UITP(Vol.120,Issue 4th).28TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITYSECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESILIENCETable 3:Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Forecasting ToolPu
295、rposeMethodologyFormatSub seasonal to Seasonal Forecasting54 Convergence between weather prediction and climate forecasting by putting weather and climate on a continuum of time and space scales.Inform and enable decision-makers in transportation to reduce societys vulnerability to weather,climate a
296、nd other environmental variabilitiesUsing weather and climate data,this forecasting tool allows to foresee an incident in a window of 2 to 12 months Map roomsResilience focus 5:Integrate resilience into mobility vision and develop objectives with stakeholdersSetting a vision,building on scenarios,cl
297、arifies the priorities of a city and is an important ingredient of SUMP.Using these elements strategically can reinforce the integration of SUMP as it allows to re-imagine a new future for cities with more robust,inclusive,reflective,redundant,flexible,resourceful and integrated transportation syste
298、ms.During the development of a positive vision,it is essential to differentiate between immediate and long-term goals.This helps to be clear and explicit in the prioritisation of actions for urgent recovery vis-vis long-term transformational change.A current crisis can be a starting point to develop
299、,review or change an ongoing SUMP planning process towards the desired future.Interestingly,cities that already had well-articulated urban mobility visions and plans with support from local governments55 tended to cope better with the pandemic;in fact,many of them used this time of crisis as an oppo
300、rtunity to further change and update their mobility plans.The development of an overarching long-term resilient mobility vision works best with the involvement and empowerment of relevant stakeholders across all relevant urban policy domains.This includes mass transit operators,representatives from
301、businesses,associations,public agencies,academia and civil society.Experience shows that at least two projections are advisable:Climate change projections and urban development projections(i.e.considering potential future urban development that could be implemented in your city in your scenario).Oth
302、er planning scenarios are worth taking a look at in the context of resilience planning such as the recovery scenario planning and business continuity planning52.Recovery scenario planning identifies key macro uncertainties.It defines a set of potential future realities to assess their impacts and pr
303、epare strategic and operational responses.Business continuity planning allows municipalities to find processes and ways of working to be readily adapted during the crisis to deliver required outcomes until the return to normal53.The use of a validated urban and transport management tools,such as ori
304、gin-destination matrixes,can be used for forecasting as well.Also,certain risk assessment tools(see table 2 page 25)are valuable for forecasting and scenario building.In addition,the“Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Forecasting”method deserves specific mention.52 Rome et al.IVAVIA:Impact and vulnerability a
305、nalysis of vital infrastructures and built-up areas.53 Van Audenhove et al.The future of mobility.54 Robertson,A.,&Vitart,F.(2018).Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction-1st Edition(F.Vitart&A.Robertson(eds.);1st Edition).Elsevier.https:/ Van Audenhove et al.The future of mobility.).TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNIN
306、G FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITY29SECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESILIENCEFigure 14 of the SUMP Guidelines provide specific recommendations on how to work with stakeholders at different levels of government57.The participatory“co-creation”of such a strategy harnesses the knowledge an
307、d ideas from many different angles and reinforces the strategys acceptability,adaptability,innovation and robustness58.The resulting feeling of co-ownership increases the likeliness of effective implementation.In doing so,you will be able to ensure the integrated nature of your strategy along with t
308、he regulation of the integration of resilience at the system-level.A good resilience strategy thus includes proposals by stakeholders but at the same time has to be concrete and achievable.To develop a vision and strategy cities should identify their resilience priorities,options and opportunities a
309、s well as barriers and drivers.Cities should also incorporate mainstream resilience into key existing strategies,action plans and frameworks.For this step,it is not necessary to reinvent the wheel as certain tools(table 4)exist that provide guidance for the development of a resilience strategy.As me
310、ntioned above,a resilient mobility strategy has to consider the specific situation of vulnerable groups and has to include related specific measures.It is essential to embed equity in system recovery.ToolPurposeMethodologyFormatResilience Information Portal(RP)59 Used to create the necessary momentu
311、m for the expected release and adoption of the resilience strategy among citizens,reinforce the importance of resilience-building process and achieve the necessary political commitment Allows cities to internally or publicly display data that is already available to the city as it applies to resilie
312、nce,vulnerability and crisisOnline website Resilience Building Policy tool(RBP)60 Database of good practices from European cities,along with information about what worked or not in the implementation of similar policies.It is an extension of the Resilience Maturity Model(see table 2).Online websiteT
313、able 4:Strategy building tools 14:Example of a resilient urban mobility vision and strategyResilient urban mobility vision Thessaloniki(Greece)56Thessaloniki has developed a Smart and Resilient Mobil-ity Plan,based on meteorological scenarios and the na-tional adaptation plan for climate change.Clim
314、ate change is expected to negatively impact Thessalonikis transport system,either through direct effects on the built envi-ronment or through indirect effects linked to adaptation measures.The city has developed a strategy to prioritize measures,policies and actions to reduce transportation systems
315、vulnerability,increase their resilience and se-cure safe-proof investments.Thessalonikis resilience vision focuses on cooperation between authorities,the development of monitoring systems,data collection,re-vision of the design specifications of current transport infrastructure,use of smart technolo
316、gies and systems and the promotion of the use of energy-efficient vehicles.56 See Chrysostomou,K.Smart and Resilient Urban Mobility Planning in Thessaloniki.2015.In CIVITAS-Cleaner and Better Transport in Cities.Retrieved,from https:/civitas.eu/content/civitas-wiki-pre-sgv-smart-and-resilient-urban-
317、mobility-planning-thessaloniki59 Smart Mature Resilience Project.(n.d.).,Resilience Information Portal,http:/smr-project- CEN WS 17300:2018.City Resilience Development.57 Rupprecht Consult.Guidelines for Developing and Implementing a Sustainable Urban Mobility Plan.58 Cambien,A.,&Beausurez,N.(2020).
318、La Boussole de la Rsilience.30TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITYSECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESILIENCEBox 16:CIVITAS Initiative indicators As part of the CIVITAS impact and process evaluation framework62,a set of indicators was developed to capture and evaluate the
319、 changes triggered by mobility-related measures in six main impact categories:Society-governance Society-people The transport system Energy Economy EnvironmentEach indicator is defined,explained and comes with rec-ommendations about data collection.These indicators are used already by many cities to
320、 keep transparent track of their mobility system and the links to other domains,to monitor their general mobility evolution and to evaluate the impact of mobility-related measures.62 Engels,D.(2017).Support Action Towards Evaluation,Learning,Local Innovation,Transfer&Excellence.CIVITAS SATELLITE.htt
321、p:/www.rupprecht-consult.eu/uploads/tx_rupprecht/Refined_CIVITAS_process_and_impact_evaluation_framework.pdfBox 15:Example of an inclusive mobility strat-egy in Guadalajara,Mexico61The Metropolitan Area of Guadalajara has implemented various measures in the context of the COVID-19 crisis,such as pop
322、-up bicycle lanes,promoting the use of bi-cycles,sanitizing the units of the public bicycle system.Steps were also taken to provide free and safe daily trans-portation to all people who work in the health sector.In addition,provisional transportation was organised for women and girls who,due to thei
323、r gender,risk greater vulnerability in public space and their transfers,due to modifications to the operation of conventional public transport.Figure 3.Medical Connection expands its service in response to restrictions on public transportation in the Metropolitan Area of Guadalajara.Source:Secretara
324、 de Transporte.Coordinacin General de Gestin del TerritorioAt the metropolitan level,the Metropolitan Planning Insti-tute(IMEPLAN)plays a fundamental role in contributing to local resilience,through strategies such as the Metro-politan Risk Atlas,whose objective is to identify dangers,vulnerabilitie
325、s and risks to improve future city planning.This led to the inclusion of comprehensive risk manage-ment issues in the Comprehensive Plan for Sustainable Urban Mobility(SUMP)of the metropolis.61 Contribution from Miriam Monterrubio Hernandez(GIZ Advisor for EUROCLIMA+)Resilience focus 6:Set resilient
326、 indicators and targetsAll cities that develop a SUMP in compliance with the European SUMP Guidelines are challenged to deal with data and indicators that are relevant for social,economic and ecological sustainability.The same applies to the development of a SUMP with an explicit resilience focus.Go
327、od indicators are suitable to quantify those aspects of the mobility system that are key to the achievement of a sustainable and resilient vision.Indicators that relate to the need for infrastructure and network development are of particular importance because they draw attention to necessary decisi
328、ons about short-and/or long-term policies,measures and related budgets.This includes,for examples,indicators on the energy efficiency of public transport vehicles or the integration of multimodal solutions.These indicators can help in prioritising infrastructure measures,managing traffic,analysing m
329、ass transit options,providing resilient conditions for walking and cycling etc.Of course,these indicators will later be crucial to monitor and evaluate the efficiency and effectiveness of the implemented measures.Although suitable indicators have to be locally specific,there are existing sets of ind
330、icators,which can inspire and which facilitate cross-city comparisons and benchmarking.The CIVITAS and SUMI indicator sets deserve particular mention.TOPIC GUIDE:PLANNING FOR MORE RESILIENT AND ROBUST URBAN MOBILITY31SECTION 1:MOBILITY PLANNING FOR RESILIENCEBox 17:Sustainable Urban Mobility Indicat
331、ors SUMITo overcome existing barriers and accelerate the uptake of high-quality SUMPs Europe-wide,the European Com-mission pursues the idea of a common EU-framework for sustainable urban mobility indicators(SUMI).63SUMI offers a tool to evaluate the effectiveness of imple-mented measures and policie
332、s,to compare a citys pro-gress over time,as well as to compare with and bench-mark against other EU cities.An indicator set that was originally developed by the World Business Council for Sustainable Development(WBCSD),provided the starting point for the SUMI consortium,which tailored it to the Eu-r
333、opean context.The indicator set,composed of 19 indica-tors,was extensively tested in 46 European urban areas and covers all major policy areas64.SUMI Core Indicators:Affordability of public transport for the poorest group Accessibility for mobility-impaired groups Air pollutant emissions Noise hindrance Road deaths Access to mobility services Emissions of greenhouse gases Congestion and delays Ene